Monday, September 09, 2024

Silver

I’ll admit to being pretty shocked that so few voters think Trump is too conservative [in NYT/Siena poll]. About 9 times in 10, I’m not on board with whining from progressive media critics about how the Indigo Blob is covering the race. But with this one … I dunno, man.

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If I were the Harris campaign, I’d mention: January 6, Roe, Obamacare, Project 2025, JD Vance and the words “convicted felon” — and not much else. That’s a lot to work with, and it’s a reasonably coherent cluster of topics that bolsters perceptions of Trump being too conservative.

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But Harris also blew one big opportunity to tack to the center with her selection of Tim Walz rather than Josh Shapiro: that a tiny minority of progressives objected to Shapiro was an argument in Shapiro’s favor, if anything. I think Walz was a decent enough pick on his own merits, but given an opportunity to offer a tangible signal of the direction her presidency was headed, she reverted to 2019 mode.