Saturday, May 01, 2021

India Catastrophe

Christ, but it didn't hit India until mid-March!


Am I wrong that the British variant became a thing in ~December? The British variant, oh hell, let me use the code for it, B.1.1.7, is super-contagious. Why would it have taken so long to make a dent in India. Look at that graph! They had bottomed out all of February and it wasn't until March that the line picked up, but then in mid-March it just went roaring. Okay no, I wasn't wrong, B.1.1.7 began raging in Britain in mid-December. The Indian variant, B.1.617, is both super-spreading and more lethal. "B.1.617 was first identified in India last December..." Oh, so at about the same time as the British. Oh, yes! B.1.1.7 (the British) was first detected in early December 2020 by analysing genome data with knowledge that the rates of infection in Kent were not falling despite national restrictions. I would think if the India Catastrophe were driven by a homegrown that it would have overwhelmed India more quickly, rather than sitting there for a couple months. It makes more sense that this is caused by the travel to and from Britain, but regardless of what seems sensible to a Noted Moron the scientists say it looks like it's the British.