Conservative-biased RCP average of all recent polling regardless of quality:
National average: Kamala +49.4 trumpie 47.3%, +2.1%, a new high there and almost consist with the Publocc Rule of polling interpretation.
Pennsylvania. Kamala 48.4% trumpie 47.7%. Violates Publocc Rule. A raft of new polls:
USA Today/Suffolk *7th best pollster per 538, 2.9 stars (9/11-9/14, 500 LVs, M.o.E. 4.4) Kamala 49%-46%, +3 (consistent with Publocc Rule). LVs rather than RVs good, but big M.o.E.
NYT/Siena *Best poll overall per 538, 3 stars (9/11-9/16, 1082 LV, M.o.E. "-" (?) Times doesn't admit error?) Kamala 50% trumpie 46%, +4% (consistent with Publocc rule).
Quinnipiac *17th best pollster, 2.8 stars (9/12-9/16, 1331 LV, M.o.E. 2.7%) Kamala 51% trumpie 46%, +5%.
WaPo *2nd best poll, 3 out of 3 stars (9/12-9/16, 1003 LV, M.o.E. 3.6%) 48%-48% (violates Publocc Rule)
Insider/Advantage *95th rated pollster per 538, two out of three stars (9/14-9/15, 800 LV M.o.E. 3.5%) Kamala 48% trumpie 50%, +2%. Violates Publocc Rule, conservative-biased. Disregard.
Marist *6th best pollster, 2.9 stars (9/12-9/17, M.o.E. 49%-49%. Violates Publocc Rule.
The Hill/Emerson *10th best pollster, 2.9 stars (880 LVs, 9/15-9/18, M.o.E. 3.2%) Kamala 47% trumpie 48%, +1%. Violates Publocc Rule.
Political Investors Morning Report: 52.4% 46.1%, +6.3, down 0.7% overnight.
