Tuesday, September 03, 2024

Nate

...the Silver Bulletin model is no longer using polls from ActiVote. The firm didn’t do anything wrong per se, but the polling they’re publishing, based on an opt-in panel that doesn’t take any steps to verify users’ identity or location and which doesn’t even make clear to respondents that they’re taking a political survey, pretty clearly doesn’t meet our standards for scientific polling. ActiVote didn’t have a strong house effect, so this doesn’t particularly tend to help either Harris or Trump.