Silver

Can understand caution calling Nevada. Biden leads by 0.6% statewide, 7,647 total. NYT says NV to release more votes publicly at noon ET. From lowest to highest percent reported by county:

Clark (Las Vegas) and Washoe (Reno) have a combined 1,030,600 reported votes counted so far. The whole frigging state has 1,192,915. Clark is +8 Biden, Washoe +4, the only two pro-Joe counties in the state, but while Washoe is about in the middle of the counties in reporting percent Clark is second least. Man. Just eye-balling the pro-clown counties, I'm going to give clown an average +50, 75% of the vote outside Clark and Washoe...I can't do this. The math hurts my head. You'd have to factor in turnout, know the total vote in all of the counties...I was trying to determine how many votes +8 of 100% of vote in Clark would be and then see how much +75 of 100% of the vote in the clown counties would be, but it's beyond my capabilities...

Okay, lemme see if I can get close this way: Since 84% of the Clark vote is 798,908 then 100% is 951,080. If Joe continues winning Clark +8, 54%, then when 100% of vote is in he will have 513,583 to clown's 437,497, a pro-Joe margin of 76,086. 

I'm just going to pull a number out of my ass. Eyeballing the percent of the vote reported so far in the clown counties I'm going to pick 87% as the pro-clown counties current reported vote, okay? fuck you. So since 162,315 is 87% of the total clown counties vote then 100% is 186,569 (Personally, I would ignore this and wait till the update at noon.). I'm going to give clown 75% of that 186,569, so 139,927. for clown, 46,642 for Joe, a pro-clown raw vote margin of 93,285, a net minus of 17,199 for Joe. Joe's net would be -9,552 pro-clown counties over Clark. If we do the same with Washoe Joe would net +10,414 and would win the state by 862 votes. Too close to call fuck you.