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…[The “Heat”] will be the East’s No. 7 or No. 8 seed if it advances past the play-in tournament.

There has only been one NBA team seeded fifth or lower that has won a championship since 1984: the sixth-seeded Houston Rockets in 1995.
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… the numbers say the Heat is actually the worst team still remaining. Miami enters with the worst season-long net rating (outscored by 0.5 points per 100 possessions) among the 20 NBA teams that qualified for the postseason.

The Heat was outscored by a total of 26 points in the regular season.

Unsurprisingly, no NBA team has won the championship after closing the regular season with a negative point differential. In fact, the last 16 teams that made the playoffs with a negative point differential were eliminated in the first round, as the 2013-14 Brooklyn Nets were the last team to get past the first round with a negative point differential before being eliminated by the Heat in the second round.