Friday, September 13, 2024

Silvery

Today at 1:45 he has Kamala winning 270 EVs and the presidency as well, via a 0.2% lead in Pennsylvania, but has tyoo states as dead heats. The Silvery map:


The Silvery national margin is Kamala +2.1.

By swing state:


Pa. +0.2
NC even
Mi. +1.2
Ga. +0.8
Wi. +2.1
Nv. even
NM +6.7
Mn +5.7
NH +6.1
Ne-2 +4.9
Va. +7.6

The way I read this you can just take New Mexico, Minnesota New Hampshire and Virginia off the swings. The rest of them are legitimately up for either Kamala's or trumpie's grab. My own state of the race map is:


 


Regrettably we just can't seem to get over the hump in Mt, +17.4.