Tuesday, October 11, 2022

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*Updated

Updated update. Did you know there is a RUNOFF in GA on Dec. 6 if neither Warnock nor Walker get 50% in the general which polling has them not, nor RCP? And that RCP’s actual projection is for the RUNOFF to take place? And that RCP still has GA a R flip after the runoff? So it’s still all bad, but complicated and subject to change by the day. So yeah.

Below posted 10:16 pm

This is strange. RCP—still a R+2 projected in the Senate, fuucckk YOU!—has switched back to Georgia as one if their R flippers. Yesterday it was NV and AZ; a couple days ago and for many days prior to that it was NV and GA. So they’re back to that. Weird. They also have for the first time that I’ve seen a projection for the House composition post-election day: a R net gain of 24-25 seats. So it’s all bad!

Posted 10/10 3:02 pm below:

Pennsylvania Senate Moves Back to Toss Up

 

 

Six weeks ago the Cookies moved Pa. from toss up to lean D but Oz has been spending heavily and has hit on crime which has dinged Big John Fetterman. 

RealClearPolitics, which I think, I am not 100% certain, was more accurate than Cook calling the 2020 elections from president down ballot has also changed their Senate projection, not from the bottom line unfortunately, a net R gain of two seats. Previously they had had Nevada and Georgia flipping R, now it's in Nevada and Arizona, with Pa. remaining R but Georgia, (Sen. Warnock), staying D.