Tuesday, January 23, 2024

I haven't checked the numbers yet, I am just on their homepage. The lede is "TRUMP WINS NEW HAMPSHIRE GOP PRIMARY". Wasn't "decisive" in the lede at 8:10? Okay, let's do the numbers:

51% of votes counted and Trumpie's lead has slowly but steadily grown to,

54%-44.5%. 

So, almost 10 percentage points. Haley says she's continuing her "scrappy" Nikkle & Dime campaign. But. A spokesthing for the Koch Bros PAC said after Iowa that she needs to get within like 3 or they'll look at No Labels. That was before DeSantis dropped out but she ain't gittin' within no 3 pernts tonite. Staying in does validate my prediction that she'd get knocked out in the third round in her home state of South-Carolina-Must-Be-Destroyed but DeSantis dropping out has shaken my confidence in that prediction. 

Iowa and the NH polls, which had Haley down teens, led to five-alarm fire bells sounding all across the GOP-dom political class. It concentrated the mind powerfully that they and Trumpie were going down bigly in November. 

I sense, and I don't talk to GOP-dom so it's just my sense, that Trump andros are going to go all-Nikki and hope to catch magic in a bottle somewhere down the primary road. 

OR maybe somebody else gets in late. Jerry Brown got in real late and tapped into ambivalent panic in 1976 and beat future President Carter in five of five primaries. I don't know what the primary schedule is beyond SC, which is ultra-Trumpie country, but New York? Pennsylvania? Illinois? 

I thought in 2016 that the way to Stop Trump was to have multiple guerilla candidate favorite sons pick him off in their home states. I'm pretty sure that won't work this time, the GOP is Trump bought and owned. But GOP-dom has got to be desperate. Trumpie's criminal cases are coming up. What if he is convicted before the convention but when he is the presumptive nominee and Haley has already dropped out? What if he's convicted after the convention? They're stuck with his orange self then, Pilgrim. And they don't want to be.

53.7%-44.9%, 59% of vote counted. Haley is Nikkle and Diming him a leetle in this latest tranche. I don't know. See ya, GOP, wouldn't want to be ya!