Friday, June 20, 2025

Public Occurrences June 20, 2025

Trump Won't Ask Israelis to Stop Attacking Iran as Precondition to Negotiations Because They're "winning"

Earlier in the day, Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi wrapped up talks with several of his European counterparts in Geneva, but reiterated Iran's demand that Israel stop attacks on the country before it would be willing to seriously pursue any negotiations.

Asked whether he would ask the Israelis to hold back, Trump said it was "very hard to make that request right now."

"If someone is winning, it's a little bit harder to do than if someone is losing," he said. "But we are ready, willing and able and have been speaking to Iran and we'll see what happens."

Above everything else, Trump must be seen as a "winner" in all things. If he saves lives but is viewed as "weak", he will take lives. Israel is "winning" by killing Iranians so Trump's "mindset" is to join Israel in the killing. As he states above, he would only be for diplomacy if Israel was "losing".  

A lone man on the winner's stand with gold medal in hand is prey to Trump the brigand.

10:55 am:

Based upon what I have read:

1) That even regime change will not keep Iran from becoming a nuclear power if that is what they want to be. (Financial Times);

1a) That Iran has denied that they want to be a nuclear power;

1b) That the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) found Iran in breach of its non-proliferation agreements;

1c) That U.S. intelligence assesses that Iran is not on a path to becoming a nuclear armed power;

1ci) That it is the consensus that Iran is "weeks away" from having enough U-235 (below) for atomic weapons;

1cii) That Iran does not have delivery capability for an atomic weapon even if they do have enough U-235; 

2) That only outside control over the "waste" (U-235; nuclear weapons) of U-238 (nuclear power plant) can prevent any nation from producing nuclear arms (CBS, BBC);

2a) That every U.S. president since Nixon (Henry Kissinger), to safeguard Israel, tried (and failed) to get Iran, whether under the Shah or the Ayatollah, to agree to outside control (FT);

2b) That after three years of negotion between Secretary of State John Kerry and Itanian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif the JCPOA (2015) Iran agreed to outside control of U-235;

2c) That Trump ripped up the JCPOA in 2018 (FT);

2d) That Iran again agreed to outside control in negotiations with Trump (Steve Witkoff) (CBS);

3) That U.S. presidents since Kennedy tried (and failed) to get Israel from becoming nuclear armed;

4) That even U.S. bunker-busters likely cannot obliterate all of Iran's Fordow complex (CBS, BBC);

5) That any direct U.S. participation in strikes on Iran will result in Iranian counter-strikes on theater U.S. forces;

6) That regardless of nuclear capability, Iranian operatives can make Americans everywhere targets of terrorism;

THEREFORE:

The risks being clear, the benefits speculative at best, non-existent at worst, I sincerely hope that Trump does not attack Fordow.