https://www.ft.com/content/b5464c3e-9da0-4717-ab18-3161b3312e5b


Donald Trump has all but erased Kamala Harris’s slender advantage in the swing states that will decide who wins the White House next month, according to new polling just two weeks before the vote. A Washington Post-Schar School survey of more than 5,000 registered voters out on Monday found the two candidates in a virtual tie in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin...


The poll also showed that Republican Trump and Democrat Harris level nationally, on 47 per cent, when registered voters were asked who they would definitely or probably support. Most surveys in recent weeks have given Harris a marginal lead nationally. The results echo the Financial Times poll tracker — a weighted aggregator of dozens of US surveys — which shows the two candidates neck-and-neck in the swing states and nationally. In four crucial battlegrounds, the polling margin stands at less than half a percentage point — within the margin of error.

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Trump appears to have regained momentum in recent weeks, however, as voters shrug off his criminal convictions and brash demeanour and embrace his brand of economic populism. Prominent polls-based prediction models, including FiveThirtyEight, The Economist and Nate Silver’s Silver Bulletin all show the outcome of the election to be close to a 50-50 proposition.