Wednesday, July 22, 2026
This is something. Just "preparation, preparation, preparation"?
The Miami Heat YouTube channel scheduled a video titled 'LeBron James Introductory Press Conference July 27 2026' - The video was then made private
21st July 2026 10:28pm
Google AI:
The Miami Heat's social media team accidentally published a placeholder YouTube link for a LeBron James introductory press conference scheduled for July 27, 2026. A team spokesperson confirmed it was a mistake made while preparing for the possibility of his free agency decision.
Underdog NBA
Underdog
@UnderdogNBA
Heat's social media department mistakenly posted LeBron James introductory press conference video on YouTube while preparing for the possibility of LeBron picking the Heat, per @Anthony_Chiang.
3:12 AM · Jul 22, 2026
161.1K Views
A preparatory something, I can mostly understand. A VIDEO put together merely in "preparation of a POSSIBLE" occurrence, um, squirm, squeak...Okay. But a "placeholder", I think I understand the usage, "Don't schedule any other superstar free agent intros on July 27". Nah-ah. Are we to believe that Monday July 27 was just chosen at random? That the date was not coordinated with LBJ?
If we are to believe that, I don't. It is done...or it WAS done: LBJ is--or was--joining the "Heat" and the intro presser is--OR WAS--"hold that place!", scheduled for July 27. Beyond a reasonable doubt I believe that. Now maybe LBJ changed his mind, either in pique over the leak or because his 12-year old daughter put her foot down, or, or, or, or. But that WAS--and still may be--done. Maybe they'll reschedule it, OR go ahead with it on the 27th, OR scrap it entirely because LBJ pitched a fit and is now going to sign elsewhere I DON'T KNOW! But this WAS--AND MAY STILL BE--something.
-30-
Tuesday, July 21, 2026
Recent War Crimes of the Toilet Nation Christian Protectorate of Isreal
Israeli strikes in Gaza kill 3 children and 6 adults, health officials say
July 18
An Israeli strike on a funeral in Gaza kills 7 people and wounds 22, a local hospital says
July 17
You choose: Who are the "Chosen People"?
The people of 🇺🇦 are fighting--and winning--a war against a military superpower on their own. They have thrilled the world with their ingenuity and home-made weaponry and are admired worldwide (except in Rus) for their self-sufficiency, high-spirited, can-do optimism and humane prosecution of war.
The people of Israel 🇮🇱can't grow an olive tree on their own, can't survive on their own, wouldn't have a country without 75 years of welfare and warfare aid, can't fight their way out of a paper bag on their own, are despised worldwide, are the inhabitants of a humiliated vassal state that commits war crimes and genocide, and chose as their leader a man who is now on trial in his own country for crimes and has an international arrest warrant outstanding.
Lebron LeWatch Canceled
Agent Rich Paul advised yesterday that there is no timetable for an announcement of choice of team and added,
"We're not going to be rushed," Paul said on the latest podcast episode of "Game Over" with Max Kellerman and Rich Paul, released Monday evening. "We're not going to be rushed. It's his choice to make and when he makes the choice, he'll make it."
Well, this is a bad look: for ME (yes, for Lebron, too). Yes, I'm a "Heat" nut, but I didn't have to follow this as I did (as I did Giannis, too :| ). It's embarrassing. So this is the final update:
Kalshi, 4:32 pm, Cleveland 38% Miami 36%.
Public Occurrences July 21, 2026
Florida Criminal Withholds Medicaid Funds for California and Minnesota
My dear Publoccians
You blow me away. I have written many times, and I believed it sincerely, that I would not live long enough to see 1,000,000 pageviews of this here blog.
Well, you blew through that and I was still alive. Then 2,000,000, then three, four, five. Now 6,000,000. And in record time. You hit 6,000,000 on June 29. Today, just 22 days later, you passed SEVEN MILLION.
You astound me. I thank you seven million times. 🫶
Monday, July 20, 2026
Public Occurrences July 20, 2026
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Trump to Impose 50% Tariff on Many Canadian Goods
The administration will use an untested legal provision to put significant duties on Canadian exports, reigniting a clash with one of America’s biggest trading partners.
nytimes9:01 am:
"King of the North", Andy Burnham, former Manchester Mayor is Britain's New Prime Minister
LeBron LeWatch
The Gamble-holics have no knowledge but their non-knowledge has coalesced the last two days:
On Kalshi the odds at post time are Miami 46%, Cleveland 27%.
On the much smaller volume Polymarket they are 46.4%-25.4%.
The darts they throw are precise. But are they accurate? They don't know. I don't know. That is the state of non-knowledge on July 20, 10:56 pm.
Sunday, July 19, 2026
LeBron LeWatch
Kalshi: Miami 47%, Cleveland 35%, GSW 13%
Polymarket: Miami 48.2%, Cleveland 31.3%, GSW 13.1%
Saturday, July 18, 2026
July 2026
If Pat Riley pulls this off, landing both Giannis Antetokounmpo and Lebron James in the same month, I give up, that's the NBA executive GOAT right there.
He will have gotten LeBron in essentially a two-superstars-at-one-price deal for Giannis, requiring no additional personnel assets, for only (deeply discounted) money. The combined deal would be Giannis, Bobby Portis and LBJ for Tyler Herro, Kel'el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kasparas Jakučionis, the rights to Nate Ament, two first round and two second round draft picks.
Public Occurrences July 18, 2026
US military says 2 troops are dead and 1 is missing after Iran attacks a base in Jordan
The U.S. military on Saturday announced its first troop deaths due to direct Iranian fire since the opening days of the war, with two killed and another missing in an attack on a base in Jordan after days of intensifying exchanges of fire.
...
remarks read out on state TV and attributed to Mojtaba Khamenei...called President Donald Trump’s signature “worthless and invalid.” An Iranian negotiator said Tehran was suspending its commitments to the interim deal signed about a month ago and aimed at permanently ending the fighting.
Very ominous.
9:49 am:
No "Unconditional Surrender?"
How the US and Iran dragged each other back toward war
APRight? That is a precisely correct headline. War usually requires at least one side to make a fundamental miscalculation. Miscalculation presupposes calculation as alternative and calculation is a rational process. Here, I won't say never, I'll say I never heard of both sides not calculating, of being irrational...Well, that's the Toilet Nation. Is Iran calculating? No. This is irrational on Iran's part too. Maybe this is a near-first and these two lobotomy patients will stumble into peace? Probably not.
*
*Gamblers Anonymous update
On no credible intel whatsoever the odds at post time are:
Polly: Biscayne Bay 36%, Lake Mistake 28%, Broad Street 16%, San Fran Bay 14%
Kalshi: B.B. 35%, L.M. 29%, S.F. 17%, B.S. 14%.
The darts continue to be very "precise". "Accurate"? 🤷
July 17:
Gambling Anonymous update:
On no credible intel whatsoever the odds at post time are:
Polymarket Lake Mistake 29%, Biscayne Bay 25%, San Fran Bay 23%, Broad Steeet 19%.
Kalshi Lake Mistake 31%, Bisayne Bay 28%, San Fran Bay 23%, Broad Street 15%.
July 16, 11:56 pm:
I'm a believer in betting markets as an accurate predictor of the future...in some subjects. In a presidential horse race, for example, they are as accurate as survey research polling. In similar long lead time one v. one matchups in sports, for another: Ohio vs Michigan, "Knicks"-"Spurs" in the NBA Finals. In the NBA regular season on the other hand, the games coming every other day on average, the line is interesting but I would not bet on it, so to speak.
Now, in the NBA and on other subjects, you can bet on just about anything. "Props" bets, i.e. an individual player's stats for a game, are just one example of how exotic sports futures investing has become. Mindless too. What data inform a wager that Terry Rozier will score under 12 points in a game against New Orleans? You're an addict if you make props bets. Easily manipulated too.
The markets on LeBron James' next team are mindless. There is no data to make an informed investment. It's all hunches, guesses, wishes, and fears. So right now Polymarket investors have Golden State a close second, at 33.6%, to Cleveland (34.2%). Over on Kalshi, the odds are 32% and 36%. Yeah, the polls in two of the last three presidential elections were similarly precise. "Precise" has a meaning in statistics: your data is closely clustered together, just not around the bulls eye. "Accuracy" is the statistical term for darts that land near the bulls eye. There is no meaningful data on Golden State and Cleveland; no meaningful data on Miami or Philadelphia. Yeah, it's a little interesting--in the absence of data, to see where people put their money, but this isn't a horse race, there is no "track record" that can be checked for any of these horses, and the only intel is basically limited to what Shams Charania puts out. For what it's worth, and I do think Shams is worth a lot, it's among Cleveland, Miami, and Philadelphia (that is alphabetical listing only). Don't tell the dudes gambling their lives away at Polymarket and Kalshi that.
Friday, July 17, 2026
Public Occurrences July 17, 2026
Trump blames Canada for wildfire smoke, says he will add cost to tariffs
Reuters
US and Iran escalate strikes across Mideast; bridges and a water plant hit
OTTAWA, July 17 (Reuters) - President Donald Trump on Friday blamed Canada for wildfire smoke spreading across the United States and said he would add the "incalculable cost" of dealing with the pollution to existing tariffs on Canadian goods.
"We are holding Canada responsible for the fact that they are not properly maintaining their Forests ... and the United States is being unnecessarily invaded by filthy, polluted, and unhealthy air," he said in a Truth Social post.
"This is Willful Negligence, and becoming a yearly occurrence, costing the United States Billions of Dollars, which cost of this pollution must of necessity be added to the TARIFFS Canada is currently paying."
4:50 pm:
Good day! The undersigned Idiot Blogger was a total lazy bones today. Now to the public occurrences...
US and Iran escalate strikes across Mideast; bridges and a water plant hit
DUBAI, United Arab Emirates (AP) — The United States and Iran escalated their attacks across the Middle East on Friday, trading strikes aimed at infrastructure and military targets as their battle over the Strait of Hormuz intensified.
The U.S. expanded its attacks against Iran by hitting more bridges and energy sites and collapsing a tower at a key Iranian port...In response, Iran launched missiles into U.S.-allied nations in the Mideast, including Qatar, a mediator in the war, and Kuwait, where one of the desert nation’s water desalination plants was damaged.
That is a win for the Toilet Nation. Those are strategic sites hit in Iran. Their response was to throw a temper tantrum and pick on the little kids. That's not wise nor strategic nor a winning move. Iran is irrational here.
Jaylen-Optionality Trade
Since I mentioned that, Shams Charania reported yesterday the one consideration that makes this all make more sense now: Jaylen Brown is eligible this summer, right now, for a 2-year contract extension at $70M per. Shams:
"They knew they were not gonna offer (that)... and that would have caused a reaction. This could have gotten ugly."
Which is Team Joy?* # **
**Update. I neglected to mention one factor working against Golden State: playing in the Western Conference. You notice that all of the Lebron contenders except Peaceniks are in the Least: Lake Mistake, Biscayne Bay, Broad Street, Ice? LeBron said after his "Lakers" were eliminated by OKC that they "out-talented us". La-La Lake-Lake finished fourth this season just past. Peaceniks finished TENTH, yeah, just like the "Heat" in the Least, with a WORSE RECORD, 37-45, than the "Heat". Didn't make the playoffs from the play-in, just like Miami. This off-season Peaceniks have done bupkus. The "Heat" got Giannis Antetokounmpo! That's MORE than nothing. Phila. was nowhere on LeBron's radar until Beans traded Jaylen Brown to them for "optionality".
There is no way in haill that 41-year old LeBron James can lift Peaceniks, with co-stars Steph Curry (38) and Draymond Green (36) into contention with OKC and San Antonio. Frigging NO WAY. So while it is probably true that LeBron is not ring-chasing, he also does not want to slip from irrelevance into retirement.
End of ** update.
Fullcourtpass
@Fullcourtpass
There is a sense LeBron James could make his decision after NBA summer league is over, per @JakeLFischer
#Updated Update:
Steve Kerr to a fan today: "We need LeBron." Kerr: "Oh we got him." Kerr is a good-humored, humorous guy and as you can hear the fan and those with him started laughing. Kerr being funny? Idk.
And then...
Fullcourtpass
@Fullcourtpass
There is a sense LeBron James could make his decision after NBA summer league is over, per @JakeLFischer
The final day is this Sunday (7/19)
(Miami is 11% on Kalshi.)
*Update. That was well-reasoned wasn't it? Thank you. But Shams said, after I posted this shit, that it's down to Lake Mistake, Biscayne Bay, and...Broad Street. Golden Pond is NOT among the three finalists. Apologize for any inconvenience.
LeBron James' agent has stated that James' next team will be chosen on where he can find the most happiness to end his career.
1) LBJ is a basketball billionaire. He does not care who has the most money to offer him.
2) LBJ has won three rings. Winning a fourth is not his top priority.
3) Happiness/Joy = less pressure + lifestyle
Criteria one rules out Miami.
Criteria two rules out Cleveland.
Criteria three rules out Miami (ALWAYS pressure in "Heat Culture")...
Jimmy Butler left Miami to get "joy" back
...and Cleveland (they have to win a title).
So the consensus top contender, Cleveland, is ruled out. The up-until-recently second top contender, Miami, is ruled out. On Rich Paul's stated criteria, which team is going to get LeBron?
"Heat" wound too tight; Golden State Joy
Where did JB III go to get his "joy back"?
Golden State.
Thursday, July 16, 2026
Паблік Океренсес», 16 липня 2026 року
Just another turd in the Toilet Nation toilet bowl, sharing the criteria for diagnosis, "American": mentally ill, violent, white, stupid.
AP Exclusive: ICE officer in Maine shooting has history of violent behavior, family and records say
David Brouillette has a history of terrifying and violent behavior, according to those relatives. They accuse him of attacking women in his life over the years, and one shared a voicemail with the AP from last winter in which he told her that he thought someone should slit her throat.
8:58 am:
8:58 am:
Uh Oh: Street Protests in Ukraine as Zelensky Forces Out Young, Popular Face Of Ukraine, Drone Innovator Fedorov
Mykhailo Fedorov, 35, was the Minister of Defense who thrilled Ukrainians and impressed the world with his spectacularly successful drone warfare innovations and soldier-consumer armament procurement program.
Those made him popular with the soldiers but also the face of the opposition to Zelensky and unpopular among generals. Telling personal aides he could no longer manage the conflicts, Zelensky fired him.
Wednesday, July 15, 2026
😳
Well, I, er...Okay, okay! I did it a few times--WORE SOME SHIRTS THAT WAS ALL! WE DID NOT HAVE A RELATIONSHIP! I do NOT now nor did I EVER have a relationship with Mr. Lauren OR his sponsorships. I am "FAMILIAR, but (DECIDEDLY) NOT INTERESTED."
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