14-day changes
7-day daily average: 611,389
7-day average: 116,029. It was this number that the American Medical Association rebuked Walensky for "risking further spread of the virus" by her no-testing rec. Manifestly, the raw numbers, even the numbers relative to previous waves, do not bear out that Omicron results in less serious disease. H's have topped Delta's peak and are getting close to the all-time high.
7-day ave.: 1,405. A steep rise, not as steep as C's and H's, and of shorter duration. Still not close to the initial peak, the Jan. 2021 peak or the Delta peak. The worry is that this is still so early in Omicron's lifespan, is certainly due in part to lag in the "death interval", and that D's will rise in time as H's did, and exceed some or all of prior peaks. If that happens, if D's exceed Delta for instance...This is so hard to look at, it's so hard to write about...I just felt this cold, sickly air of pessimism sweep through me that we are going to be wrong again, that Omicron will not prove less serious than Delta and previous waves, that C's will not peak in the next week or two, that H's will exceed the Jan. 2021 peak, that D's will exceed their Delta peak--in a word that we will utterly fail again, as we have throughout the pandemic. I don't know if I could take that without it in some degree breaking me.
