Thursday, August 29, 2024

trumpie Leads 45%-43% Across Seven Swings

National: Exclusive: Harris widens lead over Trump, Reuters/Ipsos poll finds


-Quality polling org
-45%-41%. Up from Kamala +1 same poll July.
-Aug 21-28
-2% M.o.E.
-KEY:
While national surveys including Reuters/Ipsos' give important signals on the views of the electorate, the state-by-state results of the Electoral College determine the winner, with a handful of battleground states likely to be decisive.

In the seven states where the 2020 election was closest - Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Georgia, Arizona, North Carolina, Michigan and Nevada - Trump had a 45% to 43% lead over Harris among registered voters in the poll.

-The latest poll's survey period partially overlapped with the Aug. 19-22 Democratic National Convention in Chicago where Harris formally accepted her party's nomination, and it remains to be seen whether the same level of enthusiasm for Harris will continue.