Tuesday, September 17, 2024
Hezbollah pager explosions kill several people in Lebanon
- Hezbollah calls it biggest security breach in war with Israel
- 😂🤣👏
Sorry if this is insensitive😂🤣😂🤣😂👏
Political Investors Daily Morning Report: Kamala +4, 51.2%-47.2%, a large lead
On the other hand. In conservative-biased RCP's Electoral count, Pennsylvania has flipped back to trumpie dog giving him 281 EVs to Kamala cat's 257. The flip is due to an InsiderAdvantage poll 9/14-15 of 800 LVs, M.o.E. 3.5 that has trumpie 50% Kamala 48%. The poll violates my cardinal rule that any poll that shows trumpie getting over his historical 46.8% high is not credible. IA is a two-star (out of three) firm per 538, rated 95th best. Be gone!
Monday, September 16, 2024
What Electoral College Disadvantage?
Look at this whiff me, wouldja? This is conservative-biased RCP's color-coded Electoral Vote bar.
Now look at the next-lighter shades: 52 for Kama Walz, 38 for trumpie-Couch. Those are what RCP deems "likely" for one side or the other. Those are states it doesn't pay the trailing side to put much if any resources into. That's a significant difference, too. Add those two sets of numbers together and it's Kama Walz 191, trumpie-Couch 131. On locks and near-locks Kamala is within 79 of the presidency.
Now go to the sky blue and pink. 30 for Kamala, 88 for trumpie. Those are "leans". trumpie better lean hard on them, hoo doggie!
The sky blue, the pink, and the gray are all up for grabs for either candidate. Those three shades add up to 216 Electoral Votes. trumpie has to play defense more, he has to defend almost three times the territory that kamala has to defend. And he would still need to win 50, over half, of the toss-up gray, to break even in the Electoral College and throw the election into the House of Representatives, where he would win the presidency.
trumpie would have to win 138, all the pink and 50 grays, of the truly up for grabs 216 Electoral Votes. Kamala would Walz into the presidency by holding her 30 sky blues and taking 49 of the grays, only 69 of those 216. 69 to 138 is a major advantage for Kamala Walz. RCP's shaded states map:
To my gut, the pink states, TX, FL and OH--we will do nothing in Texas, little to nothing in FL and nothing in Ohio unless the polls toss them into toss-ups. Needless to say, if trumpie lost any one of those states, which conservative-biased RCP labels as mere "leans", said trumpie would be hurtin' for certin'.
Similarly, I don't see trumpie-Couch making any feint into VA, MN and ME-2. They have other more fecund, nay desperate, states to spend their dwindling resources on: Pa., Wi., NC, Ga., Mi., NH. NV, NE-2. Conservative RCP, when they resolve to their no-tossup map, gives Pa., Wi., Mi, Mn., Va. NV, NH, NE-2 and ME-2 to Kamala-Walz. Resolving so many of the 216 up for grabs for Kamala gives her a squeaky comfortable 276 EVs.
For now, I have lost faith in Az, NC, and Ga. Ga. especially has flip-flopped but I don't have a good feeling there. NC I have no faith in, and I don't understand Az, trumpie has had a lead there for weeks, albeit a small one. 276 is a reasonable number for Kamala and does the trick and I'm not paying for a landslide.
😁
Secret Service chief makes remarkable
admission: We need a ‘paradigm shift’
You got that right, brother!
Assassination Attempt Parte Deux
1) did not have a line of sight on Trump, and never fired his weapon
2) spent nearly 12 hrs near golf course
What President Biden should do is increase trumpie's Secret Service protection and Kamala's to the equivalent of his own.
trumpie Sept. 13 in Cal.:
I want to say in California, with a very simple message for the American people, we cannot allow Comrade Kamala Harris and the communist left to do to America what they did to California. ...
You can vividly see the dystopian California landscape in the backdrop to his speech:
When you look at the kind of destruction that’s taken place, it’s all man-made or woman-made destruction too. ...
...
...we’re a nation in decline. The decline of this whole state is one of the sad chapters in what’s gone on with the radical left lunatics that we have to put up with.
THANK YOU RADICAL LEFT LUNATIC!
"STOCK MARKETS CRASHING. I TOLD YOU
"Of course there is a massive market downturn. Kamala is even worse
For example, in March 2021, the National Labor Relations Board (https://www.cnbc.com/2021/03/25/tesla-elon-musk-anti-union-tweet-must-be-deleted-nlrb.html) ordered Tesla to have Musk delete a social media post that it saw as a threat to union organizers. As of Monday, the tweet (https://x.com/elonmusk/status/998454539941367808?lang=en) remains posted on the site.
You have to obey the laws and regulatory rules of the country you operate in. That's just basic national sovereignty. Musk did not comply with the NLRB's lawful directive to delete a post on Twitter. Instead he bought Twitter! Disobeying, and flaunting the disobdiance of, lawful governmental orders is exactly what got X banned in Brazil.
The same should happen in the U.S.
Musk initially resisted numerous calls throughout Sunday night to delete the post. In one post responding to a demand to take down his remarks, Musk doubled down (https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1835537833869623681):
“No one has even tried to do so is the point I’m making and no one will.”
Someone should at least TRY to assassinate PoJo/Kamala "is the point I'm making." But "no one will." Sad!
Interesting
Iowa, Iowa!, the one-time swing that trumpie won by 9.5% in 2016 and 8.2% in 2020 is now trumpie +4 in a poll conducted by the Des Moines Register Sept. 8-11.
And, wait for it...ALASKA, trumpie +15 2016, +10 2020, is trumpie +5 in a poll conducted by Alaska Survey Research of 1,254 LV Sept. 11-12.
Political Investors Daily Morning Report: Kamala 51% trumpie 47.7%
Sunday, September 15, 2024
At 5:20 pm I posted my first about the assassination attempt. The frisson quickly dissipated and when it did my reaction settled to,
I think the political rule of assassinations is you only get one total bounce. (Text to family and one friend at 6:37, posted here at 6:38.
So the political shelf life for this for me lasted one hour and twenty-seven mins. It has been a surreal summer but that was my unconsciously nonplussed reaction within less than an hour and a half. It was not consciously cynical, it was sincerely how I felt. Maybe the majority of American adults are still still deeply affected, I can only speak for myself. When the assassination attempt in Butler, Pa. occurred I was about broken. That was so close to a successful assassination and trumpie's truly heroic response was unique in American political history. I thought he was a shoe-in to win the presidency in November after that. This had nowhere near the same effect on me. To reiterate, I speak for no one's feelings but my own, but I have thought, what undecided voter after Butler has now decided, "One didn't push me to vote for Trump; but this second, I'm definitely going to vote for him."? I truly feel a negligible number. Who among Kamala voters will say, "I have to vote for trumpie now?" None, imo. It is only 8 hours or so after the event and who knows what police interrogation of Routh will reveal? But unless he says the Harris-Walz campaign put out a hit on trumpie, I think we have a fair handle on the motive and I don't expect the event today to have any significant effect on the voters in the swing states. All of this are my honest, sincere, reactions and thoughts.
In 2020, he [Routh] made a social media post backing Trump’s reelection, but in more recent years his posts have expressed support for Biden and Harris.
(AP)
Rus invasion of Ukraine began Feb. 24 2022 and he was a big Ukraine supporter so that apparently was the catalyst to become a Biden-Harris supporter and, apparently, his motive to try to take out trumpie today. But. That is what it looks like to me based on available light. He has a lengthy criminal record long before even 2020, including possession of weapons of mass destruction, which in NC include fully automatic weapons. He was convicted in a 3-hour stand-off with police. That conviction manifestly did not disqualify him from voting in subsequent elections. It is a muddled picture in totality but it is clear that in 2024 he was aligned with Democrats and contributed money to us. It appears reasonably clear to me that this was an assassination attempt against trumpie because of trumpie's vehement opposition to Ukraine.
FT Carolina "Panthers" 3 La-La Charge-Charge 26
This is pure schadenfreude to me, I have no interest in either team. Carolina owner David Pecker is one...no, I'll say not one of, he is THE biggest asshole sports owner. Hires and fires head coaches just about every year. DRAFTS players himself.
So, The Panthers have been outscored 73-13 this season.
And,
At times, it appeared the Panthers were playing not to let the score get more out of hand, twice running the football in the final minutes of the third quarter while down by 20 — much to the chagrin of the home crowed, the majority of which left before the fourth quarter.
Carolina didn't throw the ball down the field.
Exquisitely pleasurable.
Trump plans to visit Springfield, Ohio, the site of his baseless claims about Haitian immigrants
Former President Donald Trump plans to visit Springfield, Ohio, "soon," a source familiar with the planning said.
Good! GO ASAP!
“In Springfield, they’re eating the dogs. The people that came in. They’re eating the cats. They’re eating — they’re eating the pets of the people that live there. And this is what’s happening in our country. And it’s a shame,” Trump said on the debate stage.
Raleigh News-Observer
Ryan Wesley Routh of Greensboro is in custody after the Secret Service spotted a scope pointed at the former president while he golfing at his course in Florida. Routh, 58, has an extensive criminal history in North Carolina that includes convictions between 2002 and 2010 of possession of weapons of mass destruction, carrying a concealed gun, hit and run, possession of stolen goods and resisting law enforcement, among other charges. Routh has a second address in Hawaii. But he’s registered to vote in North Carolina as an unaffiliated voter. In North Carolina, unaffiliated voters can choose which primary they want to vote in. Routh chose Democrats when he voted this spring.
NY Times interviewed him in 2023 on Ukraine!
A U.S. law enforcement official identified the suspect as Ryan Wesley Routh, 58, of Hawaii. The official spoke on the condition of anonymity because the investigation is continuing. Mr. Routh was interviewed by The New York Times in 2023 for an article about Americans volunteering to aid the war effort in Ukraine. Mr. Routh, who had no military experience, said he had traveled there after Russia’s invasion in 2022 to recruit Afghan soldiers for the fight. He told The Times he once visited Washington to meet with politicians to strengthen support for Ukraine. “I’m just a U.S. citizen that’s helping out,” he said.
AP:
Ryan Wesley Routh is the suspect's name.
Rep. Elise Stefanik of New York, chair of the House Republican Conference, questioned “how an assassin was allowed to get this close to President Trump again” in light of the attempt on his life two months earlier.
“There continues to be a lack of answers for the horrific assassination attempt in Pennsylvania and we expect there to be a clear explanation of what happened today in Florida,” she added, calling on Americans to “unite behind” the GOP nominee in the November general election.
[You're DREAMING, Stefanik. I. Assassinations. Sub A. Political Capitalization. Sub i. Only one cumulative benefit per candidate. Multiple assassination attempts must not be stacked. Taylor Swift will be playing at Kamala Harris' Inauguration.]
Routh was convicted in 2002 of possessing a weapon of mass destruction, according to online North Carolina Department of Adult Correction records. The records do not provide details about the case.
But a News & Record story from 2002 says a man with the same name was arrested after a three-hour standoff with police.
The story says he was pulled over during a traffic stop, put his hand on a gun and barricaded himself inside a roofing business.
Routh was charged with carrying a concealed weapon and possessing a weapon of mass destruction, “referring to a fully automatic machine gun,” according to the News & Record.
AP Top 25, Week 4
No, Pitt didn't make it. Know how many votes they got? ONE. Holy cow.
In other rankings, Texas is now no. 1 after pasting UTSA while Georgia slipped to second on a tyoo close 13-12 win at KY Jelly.
Tennessee and Missouri also flip-flopped. The "Vols" pulverized Kent State and the "Tigers" didn't cover against BC.
Miami Gardens is 8th, up two.
Paterno-Sandusky belatedly dropped two on accounta Bowling Green.
K-State and Okie State also flipped. "Wildcats" hammered Hairy Boner, "Cowboys" same Tulsa, which is not the same.
Notre Dame and Meeshagan flip, ND 17 M 18.
Iowa State (20), It's Portal Time Y'all (21) and Northern Illinoise (22) all up one peg. Illinoise and Texas DEI enter at 24 and 25.
First four out: Memphis, Boise State, Syracuse, UNLV.
God, New Orleans beat Dallas 44-19
In Texas. Pokes were 6.5 point favorites. Most shocking tackle football result of the weekend.
The weekend the presidential race stopped being close
I think these two things: eating cats and dogs and,
Eating cats and dogs went out to 67.1M viewers and listeners. "I HATE TAYLOR SWIFT!", Pennsylvania-born, Tennessee-resident Taylor Swift, the most popular person on the planet, goes out to the entire world. There is no "hate Taylor Swift" constituency anywhere. It was pure bile and vile without strategic thinking. And it goes beyond the swifties. All of them have parents and grandparents and aunts and uncles. I'm the father of a swiftie. He just shockingly offended all of us. That's going to piss people off! Like with eating cats and dogs, people of all ages, mainly white people, are going to read that post, shake their heads and go, "He has really lost it! Who's next, Santa Claus, Snow White? Him, President of the United States? Nah-ah."
It feels like we have turned a corner
Frum worked for W. The cat thing has really been damaging to trumpie-couch. That trumpie said it in the only DEBATE he will have with Kamala, you could hear voters saying to themselves, "Okay, that'a nuts, I've decided."
trumpie: "I HATE TAYLOR SWIFT!"
Recognize this for what it is: he is dog-whistling violence again. It's not a surprise. Fear is his power. He and Couch are using it against Haitian-Americans and now Taylor Swift and swifties. It may work here. Tay is uber sensitive to not put her swifties in harm's way. Millions of them would vote for Kamala--if it's safe. Some will stay home if standing in lines to vote is, or is perceived to be, dangerous.The same with the Haitian-Americans in Springfield, Ohio. Axios reports today that they are asking each other and local officials "if it is safe to leave my house." Classes were canceled at middle schools, high schools and one college canceled campus activities this weekend.
It is not just these recent dog-whistles, of course. They go back to his prediction of "riots" at the convention in Cleveland in 2016 if mainstream Republican delegates voted against him. His campaigns have been based on Fear from the time he announced in 2015 and stoked it on "Mexican rapists."
Iz Hemorrhaging Credibility
Israel says ‘high probability’ its strike killed three hostages in Gaza
On Sunday, the Israeli military said there was a “high probability” that three hostages found dead months ago were killed in an Israeli airstrike.
The army announced the conclusions of its investigation into the deaths of Cpl. Nik Beizer, Sgt. Ron Sherman and Elia Toledano. It said investigations had determined that the three were likely killed in a November airstrike that also killed a senior Hamas militant, Ahmed Ghandour.
All three of the hostages were kidnapped in Hamas’ Oct. 7 attack. Their bodies were recovered in December, but the cause of death was only recently determined.
In its report, the army said there was a “high probability” they were killed in the strike, based on where the bodies were recovered, pathological reports and other intelligence. ...
Pittsburgh Post-Gazette
It’s time to say it plainly: This Pitt team is good and capable of contending for something bigger and more tangible than simply a return to mediocrity.
Evil, Pure Evil
Vance pushes debunked pet-eating claims yet again
Republican vice presidential nominee Sen. JD Vance (R-Ohio) tripled down on debunked rumors that immigrants in Ohio are eating cats in an interview airing Sunday on "Meet the Press," contending "constituents are seeing it with their own eyes."
...
Vance, addressing the conspiracy, acknowledged on X ahead of the debate that the rumors could "turn out to be false" — but encouraged supporters to "keep the cat memes flowing."
"I'm not repeating [the rumors] because I invented them out of thin air. I'm repeating them because my constituents are saying these things are happening," Vance told NBC "Meet The Press" moderator Kristen Welker in Sunday's interview, referencing a video "of a migrant 30 miles away eating a cat."
The video he is seemingly highlighting was one he shared on X Saturday.
The footage and accompanying article allege that African immigrants in Dayton, Ohio, were grilling cats.
But Dayton Police Chief Kamran Afzal said in a statement there is "no evidence to even remotely suggest that any group, including our immigrant community, is engaged in eating pets."
Ohio Gov. Mike DeWine, a Republican, said on ABC's "This Week" that there is "absolutely" no evidence Haitian immigrants are eating cats, saying the conversation "needs to stop" as "hate groups" are coming to the town.
"The Haitians who are in Springfield are legal. They came to Springfield to work. Ohio is on the move and Springfield has really made a great resurgence," he said, adding the Haitian immigrants who have moved to the town are "very good workers."
He characterized the rumors as "a piece of garbage that was simply not true," saying Haitian immigrants are "positive influences" on the community.
Multiple buildings in Springfield have been evacuated because of threats identified by law enforcement — threats Springfield Mayor Rob Rue told the New York Times were a "hateful response to immigration in our town."
Police at Wittenberg University, a liberal arts college in Springfield, said in a campus alert that an email sent Saturday threatened a shooting the following day.
The threat, which prompted campus event cancellations, targeted Haitians, the alert said.
On Friday, Trump pledged to conduct the "largest deportation in the history of our country," starting in Springfield, Ohio, and Aurora, Colorado, another city that has been pulled into the national immigration debate as overstated claims migrants are taking over apartment complexes there spread rapidly online.
Yep
Still, a day later, Vance was back at it.
As one dismayed X user wrote, “It does feel like these guys won’t be satisfied until someone is hurt or killed.”
National (ABC/Ipsos Sept 11-13, 2,196 LV M.o.E. 2) Kamala 52% trumpie 46%
ABC/Ipsos. This national margin is now double the tipping point for victory among the swing states in the Electoral College.
Political Investors Daily Sunday: Continued Money Movement Back to Kamala: 51.3%-47.1%
That is a net +0.6 from Saturday, big movement in one day.
The End Is Near
The University of Florida Board of Trustees has called a previously unscheduled meeting for Sunday morning, according to multiple reports. The obvious agenda item will be Napier’s immediate and long-term future.
Saturday, September 14, 2024
Last Call
We have a situation in Lexington. Kentucky is 12-13 to #1 Georgia with 3:15 left to play and the "Wildcats" have the ball 4th down at the UGA 47.
Nebraska, like Pitt, is now 3-0 after a 34-3 walk-over of Northern Iowa. Unlike my beloved "Panthers" the "Cornhuskers" are already ranked, 23rd.
Do you know we didn't even get an AP write-up on ESPN on this win? The Backyard Brawl, MAGIC, cardiac cats two weeks in a row and crickets. (?) The AP poll is the gold standard. AP writers and those selected by AP. We didn't get a single vote for top-25 last week. We will tomorrow when the new poll comes out but we're not going to go from zero votes to enough to crack the top 25. AP voters don't believe in magic.
Pittsburgh Post-Gazette
Jason Mackey: Pitt has all the ingredients for a winning team — including a quarterback
Back-to-back holding penalties created first and 30. Yes. First. And. Thirty. There was an incompletion before Holstein targeted wide receiver Daejon Reynolds … for the first time all year on second down.
Because, of course he did.
"I threw it up there," Holstein recalled. "I thought it was [defensive] holding at first and thought, 'Hey, at least we'll get the penalty.'
"But then I saw him come down with it, and I was like, 'Hell yeah. I appreciate that Dae-Dae. Thanks for helping me out.' ...
They have a gamebreaker at tailback in Desmond Reid, who came into this one leading the country in all-purpose yards. What impressed me Saturday was that the Mountaineers took Reid away … and that was OK. Pitt survived.
A disinterested view
Barstool SEC
@SECBarstool
Neither FSU or UF should be allowed to fire their coaches until after Rivalry week.
I need to see 2024 Billy Napier vs 2024 Mike Norvell like I need air to breathe.
5:37 PM · Sep 14, 2024
·
189.9K Views
Gainesville Sun
It's time for Florida football to bid goodbye to Billy Napier
By the time you read this, Napier may be cleaning out his office. ...
(First published 8:20 pm, updated 8:31, read by me 9:20 and he's still there.)
Mike Norvell's news conference ends with blaring fire alarm
A fire alarm interrupts the end of Mike Norvell's news conference after Florida State falls to 0-3.
AP for ESPN:
GAINESVILLE, Fla. -- — Backup quarterback Marcel Reed accounted for three touchdowns in his first collegiate start and Texas A&M dominated Florida 33-20 on Saturday in what may have been coach Billy Napier’s final game with the Gators.
Pitt engineers another miraculous comeback, beats West Virginia in 107th Backyard Brawl
FINAL: West Virginia's 10-point lead evaporates, Pitt wins 38-34 in back-and-forth 107th Backyard Brawl
FT Mizzou (6) 27 BC (24) 21
THANK YOU BC! I finish +$5 for the day and on the young season. Can't tell you how impressed I am with the "Eagles", all due to this NFL coaching staff. Bill O'Brien is finally content. He's done it all. He can stay in Chestnut Hill as long as he wants, and as long as he does Boston College is going to be a force in the ACC and, I think, a factor nationally. I sound naive saying this but I honestly didn't think coaching could make such a difference.
Somehow I have exceeded my 100 posts/day limit on blogger so further posting is going to be sparse today.
Missouri (6) 27 BC (24) 14, 5:58 4Q
They held them to a FG there. I feel an INT (and the loss of $10) coming as BC tries to get back in the game.
FT! HALF ASS U DROPS THEIR 3RD STRAIGHT 12-20 TO MEMPHIS
There needs to be a living autopsy performed on the "Seminoles".
Mem 4th and 6 HAU 37, 2:51 4Q
That's too long a FG for college. Too long to go for it. I'd take a delay penalty and punt.
Mizzou Taking Control, 24-14, 10:31. Now I'm in danger of losing $15 on the day.
They've outscored BC 17-0 since the INT.
Mizzou has taken the lead. 17-14, 13:38 3Q
NC State 20-20 La. Tech, End 3Q
Boogers 10 Bama 35, :55 3Q 💸Bye!
fuck. South Carolina Must Be Destroyed 17 Bandit Bengals (...NO! WAIT! COCKS!!!!!! 24 Elle Esse EWW 10, 4:15 2Q
Musta run the kickoff after the the LSU TD back for a TD!
6m ago11.57 EDT
Full time: Liverpool 0-1 Nottm Forest
For the first time in 20,300 days, or 55 years if you’re an unpretentious human being, Nottingham Forest have won at Anfield! Callum Hudson’s Odoi’s beautiful goal decided the game, and Liverpool’s perfect start to the season has gone up in flames.
(Guardian)
TRICKY TREES!
Superbru
@Superbru
A huge upset at Anfield as Nottingham Forest defeat Liverpool 0-1 thanks to a Callum Hudson-Odoi goal! 🌳
Just 0.3% of Superbru players predicted an #NFFC win 😮👏
FOREST HAS BEATEN SLAVERPOOL! FOREST HAS BEATEN SLAVERPOOL! FT 0-1
A FAMOUS victory 55 years in the making. 👏👏🌲
GOAL! Liverpool 0-1 Nottm Forest (Hudson-Odoi 72)
Nottingham Forest have taken the lead at Anfield! The two substitutes, Elanga and Hudson-Odoi, combined again on the counter-attack before Hudson-Odoi curled a lovely shot into the far corner from 20 yards.
Forest haven’t won at Anfield since 1969, so this is officially Big News.
Political Investors Daily Saturday
Slightly more money going to Kamala cat this morning than to trumpie dog. The spread is now 51%-47.4%. Conservative-biased RCP has their polling average also up for Kamala the same 0.2 to +1.7: 48.6%-46.9%.
Short Pants
City lead the Bees 2-1 in the city in the 50th'.
The Sheriffs are 0-0 at Slaverpool, 54'.
MAGA
Genetic analysis of
Neanderthal reveals history
of inbreeding
A recent genetic study revealed 50,000 years of isolation and inbreeding
Friday, September 13, 2024
Wall Street Journal Editorial (as much as I can read)
Donald Trump and Loomer Tunes
Why is the former President hanging with a 9/11 conspiracist?
Donald
Trump likes to call his political opponents nuts, as in “crazy Nancy
Pelosi,” so then why is he hanging with the 9/11 conspiracist Laura
Loomer? Is he trying to lose the election?
We can’t believe we
have to write this about a presidential candidate, but then Mr. Trump
seems to like the company of Ms. Loomer, the 31-year-old online
provocateur. She was backstage with the Trump team during this week’s
debate with Kamala Harris and was in the spin room with the former President afterward.
She then flew on Mr. Trump’s plane to the anniversary memorials of 9/11 in New York City and the site of the Flight 93 crash in Pennsylvania. Her attendance at these events was especially insulting since Ms. Loomer has claimed that 9/11 was “an inside job.” Does she think Osama bin Laden was a CIA front man?
###
Okay, so that's it. My answer to Wally's first rhetorical question is: because trumpie is a conspiracy theorist himself: see Obama birther, global warming, COVID, the 2020 election. I've missed a lot, I know. The elevator seriously doesn't go all the way to the top in trumpie. Facts get nowhere near the top floor. He's seriously touched and always has been, but now he's old and has had the loopedy loops of thirty-four felony convictions, an involuntary ear piercing procedure, Joey drop out of his redemption race, Kamala drop in, he can't make hide nor hair of her, one epic smackdown of a debate opponent, his own bitch slap by Kamala, his crowds inexplicably (to him) dwarfed by those of the newbie, who he doesn't know who she is and he's losing to her, his campaign bank account melting in the summer, soon to be autumn, heat while she is experiencing a green avalanche. Seriously, that's a lot.
My answer to the second question is, no, of course not. He is trying to cope. He's trying to run back 2016, brought back Corey Lewandowski to do that, is paranoid that his predicament is all his aides' fault (Lincoln Project's commercials playing to his conspiracy half-thought that maybe they are all against him have worked), he's grasping at straws as a drowning man grasps at any stray reed or floating garbage, when he found the aforesaid "Loomer Tunes", and yet knows that nothing, not shooting a man in broad daylight, nor JD Couch and the laughable, non-factual and deadly libel of pet eating high melanins, nor Hannibal Lechter nor shocking sharks, nor Loomer, not anything can dislodge </=47% of the voting public because he talks like them and vice versa and were dropped on their heads as infants more than the recommended dosage. Loomer supports him unconditionally and forever and her presence at his side is comforting as a blanket infected with the plague. So he's ignoring LaCivita and Wiles and making out with Corey and Laura in the corner of a dark room by the light of a flickering 20 watt bulb high over head. It casts ominous pulsing shadows which he studies for meaning. It's all he has. He sees his revenge tour crashing and burning but only to that 47% floor-ceiling and is hoping for a Diabolus ex Machina if needed and it may be needed. There are no shortage of Diaboli who could intervene: a European war between Russia and NATO is most promising; he has a soul mate in the middle east in Netanyahu who may plausibly trigger war with Iran and give truth to his "the world is on fire". Is there anyone who sees that as beyond the pale of the not unreasonable occurrence? Not I. He is caught between the diamond hard rock of </equal 47% with no reasonable path to get to 48% much less an election-winning percent and so he flails and fails again and again. Yet (again) he is closer to Kamala than he was to Biden in 2020 and it would take a non-cataclysm to get beyond 47% and squeak by in the EC. If the election were held today Democrats' bums would be so tight you couldn't get a needle uo there and just ask Nate Silver. as of 1:45 pm today the Silvery forecast was a 69% chance of an orange sunrise and sunset in the Electoral College with only a 31% chance of blue skies? trumpie's not in panic mode, what's to panic about? He's in concern and deep suspicion mode. All is not near lost for trumpie, and he knows that better than all of his aides combined and he doesn't trust them and is grabbing onto Lewandowski and Loomer who will tell him that till cows fly. What else is he to do? In for a nut, in for a nut factory. But he will lose continuing on this LSD-induced path to involuntary hospitalization and he senses that it may and is worried that it may and anxiety-panic-lunacy is a vicious but predictable circle.
No, he doesn't really think OBL was a CIA front man but Laura does and she likes him so what the heck, let her be her own right wing flower child free thinker and see where where that lands him.
He is not going to change, he's not going to disavow a supporter whether it's a 9/11 conspiracist, or the "good" Nazis at Charlottesville. Let Trump be Trump was Lewandowski's sole prescription onboarding and it's not working swimmingly, he knows that, but hey, they support and comfort him and he's not going to lose that </= 47% so why not.
He's going to lose but not because of irritating, suspicion-inducing aides but because Trump is being Trump.