Tuesday, April 25, 2017

Trump, Suicide is Painless


Ivanka Trump Is Jeered in Berlin After Defending Her Father

She didn't vote for you, Trump.

You don't even know how to act. Do you even know where you are? Maybe in your dotage your mind  wandered back to Miss Universe and you thought you heard "There she is Miss America." OR, maybe you forgot what country and were expecting the Russian national anthem.

Do you even know where "your" "wife," the "First" "Lady" is?

Melania Trump Refuses To Move Into White House? No Signs She’ll Leave Trump Tower

She didn't vote for you, Trump.

She doesn't want to be with you, Trump. She doesn't love you anymore. She doesn't want to fuck your short, stumpy, impotent dick anymore. She's cucking you, Trump. She's fucking Schwarzenegger. She hates you like everybody else. 

You cornhole Bannon now. Sad!

Trump, What Have You Gotten Right?

Judge blocks Trump order on sanctuary city funding

Trump backs down on border wall funding

House oversight committee: Flynn might have broken the law

Those are just today's bird pumps, Trump.

You are a walking, talking fuck-up.

You are a chattering beast.

You are a head of swine.

You are incompetent.

You are impotent

You are a fool.

You are stupid.

You are the cause of stupidity in others.

You have the brain of a bird that can only fly backwards.

You put the ugly in American.

You are an idiot in search of a village.

You are the Banana in the Republic.

You are a danger to yourself and others.

You are the shit in the creek.

You are an abortion.

Commit suicide, Trump. Just do it.

Monday, April 24, 2017

There are no hockey fans like Edmonton "Oilers" hockey fans. Just watch, or, more to the point, listen to this, it's only 1:27 long: EdmontonSanJoseGame42006

Bees and Gees, this here undersigned has seen a lotta insane sports crowds in his 61 years. Until hearing that the most electric crowd I had ever been a part of was in 1984, a Monday Night Football game between the Chicago "Bears" and Miami "Dolphins." Not only did I not have my voice the next day but my palms were bruised from clapping. I had been in Miami all of two years, had the slimmest connection to the "Dolphins" but got that caught up in the game. That was the most intense, hard-hitting tackle football game I have ever witnessed. But for one peak frisson I have never heard a crowd react as insanely and as loudly (reportedly 123 decibels) as that "Oilers" crowd did in aught-six.

Brief background to the next video. San Jose fans thought they heard some boos in Edmonton's Rexall Place when the American anthem was played during that series. From what I have read, the "boos" did not occur, they were a distortion caused by TV mics. Nonetheless, the Americans in San Jose took offense and really DID boo "O Canada" as retaliation. The next game, back in Edmonton, no semblance of booing occurred during the playing of the "Star Spangled Banner." But when it came to the playing of "O Canada" the entire crowd joined in lustily singing. It so awed the "Oilers" singer that he stopped and turned his mic to the crowd to finish the anthem. That was a moment.

And so we fast forward eleven years and Edmonton is back in the playoffs for the first time in the new Rogers Place against...San Jose and this happens. Goose bumps, baby! EdmontonSanJoseOCanada2017
Trump, why is the Carl Vinson there now? Things have been real quiet! Now, you poke a stick through the bars of his cell and agitate the loon again. Makes no sense, Trump...By the way, Trump, fuck you.

"An Aurora Called 'Steve'? Strange Sky Phenomenon Investigated"-Space

Science?! Strong play, Science, strong. You can call me Al.

"Men removing condoms during sex in disturbing online trend 'stealthing' "-Fox News

Not bad, Health. Incomprehensibility is key to a funny headline and I have no fucking idea what that means, but the "credit" goes to the incomprehensible Foxes, not you Health. SOWY!
Arsenal, you will be pleased to hand over Alexis Sanchez before the start of next season. 

Sunday, April 23, 2017

Another thing: We are a root-cause determining society. "Can't cure the symptoms unless you cure the cause!" Utter bullshit.

When you go to a doctor, or to an auto mechanic, you can present with the most common complaint imaginable: "I've had a runny nose and aches for three days." "Had trouble starting the car today." What do they do? "We have to diagnose. Let's take a blood sample first." No. YOU HAVE A COLD MOTHER-FUCKER! Your blood work has nothing to do with it! Make them treat your symptoms. They make a routine of taking your blood because getting to the "root cause" is in their blood. They're gonna find something! Guaranteed. I went to the doctor once feeling fatigued, had felt unusually fatigued for an unusual amount of time. So, went to the doctor. "Let's do your blood work." My PSA came back elevated--had nothing to do with my fatigue symptoms--"You'll want to get your prostate checked." Course, turned out I had prostate cancer, WHICH HAD NOTHING TO DO WITH FEELING FATIGUED. NEVER did anything for my fatigue.

I took the rust bucket into the shop last week. "It's hesitating or jumping on the highway, back-firing or farting or something." "We have to diagnose. We don't know what's wrong with your car."
Really? I thought. You HAVE NO IDEA from those symptoms? Never heard of such a thing before? You want to come out and look at it? Maybe take it for a diagnostic test drive. Is the "Needs Maintenance" light being on for a month of any relevance to your diagnosis? No? Alright, then. "We'll put your car through our diagnostic computer, that will cost $129. Then we'll fix it. You'll have to leave the car with us for at least a day. There's an Enterprise Car Rental right around the corner." "Oh, I see" (to self). I have to go the hospital for a day for a fucking cold? No. I left. Took the rust bucket to Jiffy Lube.

FDR had so many fucking physical problems he was a medical case study. Had to go to the White House doctor every year for a check up, though. "Help him manage the symptoms" was that doc's mantra. 

The Hypocritic Oath

"I can tell you, if you're listening out there, if you have a back problem, stay away from surgery. I can say that from the bottom of my heart. Rehab, rehab, rehab. Don't let anybody get in there."
 -Steve Kerr, head coach Golden State Warriors, who has missed two games with complications from back surgery and may miss the rest of the post-season.

I wish to add more sweeping advice. DO NOT EVER HAVE SURGERY, ANYWHERE until you have spoken to specialists in other fields. You go to a surgeon for a problem, (s)he is going to recommend surgery. "If you can't cut, you can't cure" is the surgeon's mantra. You go to a specialist in another field, like rehabilitation, for the same problem, you'll get a non-surgical "solution." They recommend what they know and they think what they know is best. Get the advice of professionals in widely different fields and then choose. "If you cut, you can't cure" is as likely to be true.
"Dragons is so stupid."
"When I say whoa, I mean WHOA!"
Must have been a blast working at Looney Tunes back then. Writers be cracking each other up all day, I bet; don't know, but I'll bet.
Daffy Duck and Porky Pig never did much for me and the Roadrunner, I positively did not like. Loved Foghorn Leghorn, too.
"Whoa camel, whoa camel, WHOA camel! Ah come on whoa."

To me, the Yosemite Sam character is the funniest creation of the Looney Tunes studio and, next to the Oscar winning rabbit himself--for whom he is the perfect foil--their most enduring creation.

Saturday, April 22, 2017

Oh man, Chelsea pummeled "Spurs" 4-2 at the Bridge. "Spurs" was the only club with any hope of catching them. Oh, well, worthy champions, Swine Chelsea, they have been excellent all season. Worthy champions.

Oh my goodness, Zlatan Ibrahimovic fucked up his knee bad in ManU's 2-1 win over Anderlecht on Thursday in the Europa League. Marcos Rios too, but I don't know who that is. Know who Ibra is. Ibra's the only reason the "Bucs" had a shot at winning that thing (auto qualification for Champs if they do). "Significant" knee ligament injuries to both. Not lookin' good for the "Bucs." Ibrahimovic has had a phenomenal year. He's an older guy, too. Very too bad. Sorry for Ibrahimovic. And United too. Bad break.

Didn't miss anything else "significant" today.
So what's news, anything? I hope not cuz I haven't been paying attention. Haven't looked in hours. Know what I've been doing?
                                                                   Looney Tunes! Never been cartoons as good as Looney Tunes in the 1950's. I've been watching them for sixty years. This one is a sequel to one called "Feed the Kitty". Love "Feed the Kitty." Same kitten in this one, which I have forgotten the name of already,.."Kitty Framed" or "Cat Framed," something like that, same Dog-Protector, the man of the house instead of the housewife in 'Feed the Kitty" and the villain, the big cat of the house. 'Toon opens with the adorable little kitty asleep on it's throw pillow.

Along comes the jealous big cat and...

That is so rude.
That's approximately what we used to do to Rusty on a cold day. Damn Rusty'd always be laying in front of the heat vent on the floor. GETOUTTATHERE!

As the big cat goes flying from the kick, he, Bartholomew?, I think that was the dog's name, puts Kitty back in her bed...
And then reaches to grab the big cat by the throat as he falls back to earth.
Oh, no, we're not done! He's not getting off with just a kick.
Right in the kisser!
The master of the house hears the ruckus. Ah jeez. Bartholomew hears him come and takes his eye off the cat to look up at him.

Smack! with the walking stick.

Ouch! But it's worth it to pummel the evil big cat and Bartholomew won't let him go just yet...

"Just one more? Just one more little punch?"

"Just like that. It'll help him come to."



Bartholomew is on queer street but he can't let the cat off so lightly. "What did you say? Down? You want me to put him down? I didn't hear."

"Then he has to go UP first, as I understand it."

"Up-a-daisy, cat."

"See master, up THEN DOWN, K?"

"See, DOWN. Am I a good dog?"

LOVE that cartoon. Never had seen it before.
"This just in":

Volleyball Over, North Koreans Go Back to Work at Nuclear Site, Analysts Say


North Korea appears to have resumed work at its nuclear test site after a perplexing series of volleyball matches were held there, according to analysts who studied satellite images of the site, renewing concerns that a major weapons test could be imminent.


Friday, April 21, 2017

The Case for a Warm War on Russia

I strongly believe that the attack yesterday on police on the Champs-Elysees in Paris, is Russian-inspired as a pre-election surprise to boost Putin's candidate, Marine Le Pen. I thought the same about the Christmas attacks in Germany. And, of course, it is now generally accepted that Russia interfered in the U.S. election to harm Hillary Clinton and to aid Donald von Clownstick. It is Russia's goal to destabilize the Western democracies and how better to do that than to make people question the legitimacy of the democratic electoral process? Trump was reading from a script written in Moscow when he began claiming repeatedly during the campaign that "the election is rigged." It is also an old Soviet statecraft technique to falsely accuse, preemptively is best, your enemy of the very conduct in which you are engaged. So: the election was rigged--but by the Russians working with and for Trump. Preemptively accusing Clinton of rigging the election is psychological prophylactic. When, as there was, evidence that Trump was rigging the election, Trump beat Clinton to it. He who makes the accusation first puts his enemy at a psychological disadvantage, she now appears desperate, defensive, reactive-You're just saying that now because I accused you of it first.

If Russia can get its "useful fool" elected, as with Trump, all the better, but Russia wins simply when there are enough useful fools who believe the false accusation against their enemy. In Trump supporters, Russia hit the world motherlode of fools. Do you remember? There were pledges by Trump supporters to assassinate Hillary Clinton or "lock her up!" before her inauguration had she won. They were going to prevent it. If she had lived to be inaugurated Republicans in Congress were immediately going to begin and never let up on impeachment. Thus, even if Hillary Clinton had won, Russia would have won more. A Clinton presidency would have been DOA, figuratively and perhaps literally.

Russia has made a detailed analysis of where each of the Western democracies is most vulnerable to fomenting a legitimation crisis. In France, it clearly is the incompetence of the gendarme. In Germany, a terrorist truck attack at a Christmas market was a bold gambit by Russia to undermine the uber stability of German politics. Angela Merkel is the unquestioned leader of European stability, and hence a stalwart foe of the Russian covert mission of de-legitimization. The tool is fashioned to local conditions. With France, it was an easy call: recruit an Islamist to attack the the symbolic heart of the French Republic. In Germany, show that it could be done at all and you strike at the head, Merkel. Batter, you don't have to assassinate, the head, addle the faculties, create doubt among supporters, and you win a battle of delegitimization and live to fight more. Live on to fight more battles and the battles combine to form war.

It is convenient to Russia's strategy of delegitimization when its agents are killed. Here they have an advantage with recruiting Islamic agents. They will gladly die in a cause in which they are pawns of the Kremlin. Dead men tell no tales.

The Russians believe, and they convinced the Obama's to believe, that responses in kind to Russian cyber attacks were too dangerous. Cyber attacks of the kind Russia utilized in the American election exposed ultra-wired America to war game retaliation scenarios: hacking into flood control computers, everything in America is computer-controlled, could produce several Johnstown Floods each of greater devastation than the original and, according to a White Paper, America is five to ten years away from protecting its cyber infrastructure. Russia is better than we are, better than the U.S., because the U.S. is defenseless.

France is comparative child's play given the most elemental inability to protect against mere street attacks. Nothing sophisticated needed in France. Le Pen could win: Just ask Donald Trump.

Brexit seems to me far less Russian influenced. True, Nigel Lafarge, a Trump campaign surrogate in Mississippi, said he spoke for his British racists in UKIP when he said he and they did not see Russia as the threat. It was Europe that was the threat to their racist conception of Britishness: they were white, Putin and the Russians were white. That was their one test. Still, I did not see then, I do not see now, I have never seen, significant Russian effort in Britain over Brexit. Putin's 2015 nationalism speech was consistent with the Brexit cause, provided psychological comfort, but I would not go so far as to say it was inspiration. Brexit was an English thing and while there may always be an England there may not always be a Great Britain. Brexit though, with apparently minimal Russian aid, was a boon to Russian aims to destabilize Europe. Will certainly make the EU less attractive to the likes of Ukraine! Divide and, if not conquer, at least weaken, and keep at that on a wide front and you may conquer.

There has been no conceivably commensurate American or Western response to Russian cyber destabilization. Yet, Russia suddenly finds the bromance it had with China during the Obama years apparently cooling. That was the team that frustrated America repeatedly at the UN. Now however, China, not today of course, nothing fucking is happening with China today, but China has taken a clear step or two toward America. Which means a step or two away from Russia.

Russia has its own vulnerabilities. It has a legitimation crisis far more serious than the stable Western democracies. The attack on America's electoral legitimacy in 2016 was birthed in Hillary Clinton's critique of Putin's own rigged election in 2012. It is vulnerable to civil and political unrest. See Pussy Riot. Russia has shown herself, like France, not quite in control of herself. Putin blushed with embarrassment that Alexei Navalny was able to catch Russian police so flat-footed in the recent nationwide protests.

State security forces everywhere, in America too, struggle to prevent lone wolf attacks but the Russian and French police struggle more than do the American and British. The recent St. Petersburg metro bombing. There are zillions of Muslims on Russia's borders and they have far more reason and ability to terror attack right at the gates of the Kremlin than on the Champs-Elysees. Imagine a series of 9/11-style coordinated attacks throughout Russia. Look at the chaos Alexei Navalny caused with protests via social media. In Merkel's stock phrase, "We can do that.": And imagine the American manipulated Muslim terrorists blowing themselves up in the process. Dead men tell no tales.

40,000,000 €=$42,821,600

UEFA just gave us back $42 mil? FUCK.
Arsenal, if you have any good players left, I'd put them sumbitches in a chastity belt or something. You know what Sheikh Mansour likes to do with his money! LOVE Sheikh Mansour. Sheikh Mansour, muah.
Wow, Manchester City just got refunded 40 million € by UEFA.

How much is that in "real" money? Not in frigging Euros or Sombreros. Lira. 40,000,000 lira would be worth, what $1.16? DOLLARS, AMERICAN DOLLARS, no Canadian Looney Dollars either! Pisses me off. "Euros." Isn't the Euro some car. 40,000,000 cars even if they're Euros would be worth something. IT'S A FRIGGING CAR! Forty million cars would be worth something. Une momento por favor...
In China news some 70,000,000 year old dinosaur eggs have been found in China.

Is my news being censored or something? This whole captivating cluster of issues has just disappeared. What's the latest on Chinese bombers maintenance? I want regular maintanence updates. Where's Trump's armada? Where is the Carl Vinson? Pisses me off.
Not even any volleyball updates from 38north. I don't like this day.
There is NOT ONE Deepark article in the news today. 

Thursday, April 20, 2017

I have a vision. A dream. I see in my dream a fat, fade head:

I see the fat, fade head being batted over a net, strung along the 38th parallel. Over and over, back and forth, back and forth, in a friendly game between the People's Republic of China and the United States of America. Spike! Heh-heh-heh-heh. Night, night, hermites. Sweet dreams.
The Beeb, too! What is this world coming to.

North Korea tension: Volleyball spotted in nuclear test site

I cannot believe that the Former Quasi's have stooped so low as to steal a laugh from a poor, idiot blogger:

Activity Spotted at North Korea Nuclear Test Site: Volleyball

    Something Might Be Happening

    Teacher Shen's essay is still up.

    Then there was this from an April 17 op-ed in the Formerly Quasi Official New York Times:

    Most observers forget that North Korea’s nuclear arsenal is aimed at China as well as the United States and its allies.

    :o Really? Aimed at China? Some observers of the idiot blogger persuasion never knew. China does not like to be encircled, now!

    Around the same time was the change in Chinese tone noted by idiots and 38northers both.

    Then this very early today (normal people time):

    (CNN)China may be getting fed up with continued nuclear bluster from long-time ally North Korea and tilting toward the United States.
    [Chinese] spokesman Lu Kang praised recent US statements on the North Korean issue.

    "American officials did make some positive and constructive remarks... such as using whatever peaceful means possible to resolve the (Korean) Peninsula nuclear issue. This represents a general direction that we believe is correct and should be adhered to," Lu said.


    NOW, just within the last hour or so, THIS:

    US official: With eye on North Korea, China puts bombers on 'high alert'

    (CNN)Chinese air force land-attack, cruise-missile-capable bombers were put "on high alert" on Wednesday as the US sees evidence that the Chinese military is preparing to respond to a potential situation in North Korea, a US defense official tells CNN.

    The official said the US has also seen an extraordinary number of Chinese military aircraft being brought up to full readiness through intensified maintenance.

    These recent steps by the Chinese are assessed as part of an effort to "reduce the time to reacte to a North Korea contingency," the official said

    But then, there is this:

    "Nobody thinks the Chinese are going to press North Korea militarily or bring the regime to its knees, but the strategy looks to China to find a political solution more than anything else," one senior administration official said.

    Well, what the fuck are they doing if not "pressing North Korea militarily"?! They're damn well pressing SOMEONE militarily and it doesn't seem in context it would be the U.S. and South Korea.

    The gestalt key shift here is the DPRK's nukes being aimed at China, too. Combine that gem with Chinese fear of encirclement, and good shift happens! If China, rather than the U.S., prevents another DPRK nuclear or missile test, then China will have prevented their encirclement. Instead, they will have encircled from the west, with South Korea to the south and America to the east, the DPRK, the last remaining loop in their feared Magic Kingdom East of Japan, Taiwan and a unified, Americanized Korea. That loop will be kept forever open, as will un's asshole for China's personal use and abuse, for China will then own un, they will make un their bitch and they will get to keep Kim Enterprises racist, dwarf Hermit Kingdom for their very own.

    This is an extraordinary moment.

    DPRK: "Super-mighty preemptive strike" will reduce U.S., South Korea to "ashes"

    You still gotta get one of those to not blow up on the pad, fade boy.

    Wednesday, April 19, 2017

    I Swear to Fucking God

    [1] Volleyball is a popular sport in North Korea and satellite imagery often identifies games in progress throughout the nation. Personnel playing volleyball at the Punggye-ri nuclear test facility have also been identified on a number of occasions as far back as 2006 prior to the first nuclear test and more recently in February. To date, however, there have been no instances of three concurrent volleyball games.

    "After listening for 10 minutes, I realized it’s not so easy."

    Personal record for Trump, listening for 10 minutes. That's how long it took China's Xi to convince America's Jeeh! that "it's not what you think," China's power over North Korea.

    This 38North is a good site for DPRK-specific news and you know how much I want to transform Public Occurrences into an "all North Korea, all the time" site. It's not so easy

    The article that the link takes you to offers informed suggestion on Chinese thought and action, and that I am always interested in, for real. The knowledgeable 38North writer confirms what this idiot blogger thought, and wrote, in the previous post: that there really has been a change in Chinese tone. Now, why? Peter 38 North offers three suggestions:

    1. If there were war, there goes the neighborhood: nuclear fallout, refugees, yada yada, and China lives in that 'hood.
         A. I'm going to make this a separate sub-suggestion because in my opinion it deserves it but respect Peter's enumeration: China is not down with a reunified Korean peninsula because it will be unified as an American peninsula and combined with Japan and Taiwan to become a platform for the U.S. to confront China. China would rather go halfsies with us even if that means they get the racist dwarf half. That sounds stupid but it is true and Peter thus concludes his first suggestion. Uncle Ben wishes to add that Chinese thinking here taps into an ancient Chinese anxiety: the fear of encirclement. The soul of China, the animating principle of their thought and behavior, is survival. Encirclement makes them fear for their survival. Yes, that is stupid, too, I just wanted to add that level of Chinese stupidity to Peter's. Next!

    2. China is more batshit now than in previous Korean crises because they really do think the DPRK and the U.S. could rumble with nukes this time. I also thought that and wrote it in the previous post. Peter suggests however that the Chinese fear is not that those crazy DPRK-niks bird pump and set off a glow in the dark peninsula but that the Americans are going to! China really believes, really most sincerely believes, that there has been a consensus in America, not just in the current illegitimate, mutant, pseudo official America, but in Official America, and for some years, that the DPRK was NOT going to be allowed to develop ICBM-tipped nukes which could make Seattle and L.A. glow in the dark and that therefore the real danger now is in a preemptive American nuclear strike regardless of whether the DPRK does another underground nuclear test or test fires another missile. You can debate that all you want, I'm not going there again, the De Facto's redebated this last Friday, General McMaster was clear on Sunday but who knows what Trump told Xi in Florida, Pence said today "the sword is at the ready," the point is, this is what the Chinese think, suggests Peter 38 North.

    3. China needs a "constructive" relationship with the U.S.

    Okay, so on that last one, I don't know. That's the shortest paragraph of Peter's suggestions. Did they not want a constructive relationship with the U.S. in the past? When would that have been? Do they REALLY want a constructive relationship now? What does that mean specifically? If Xi convinced Trump in 10 minutes, 600 seconds you know, that Chinese "power" over the DPRK "is not what you think," that "it's not easy" for China to influence the DPRK, then that sounds like a pretty damn constructive relationship Xi constructed, Trump is satisfied, and the Chinese need do no more.

    What it sounds like to me.

    "Trump's lie over the Carl Vinson"

    “Trump’s lie over the Carl Vinson,” read a headline on the website of the newspaper JoongAng Ilbo on Wednesday. “Xi Jinping and Putin must have had a good jeer over this one.”

    “Like North Korea, which is often accused of displaying fake missiles during military parades, is the United States, too, now employing ‘bluffing’ as its North Korea policy?” the article asked.

    The episode raised questions about whether major allies of the United States, like South Korea and Japan, had been informed of the carrier’s whereabouts, and whether the misinformation undercut America’s strategy to contain North Korea’s nuclear ambitions by using empty threats.
    “We’re sending an armada,” President Trump said 10 days ago. https://www.nytimes.com/2017/04/19/world/asia/aircraft-carrier-south-korea.html?_r=0

    There also is a change:

    North Korea tension: China 'seriously concerned' about nuclear threats


    There is a change in the frequency of Chinese expressions of concern, and in their tone. China is REALLY concerned. 

    "If the US is planning a military attack against us, we will react with a nuclear pre-emptive strike by our own style and method," [DPRK] Vice-Foreign Minister Han Song-ryol told the BBC on Monday.

    The BBC's Stephen McDonell in Beijing says the Chinese government appears to be becoming increasingly frustrated with North Korea, its traditional ally.

    "I have noted the recent report," Mr Lu said, referring to the BBC interview. [Translated, "We are going batshit crazy in Zhongnanhai with those fucking racist dwarfs."]

    "China expresses serious concern with recent trends about North Korea's nuclear and missile development.

    "China is unswerving in its commitment to realising the denuclearisation of the Korean peninsula, maintaining the peace and stability of the Korean peninsula, and continue to solve matters through dialogue and negotiations."

    [China, on whom the DPRK is heavily dependent on trade, suspended coal imports after the "Citrus Summit." And then there is that article by Shen Zhihua, published March 22, still up on his university's website and Shen not struggled. Maybe "yet" should be appended to both clauses of that sentence. If it is correct to view DPRK actions over the last 60 years from an anthropological perspective then the DPRK is rational...for a paranoid psychopath. There is a method to their madness. They don't really want to be blown up. They do want to attack the South, again, would love to attack the U.S., but don't want to do those things if the cost is being blown up. China is not taking the recent statements and actions by the DPRK and the U.S. as palimpsest, however. They're taking them at face value. Since the Chinese are themselves masters of misdirection, I pay particular attention when they are direct. Here, they are direct, are sincerely alarmed. Which means: 1. That nuclear war is still "on the table" for both sides and 2. That China wants to end this crisis before anybody gets blown up.]
    Do you get a "Would you like to translate this page?" pop-up in the upper right on the front page? Don't bother. Really good translation, Google. Thank you very not much. 

    Tuesday, April 18, 2017


    “Judging by the current situation, North Korea is China’s latent enemy and South Korea could be China’s friend. We must see clearly that China and North Korea are no longer brothers in arms, and in the short term there’s no possibility of an improvement in Chinese-North Korean relations.”
    “The fundamental interests of China and North Korea are at odds. China’s fundamental interest lies in achieving a stability on its borders and developing outward. But since North Korea acquired nuclear weapons, that periphery has never been stable, so inevitably Chinese and North Korean interests are at odds.”
    “Many people have asked me, ‘Teacher Shen, why hasn’t your speech been taken down?’ At least it shows that there can be different views about the North Korea issue. It’s up to the center to set policy, but at least you can air different views in public, whereas before you couldn’t."

    Teacher Shen, the Democratic People's Republic of Korea is a tin can tied to the tail of the People's Republic of China. And through the pages of history it shall ever rattle and bang. If Zhongnanhai waits until the end when the tin can is forcibly removed China will thereby be rendered a "tailless dog."




























    客观地讲,朝鲜的拥核政策,核战略,起因于中朝关系的根本改变,起因于中韩建交。原来朝鲜有两个核大国的支持和保护,他自然可以签署核不扩散条约,现在,这两个大国都先后离他而去,正像金日成讲的,朝鲜彻底孤立了。完全没有安全感了。怎么办?只有抓住核武器这个救命稻草。朝鲜先是失去了苏联这个支柱,现在又失去了中国这个支柱,你说他这样一个小小的国家怎么生存?周围的国家都比他强大,比他先进,他要生存,只有一个办法——掌握核武器,依靠大国靠不住,没有核武器很快就会灭亡。1992年8月中韩宣布建交,半年后,1993年3月朝鲜就宣布退出核不扩散条约。以后,朝核危机便不断升级。所以我想,核战略的发展是朝鲜的根本,他绝对不会放弃,这是根本利益,是生存的基础 ,他是不可能放弃的。不过,我看当时中国大概对这个问题没有想清楚,中国的政策也是非常模糊的,没有把握时机,采取主动的姿态对待和处理这一问题。实际上,中国之所以必须与韩国建交,就是从自身的发展战略、国家利益出发的,现在朝鲜拥核,不断搞核试验,就是朝鲜半岛危机不断升级的根源,也是在中国周边制造不安定状态的根本原因。但这是朝鲜的根本利益要求的。这样,在客观上,中朝的根本利益就发生了对立。中国的根本利益是要求周边稳定,对外发展,但自从朝鲜有了核武器,周围就没安稳过,所以中朝利益必然是对立的。我国外交部发言人认为,朝核危机是美朝对立引起的,作为外交辞令,这样说未尝不可,但是作为学者,我们要清楚,朝鲜改行拥核政策,是中朝关系变化引起的,而朝鲜的核试验引起了韩国、日本的恐慌,美国借题发挥,采取了强硬措施,又导致朝鲜核试验不断升级,危机频繁出现。这两件事有关联,但不是一回事。在解决朝核危机的问题上,中国应该采取主动,关键是不能站在维护朝鲜的立场上解决这一问题。




    对朝鲜半岛的统一中国应该持什么立场,应该持一个什么态度。我个人认为还是和平统一。当然这个口号,这个方针,五十年代毛泽东就是这么说的。后来邓小平也是这么说的。一贯的中国政府都是这么说的。但是过去很大程度上是宣传性的,是口号性的,是策略性的。你看看文件你就知道了,提还得提和平统一。从金日成到金正日时代,他对统一的问题大概是这样的,就是把和平统一作为一个口号一个策略提出来,但是呢,私下秘密的武装,武力统一的准备一直在做。他基本的做法是鼓励南朝鲜的革命运动、学生运动。这个在五十年代、六十年代,甚至到七十年代,光州事件,那个时候都有这种可能性。就是只要南方的群众一起来反政府,然后他里应外合就把韩国政府消灭,消灭了他就统一了。这是金日成到金正日的时代他们的南北政策的核心。那现在出了什么问题呢?现在韩国革命还有可能吗?没可能啦!你到韩国去看看,谁革命啊?我这次去了,参加了一百万人的烛光游行,我有一个深刻的体会,我跟着他们的游行队伍走,我觉得韩国不会再闹革命了。你就看着百万人的游行,纪律这么好,这么安静,路线、时间,有条有井,它完全进入了一个社会法治的体系,韩国它已经变了。它已经不是民众反抗,社会走向撕裂的时代了。那个时代金日成还有可能武装统一,现在已经不可能了。他没这个机会了。除非他决心与美国开战。如果要和平统一的话,是没有可能让朝鲜来主导这个统一的。你说韩国可能接受让朝鲜主导吗?我们已经从军人专制走向了一个民主社会,有宪法,有选举,就弹劾一个朴槿惠都这么费劲呐,我们再请来一个皇上?不可能的!所以这个可能性排除了。战争的可能性也可以排除。我可以这样讲,美国是不可能主动发动战争的。你别看他军演,那么折腾,要是中国不点头答应,美国绝不敢发动战争。美国事先不跟中国打招呼,不问中国和俄罗斯的态度,就在这里发动一场战争,那就意味着世界大战的前声。他必定要考虑整个问题。所以你说中国能打这么个仗吗?中国肯定不会答应啊 。中国要是真答应了,那后边这个故事就大了。朝鲜主动发动战争的可能性也不大。为什么?很简单的一个道理。这美国人就等着你干呢!美国人的武力是完全没有问题的。他如果要打击朝鲜就必须站在一个道德制高点上。有理,让全世界谁都说不出什么来。所以你说这点他金家不明白? 他当然明白。他动手那天就是他灭亡之日。美国就等着你呢,你发动战争,美国可能付出一些代价让世界知道,战争是谁发动的,然后翻过手就灭了他。所以我想战争的可能性是不大的。那么就是和平统一,而且是以韩国为主导的和平统一。我个人觉得这应该是个比较好的出路,也应该是中国持有的立场。








    I'd give him the Nobel for that.

    The incompetent person in the Trump administration has to live in that stupor shroud every day.

    So I hope the Trump team learns to delegate — carelessness in one office, backbiting in another. I hope the president continues to play golf (I don’t get those progressive critics who say Trump is ruining the world and then they complain because he takes time off). I hope his team continues to take advantage of the fact that it takes only one inexperienced stooge to undo the accomplishments of 100 normal workers.
    One of the things I’ve learned about incompetence over the past few months is that it is radically nonlinear. Competent people go in one of a few directions. But incompetence is infinite.

    The human imagination is not capacious enough to comprehend all the many ways the Trumpians can find to screw this thing up.


    Modest, endearing. Brooks' best.

    But even Trump will eventually hit the limits of human endurance. I know what it is like to be profoundly incompetent, and it is exhausting.

    Just to take a small example by way of illustration, in the days before GPS I was (and remain) profoundly incompetent at comprehending driving directions. I would ask for directions and all would start off normally: “Go down Fourth Street and take a right on Poplar.”

    But then all would slide into a fog of incomprehensibility and I would keep nodding furiously to try to persuade the person that I could follow what was being said: “Then you toggle over that spur of the thruway that goes under the overpass before the six roundabouts of the gargle.”

    By this time entire hemispheres of my brain had shut down, and as the person kept talking, my entire existence slipped into a catatonic mist: “After that it’s just six wheedles up the perplex and after a quick stop at the bolint it’s the 27th driveway on the right.”


    This column will never be forgotten. It will live forever. This is an instant political classic.

    Trump’s greatest achievements are in the field of ignorance. Up until this period I had always thought of ignorance as a void, as an absence of knowledge. But Trump’s ignorance is not just an absence; it is a rich, intricate and entirely separate universe of negative information, a sort of fertile intellectual antimatter with its own gravitational pull.

    It’s not so much that he isn’t well informed; it’s that he is prodigiously learned in the sort of knowledge that doesn’t accord with the facts of our current dimension.

    It is in its own way a privilege to be alive at the same time as a man who is the Albert Einstein of confirmation bias, a man whose most impressive wall is the one between himself and evidence, a man who doesn’t need to go off in search of enemies because he is already his own worst one.


    Now I’m not underestimating the president’s own capacity for carrying on in an incompetent manner almost . I don’t think we’ve reached peak Trump.

    The normal incompetent person flails and stammers and is embarrassed about it. But the true genius at incompetence like our president flails and founders and is too incompetent to recognize his own incompetence. He mistakes his catastrophes for successes and so accelerates his pace toward oblivion. Those who ignore history are condemned to retweet it.

    David Brooks!

    But can this last? By midsummer, during the high vacation and indictment season, we could see empty hallways in the West Wing and a disorienting incompetence shortage emanating from Washington.


    Twice. I laughed out loud twice at the end of that opening paragraph. I lol'd twice more through the rest of it. This is David Brooks at his best.

    But still, I worry that at the current pace the Trump administration is going to run out of failure. So far, we’ve lived in a golden age of malfunction. Every major Trump initiative has been blocked or has collapsed, relationships with Congress are disastrous, the president’s approval ratings are at cataclysmic lows.

    David Brooks

    I just read that the Trump administration has filled only 22 of the 553 key positions that require Senate confirmation. This makes me worry that the administration will not have enough manpower to produce the same volume and standard of incompetence that we’ve come to expect so far.


    Trump's Lies: No U.S. Destroyers Near Korean Peninsula

    'Powerful' USS Carl Vinson steams toward North Korea

     President Donald Trump on Wednesday told the Fox Business Network, “We are sending an armada, very powerful. We have submarines, very powerful, far more powerful than the aircraft carrier.”
    The “armada,” officially called the U.S. Navy’s Carrier Strike Group 1, is currently making its way toward North Korea. The strike group is led by the flagship U.S.S. Carl Vinson...

    Nothing to see here: US carrier still thousands of miles from Korea

    For more than a week, media reports in the U.S. and around Asia routinely have mentioned the approach of the aircraft carrier Carl Vinson's carrier strike group, seemingly implying an attack on North Korea could be imminent.
    On Saturday — according to photographs released by the U.S. Navy — the carrier passed north through the Sunda Strait, the passage between the Indonesian islands of Sumatra and Java. It's about 3,500 miles from Korea. 
     Off the record, several officials expressed wonderment at the persistent reports that the Vinson was already nearing Korea. “We’ve made no such statement,” said one official. 
    Officials did, however, flatly deny reports that three U.S. carrier strike groups were being directed to mass off the Korean peninsula in a few weeks. TrumpLied

    Aircraft Carrier Wasn’t Sailing to Deter North Korea, as U.S. Suggested

    As worries deepened last week about whether North Koreawould conduct a missile test, the White House declared that ordering an American aircraft carrier into the Sea of Japan would send a powerful deterrent signal and give President Trump more options in responding to the North’s provocative behavior.

    The problem was, the carrier, the Carl Vinson, and the four other warships in its strike force were at that very moment sailing in the opposite direction, to take part in joint exercises with the Australian Navy in the Indian Ocean, 3,500 miles southwest of the Korean Peninsula. TrumpAlwaysLies

    Do We Still Work?

    Humanity, I mean.

    In the long sweep of human history on earth are we a "better" species now than we were 50,000 years ago? Morally better, I mean. We remain one of the few species on earth that routinely kill their own.

    Look at the facts of the world. You see a continual and progressive triumph of the right. I do not pretend to understand the moral universe, the arc is a long one, my eye reaches but little ways...But from what I see I am sure it bends towards justice.
    -Theodore Parker, American anti-slavery champion, 1853.

    Ew, squirm. I don't see that. Americans abolished slavery, it took a war, but we did, all other societies of humans did, formally, legally, but slavery still exists, informally, illegally.

    The arc of the moral universe is long, but it bends toward justice.
      -Martin Luther King, American civil rights champion, 1965.

    Americans abolished racial discrimination, formally, legally, Black Americans are better off for it, America is a morally better society of humans than it was, but racial discrimination still exists in America, informally, illegally. And racial and ethnic discrimination are rampant species-wide in the world today. There are still untouchables. There are still Chinese. There are still Republicans. In the long sweep of human history I do not see even a gradual, "continual and progressive triumph of the right," I do see the more modest "bend" toward justice, formally, legally. Because of the the moral codes of Christianity and Judaism, because those moral codes were incorporated in so much of Western law, I do see the last 2,000-3,000 years of Western humanity bending formally, legally, towards justice. 

    With our brains, which are the only attribute that make us dominant over the other species, we have developed the means to kill our entire species, and all the species of life on earth. Among other things. We have used our brains to do other things, things that have made human life "better". Materially better, I mean.

    We have killed ourselves with an alacrity that has matched our "improved" methods: the firearm, the repeating firearm, TNT, the machine gun, bombing from mechanical flight, splitting the atom.

    We have a longer lifespan than we did 50,000 years ago. The quality of that lifespan is undeniably better. We no longer live hunt-to-hunt or growing season-to growing season, we now life paycheck-to-paycheck...wait.

    There is a natural limit, marked by human attributes, to that arc of history. Humanity can only bend it--And which way is another thing!--according to our abilities.

    There is consensus among smart humans who have looked at the arc of history that there are only two periods where humanity clearly has bent the arc to the material good of the species: 15,000 years ago with the domestication of animals and plants, and the Industrial Revolution, ~1760-~1840. That's it!

    Thus, it can be said that we have "worked," bent the arc of history toward justice, twice in 50,000 years: once about 3,000 years ago with the founding of Judaism, the other about 2,000 years ago, the founding of Christianity; and twice, at two other times, to our material benefit.

    For our dominance of our planet we are a modestly endowed species with much to be modest about.

    "Scientists find giant, elusive clam known as ‘the unicorn of mollusks’"

    Science can be good. That's a good one. Health had its Golden Age and is only fair to middling now.

    Monday, April 17, 2017

    North Korea "The Cuban Missile Crisis in slow motion."

    Nice call, Robert Litwak! Lotta similarities. Um, some...How many?

    The Cuban Missile Crisis was, when I was getting my poli sci degrees, the most studied high-stakes decision-making in history. Cuz JFK tape-recorded EXCOMM's meetings. I studied that fucking thing repeatedly in college and grad school. "Essence of Decision," Graham Alison, I still remember, still have that book. "Thirteen Days," ditto. The consensus of the scholarship at the time, maybe still is, I don't know, is that JFK had been absolutely masterful.

    I'm pretty sure it wasn't until after MIT that I came to think: "No." And that's where I see the only similarity I see to the North Korean crisis. I've written about this before so I'll try not to bore with repetition. The real "essence" of decision-making in the CMC had to do with JFK feeling the need to demonstrate his manhood after Khrushchev had made him his bitch in Vienna in June 1961. JFK wore a hat as disguise the night after the meeting to visit Tom Wicker of the New York Times. "I have never been bullied like that," he told Wicker when he opened the door.

    Kennedy felt he had been politically neutered by Khrushchev. Maybe Khrushchev thought he had neutered JFK, too, I don't remember now. I don't know what the "essence" of Khrushchev decision-making was in thinking he could sneak missiles into Cuba. Probably part of it was though that he thought he had cowed JFK into no response. He done fucked up, Khrushchev did. Of course the clandestine effort was detected by the Americans. What were those big fucking tube things under tarpaulin on those Soviet ships, fucking kielbasa sausages?

    But Khrushchev did not know that JFK had not been cowed, he had been determined to readdress what he later called the "political balance of power" with Khrushchev. And did he ever, hoo doggie! Brought the world to within a "one in three" (JFK's own estimate) chance of general nuclear war just to show Khrushchev how big his dick was. Criminally reckless on Kennedy's part, I came to conclude.

    So now we have an illegitimate, stupid-impulsive with short stumpy fingers and an impotent dick in the White House who has been humiliated by a short fat kid with a bad fade. Trump, in his ignorance, did not know "how hard" the North Korean issue was, and in his stupid impulsiveness said reckless, provocative things, tweeted them to the world, and you tweet and tweak a paranoid psychopath at your own risk, Stupid Donald. Thank God he has got McMaster and Cohen to talk him off the ledge. At least it appears they have. But if Trump has a little bit of JFK's intolerance for being punked in him, AND HE HAS A LOT MORE THAN JFK HAD! then we can see Robert Litwak's analogy more clearly and this will not go away, "It's going to be a long, cold winter," as JFK told Khrushchev in Vienna.

    Sunday, April 16, 2017

    McMaster: NO Military Action Against DPRK

    I am so sick of this subject...

    De Facto's National Security Advisor, sincerely, a true star, among the best and the brightest of the beat and the brightest, Gen. H.R. McMaster, was on ABC's "This Week" Sunday news show, also the best of that bunch...when George Stephanopolous hosts it. Unfortunately, he did not. Martha Raddatz filled in for him and she missed some things, didn't press McMaster as she should have and didn't pick up on a crucial irony, nor where McMaster gave away the de facto administration's true policy on...this thing that makes me puke. An edited (by moi) transcript cum learned commentary by the afore referenced idiot blogger:

    MCMASTER:..Well, the president has made very clear that he is not in the business of announcing in advance exactly what he’s going to do in any particular situation.

    That is the brilliant "unpredictability" of Trump.

    RADDATZ: But the military option’s still on the table?

    MCMASTER: Well, all our options on the table undergoing refinement and further development.

    That was his best shot at a dodge and it was pathetic. McMaster barely held the party line there on "unpredictability." Put that dodge went right over Raddatz' head. OH!
    Raddatz:...[North Korea said] Trump’s aggressive tweets were making trouble.

    Does the aggressive language increase the likelihood of conflict?

    Now, this is an interesting answer. McMaster has difficulty NOT being candid. His boss has difficulty BEING candid.

    MCMASTER: I think it should make clear [i.e. Trump's tweets] to the North Korean regime that it is in their best interest to stop the development of these weapons, to stop the development of these missiles, and to denuclearize the peninsula. And so I think while it’s unclear [i.e. Trump's tweets! Stephanopolous would have pounced.]  -- and want to -- do not want to telegraph in any way how we’ll respond to certain incidents, [He belatedly realized he had criticized the Tweeter-in-chief there and he started stumbling but quickly came back to the message: Unpredictability is good.] it's clear that the president is determined not to allow this kind of capability to threaten the United States. And our president will take action that is in the best interest of the American people. [Pablum.]

    RADDATZ: You know, one of the big concerns here, General McMaster, is how North Korea would respond to aggressive action or some sort of preemptive strike. How do you think they would respond?

    MCMASTER: Well, that’s what particularly difficult about -- about dealing with this regime, is that it is unpredictable... [There's the irony and McMaster must have wanted to crawl into a hole as soon as those words were out. Unpredictability is good in a stupid impulsive dealing with a paranoid psychopath. The virtue of unpredictability should have the logic of reversibility if it is sound, what's good for the stupid impulsive is good for the paranoid psychopath. But McMaster knows better: a hot line was set up in the Kremlin and in the Oval Office after the Cuban Missile Crisis because of the dangers of miscalculation due to unpredictability. And both the Americans and the Soviets at the time were rational! One was not a stupid impulsive nor the other a paranoid psychopath. Clarity and directness in speech and action are crucial to avoid inadvertent nuclear war. Raddatz...This irony, this logical contradiction, Zoom! right over head.]
    MCMASTER:...I think, it’s really the consensus with the president, our key allies in the regions -- Japan and South Korea in particular, but also the Chinese leadership -- that this problem is coming to a head. [That sounds ominous, right? When a pimple comes to a head on my ass I POP that sucker, and you will see lots of headlines that incorporate "coming to a head." You will not see many on what follows. Only USA Today a few hours ago.] And so it’s time for us to undertake all actions we can, short of a military option, to try to resolve this peacefully. [Martha Raddatz? Hello? Are you there, Martha Raddatz? The fig leaf of that earlier inartful dodge just fell off and Raddatz doesn't see it. The internal wrestling McMaster was doing with the message of "Unpredictability uber alles" and what McMaster KNOWS, that unpredictability is the WORST strategy in a crisis with a paranoid psychopath, McMaster lost that wrestling match with himself and let the cat out of the bag: Team Trump has ruled out military action.]
    MCMASTER:...So in the coming weeks, months, I think there’s a great opportunity for all of us -- all of us who are really the threat now of this unpredictable regime [Stephanopolous: "Which unpredictable regime, General?" McMaster would have run off the set.] to take action short of armed conflict, so we can avoid the worst. [So, he said it twice, no military action. Having missed it twice, Raddatz segued away from the peninsula to Syria. Ms. Raddatz PISS POOR job there, PISS POOR.]