Thursday, September 19, 2024

Political Daily Evening Report

Polls:

Conservative-biased RCP

Polls:

National average Kamala cat 49.3% trumpie dog 47.4% (violates the Publocc Rule of poll interpretation), Kamala +1.9%.

Current Electoral College Kamala 276 trumpie 262. Kamala wins presidency.

November Forecast Bettors:

Kamala 52.4% trumpie 46.1%, Kamala +6.3.


538

Current polling ave Kamala 48.4% trumpie 45.5% Kamala +2.9.

November Forecast popular vote Kamala +3.9

November Forecast Electoral College, Kamala 292 trumpie 246. Kamala wins presidency.


Silver

Polling ave Kamala 48.9% trumpie 46.2%, Kamala +2.7%

Current Electoral College Kamala 276 trumpie 262. Kamala wins presidency.