Thursday, August 22, 2024

The pollsters don't poll during convention weeks as a rule. But bettors gonna bet. And Kamala's betting averages have dropped all week. From memory, 53% of the money was on Kama Walz and the money has deserted her each day this week. It's now 50.3% trumpie to 48.3% Kamala. I'm hazarding a guess. Bettors are looking at the convention and thinking, "Now, who's this going to appeal to?" "Who listens to this music?" "Who knows these entertainers?" "How are white people in Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan, Georgia, Arizona, the swing states in other words, how are the plurality whites reacting to this? And I think the bettors are thinking, "Not well." White people are not seeing white people as delegates, speakers, certainly not as entertainers, for the most part, in representative numbers, they're not hearing the music they're used to, they don't know who the performers are, it's all foreign-sounding and foreign-looking to them. "Is this America?" white people are asking. And the investors are thinking, "Uh oh, better put some money on trumpie."