Friday, August 11, 2023

Biden world sees the making of 

a wider path to victory in 2024


The president’s team is focused on the states that got him the White House. But the issue of abortion has them dreaming of something bigger.



The ever-rusts PA, MI, WI; the newie-blueies, NV, AZ, GA; plus eye-glimmers NC, OH, FL (the last three bc of the pro-coat hangers).

Georgia, though, could be more challenging depending on the nominee. Some close to the president believe that it arrived as a swing state ahead of schedule and only Trump’s presence at the top of the ticket puts it in play — especially if coverage of his likely election interference trial there saturates the state. Another Republican, in their view, likely carries it.
…the president’s team is confident in their chances in a second round with Trump.

Alex Conant, a Republican strategist who was a senior advisor to Marco Rubio’s 2016 presidential campaign, said…

“For Trump, can he improve his standing with independents? My sense is that he has not so far. If he can’t, due to reminders of January 6, then you could see Pennsylvania fall off the map, maybe Arizona and Georgia get tougher, too.”
And abortion, [PoJo’s team thinks], will be key. They expect it to drive turnout, including among suburban women and voters who may be lukewarm to the president.

When Roe v. Wade was struck down, “there was a huge shock of ‘Oh my god, this really happened. They really took away a right.’ And as these states have been more and more extremist, you’re seeing more women and families wondering why their government is taking rights away from them,” said [American Federation of Teachers president Randi Weingarten, a close ally of Biden’s.] “I do think it is expanding the map.”