Wednesday, September 04, 2024

Tonight we have achieved that agreement among disparate media that constitutes ontological certainty.

The quasi-official NYT, Nathan Silver, and the conservative-biased RCP all agree that were the election held tonight (it's not), kamala would be elected president in the popular vote and the Electoral College.

Quasis;

National Kamala +3
Electoral College: Kamala 292 trumpie 246.

 

Conservative-biased RCP:

National Kamala +1.9
Electoral College Kamala 273 trumpie 265

 

Nathan Silver

National Kamala +3.4
Electoral College Kamala +292 trumpie 246

538

National Kamala +3.1

 

The only dissonant chord is the political investors money choices, which I attach great importance to. They favor trumpie with 49.7% of their money to 49% placed on kamala.