Wednesday, November 04, 2020
AP: Biden 224 Trump 213
All the momentum now is with Trump. AP called Texas for Trump. AP finally called Florida for Trump. There goes that Dem strategist's theory. Joe won his first swing state, New Hampshire, 4 EV’s The deep blue Left Coast came in, all for Joe. AP just called another swinger, Minnesota (10) for Joe. AP just gave OH (18) and Iowa (6) to Trump. He needs 58. Joe needs 47. Where’s Joe going to get 47? Arizona is looking good, 11. He needs 36. Where else? He’s behind everywhere else. That Dem strategist predicted PA, MI, WI, NC, in addition but Joe is behind in all of them, as that guy predicted, but still, I didn’t have faith in NC nor my old home PA. PA counts with an abacus so that’s going to take awhile but my gut speaks to me and my gut says PA (20) is going to stick with Trump. Trump needs 38. Trump leads in NC (15) and GA (16). Trump needs seven. I would be utterly shocked if Joe loses PA AND MI AND WI. He needs some combo of those adding up to 36+. PA and MI would do it but I don't have faith in PA. No other Rusty Duo would do it. I am highly confident he will win MI (16) and WI 10). Ten short. Nevada, six. Joe needs four more. He's going to have to pull PA or NC or GA out of his ass to go with WI and MI but he is behind in all five. Trump needs seven EV’s and any of those other Rusties will give him the presidency. I don't see a Biden victory, folks. Joe is down BIG in MI, -10%; HUMONGOUS in PA, -15.2%, almost 5% in WI, -7.5 in Georgia. Reasonable hope is wispy and vanishing quickly. If we stay up a little longer or when we wake up tomorrow morning we will face FOUR MORE YEARS! FOUR MORE YEARS!