Sunday, March 09, 2025

The "Heat" are falling

Their decimal win % is .460, and L by L they are inching toward the low point, .451, of the post-LeBron era, set in 2014/15, the first post-LBJ season when the loss of the King was compounded by Chris Bosh's health problems. We finished that unusual year 37-45. The unusual 2024/25 team is projected currently to finish with 37.7 dubs, rounded off of course to 38. A L, unlikely, if we can say that with this team, at home against Queens Monday night would drop us to .453, two one-thousandths of a point ahead of that 2014/15 team, projecting to to 37.1 wins, which of course rounds to 37-45, the prior team's record. I don't think we'll lose Monday night but you can't think with any confidence with this team. Fourth quarter collapses are the rule now, not the exception. We will finish in the play-in for sure, we are 7.5 games out of 11th and the lottery and still 3.5 games ahead of 10th Wind. 

But this has been the most trying season of my "Heat" fandom, and that fandom goes back to the Inaugural Season when I was a season ticket holder. I didn't expect this even with the Jimmy drama and the trade. I thought a New Miami would emerge, and would have by now, but that has not been the case. Not close. We are clearly worse off at present than we were with Jimmy still technically on the team but not on the court due to his serial suspensions. It's shocking really, how incompetent this team has been post-trade, something like 6 blown 4Q leads in 7 games? I think I read that. Obviously all games a team leads in the 4Q, and not talking trading 1-2 point leads, several double digit leads in the last quarter, you should win, but we did not. We're projected to 38 wins right now and there are only 19 games remaining. A Great Leap is not in our future. 39-40 wins is probably our ceiling.

There is no magic bullet in the Magic City for the basketball team that plays in Bang Bus Arena at 601 Biscayne Blvd., only desultory mediocrity ever creeping closer to "not a good team."