Investors moved their chips Kamala-way through the day. This evening the lucre is on her 51.7% 46.9%, her widest margin and, from memory, the widest for either candidate.
Current National Temperature
Conservative-biased RCP: Kamala cat 49.3% trumpie dog 47.3%. RCP's average violates my rule of poll interpretation that any poll or average showing trumpie with 47%+ overstates his real support.
Silver Bull: 48.9%-46.0/%. Consistent with the (Benjamin) Harris rule of interpretation.
ABC/538 current: 48.3%-45.3%. Ditto.
Silver Bull and ABC/538 have identical headlines:
November 5 Forecast
ABC/538 Popular Vote:
He's not getting 47.9! The 4.2% margin is however over the Silver Bull Rule that a D has to win the pop. vote by ~3.5 to win in the EC.
Their forecast calls for blue wins in every swing:
319 EVs, not a drenching that would cause a landslide but a thorough soaking still.
