NYT/Siena

Their polling in the national vis a vis the swings is backward per the CW, which holds that kamala must win the national vote by 2-3 percentage points to make up for structural Republican Electoral College bias. trumpie's national lead, per NYT/Siena is 1, within the poll's M.o.E. But in their Electoral College average, Kamala leads in Pa. Mi. and Wi. and those Blue Wall states give her 270 and the presidency. The other four swings by NYT, Nv, Ga., NC, and Az. are all identical, dead even at 48%-48%.