Friday, January 26, 2024

Nikkle and Dime Reconsideration...

I'm concerned that the longer Haley's nikkle and dime guerrilla attacks continue the greater the likelihood a Black Swan floats by and rocks Trumpie's boat dangerously. It is not in our interests for the GOP to have a vice-nominee in waiting. When Haley drops out the GOP will be left with no alternative but Trumpie. That is what we want. But Haley dropping out would remove the guerrilla Black Swan. She is driving him nuts. But this is the concern: if she causes a melt-down she is the beneficiary. The bigger the Black Swan the greater the likelihood of a capsize. What if she wins one--which you know she will if she stays in until the convention? If, counterfactually, it happened in South Carolina, this fucking race which is not a race but a slow-walk coronation, would be on! And if she won SC and that gave Trumpie an aneurysm that'd be a double blow to Us. Between South Carolina and Super Tuesday there are Michigan (Feb. 27), and Washington, D.C. March 3. I don't know how brown the Michigan GOP is, but I predict Haley will win D.C. That would not be enough.  Trumpie can mathematically win the nomination on Super Tuesday (March 5). That is soon enough for her to drop out. Haley's strategy tickles me, I admire it, but it better not work!