Thursday, August 29, 2024

RCP Aggregate

National: Kamala +1.8 That's up.

Top Battlegrounds: Kamala +0.6% (first time I can remember her leading trumpie in aggregate in the battleground states)

Battleground states:

Wi. Kamala +1.9

Pa. Kamala +0.8. First time that I can remember that she has led Pa. by RCP's reckoning. Pa. with the other blue wall states gives her the presidency.

Mi. Kamala +2.3%

Az. trumpie +0.4

Nv. trumpie +0.3

NC trumpie +0.3

Ga. tie 48.1%-48.1%. Don't ever remember Ga. being tied in RCP.

Electoral Votes:  kamala 270

Now, THIS is really interesting. The polls today show a marked change for kamala. But Las Vegas investors actually favor trumpie with their money, 49.3%-49.2%. I trust the people who put their money where their mouths are more than the polls! I wish it wasn't so, it is the most infinitesimal amount, it may not be so tomorrow, but tonight, I agree with the bettors that kamala is the slightest underdog to win the presidency.