Tuesday, February 24, 2026

Bleak House to Barry Jackson

 ...

Frequently asked Q by "Heat" fans: Does the Heat believe its roster is good enough?

The brain trust knows it could use another premier scorer. But the Heat believes it can be very competitive in the playoffs if healthy. That remains to be seen.

That, to me, is the single most preposterous belief by Bleak House. Last post-season, without Jimmy Butler, we were completely un-competitive in a historic obliteration by Cleveland. We have the same roster back.

There's some squishiness there. What is the Bleak House definition of "very competitive", getting swept in the first round by an average of 10 rather than 30? No. Winning, idk, two games in the first round? I don't consider a 4 games to 2 beginning to summer as "very competitive". 

Winning the first round series and winning a couple in the second? I could go with that as very competitive. In Pat Riley's dotage, with diminished gray matter, with this collection of never-will-be's, T'AIN'T GONNA HAPPEN. 

If we finish 8th, where we are now, we get the poll-to-poll (at this writing) Least leading Zollner Pistons in the first round. Not winning. If we make it out of the play-in and finish 7th we'll play, currently, Beans in the first round. Ain't gonna win 4 of 7.  

If my some improbability we finish sixth we get Mamdani currently. Out. 

And if we are unfortunate enough to finish fifth, again right now, we would play Sensitive City and they reasonably could sweep us by an average of 30/game again.

Bleak House is out of touch. We just lost a winnable game in which we were the favorite and went 4-2 against six sub-.500 teams. We're barely .500 ourselves. We have no talisman. If we make the playoffs we will be out in a nanosecond is the chalk. Parse "very competitive" as you wish but don't parse reasonable meaning away. This roster does not have a High Ceiling and they will not be "very competitive" in the playoffs, assuming that they get out of the play-in.

Read more at: https://www.miamiherald.com/sports/nba/miami-heat/article314348366.html#storylink=cpy

Hi-Cs Run Out of Juice in a Fourth Quarter El Foldo (39-24). FT Male Deer 128-117.

This makes us 4-2 against drek in our last six, drop our record to 31-28, .525, x 82 = 43-39. We were 5.5-6.5 favorites. Bang Bus Arena ought to renamed Bleak House.

 


Male Deer 108 Hi-Cs 111, 5:42 4Q, Hi-Cs Full Juice Break

Sensitive City is blowing out Mamdani City in Sensitive. Fear the Sword. 


Queens are blowing out Male Cows in Wind. Fear the Sting.

Male Deer 100 Hi-Cs 102, 9:18 4Q

This is our SIXTH straight game against a sub-.500 team. We're 4-1. The East is Least.

Male Deer 94 Hi-Cs 102, 10:13 4Q

Male Deer 14 Hi-Cs 14, 7' 1Q

Public Occurrences February 24, 2026

Justice Dep't Withholding Epstein File Docs that Non-Cooperating Victim Alleged that Trump Got Blow Job From and Hit Her When 13 Years Old


NPR

MS NOW


7:42 pm:

Publocc Opinion |  The Trump Regime Will Not Make Full War on Iran

Below is from David Sanger of the New York Times on the paper's radio show, The Daily. Full transcript.

"This is a country of 90 million people. They have considerable ability not only to strike back with missiles, but with a terror network that runs throughout Europe and to some degree has shown some capability to operate inside the United States. 

...

"It’s not as if the Iranians are in a position right now to attack us.

...

"Instead, the president might be engaging in what legal and diplomatic historians call a preventive war. A war where we are strong, our adversary is weak, and so we’re going to hit them now because we’ve got a good chance.

"That is, in international just war theory, considered to be an illegal use of force.

"That may not stop the president.

"The president may believe that he’ll go down in history as the one who solved America’s long running conflict with Iran that goes back to 1979. 

"But if the president decides to take military action in the next few days or weeks, I suspect that historians will look back at this moment as a war of choice, not a war of necessity."


Monday, February 23, 2026

Sensitive City's Chance? Chaparrals Beat Zollner in Fort Wayne!

114-103 the final. Chaps now 41-16, Z 42-14.

Public Occurrences February 23, 2026

Detached Trump Detaches U.S. From World 


[Bank BNP Paribas analyst William] Bratton argued that Asian companies will react by increasingly detaching themselves from U.S. trade. 

“We expect U.S. trade policy…to become increasingly complex and more targeted resulting in a patchwork of tariff measures and trade agreements…the global economy will continue to fragment with U.S. trade flows steadily becoming less important as Asian trade becomes increasingly more regional in nature."

-Bratton, in a research note sent to clients.

"There will come a time when you are challenged, and when that time comes, you must plant your feet. ...

"You must stand firm. You must make a point. About who you are, what you do, and where you come from. When that time comes, you do it."

-inscription on base of Pat Riley statue, Los Angeles.

Pat Riley Statue in L.A.

We can just you ours? It's the original.

Sunday, February 22, 2026

I am not making this up

Fire Weather Warning in Effect for Miami Beach 9 am-7 pm Monday

The "Red Flag Warning" is for all of southeast Florida, all of central Florida from above Lake Okeechobee south, and the west coast of the Asshole State from Naples down. High winds, low humidity the causes.

FT: Lake-Lake 89 Beans 111; Wolves Dire: 108-135 Seven Foot Sixers

Public Occurrences February 22, 2026

Unrest in Mexico as State Kills Head of Top Drug Cartel


Nemesio Rubén Oseguera Cervantes, also known as "El Mencho", the head of Jalisco New Generation Cartel (CJNG) died after being wounded in a firefight with state security forces in a town in the Mexican state of Jalisco. Armored vehicles, rocket launchers and other weaponry were seized by state authorities in the operation.

In western Mexico members of CJNG blocked roadways with burning vehicles to show the cartel's continued potency. Airports shut down and major airlines cut flights. Public transportation was suspended and civilians advised to shelter in place. The U.S. State Department issued an advisory to the same effect to all American citizens in five Mexican states.


2:16 pm:


Boy, you know Google News? We know that. Can't your fucking algorithm sort out old news from new for us? On topic, anything "new" on Nancy Guthrie? How about MH370?

Dire Wolves (-9.5) 75 Seven Foot Sixers 84, 3:19 3Q, Shawty Calls FTO

La-La Lake-Lake 79 Beans 94, 6:55 4Q, Full Lake Chill Out

Windy City 27 Mamdani City 25, End 1Q

Bug Eats Lizard!

112-129 the final.

86

The heat wave won't last long. The low at midnight will be 63 (HUGE drop). The Hi-Lo in the next three days: 63/48, 63/44, and 72/55. Friday we'll be back up at 80. Miami is not normal.

Guess what the high temperature was today in Miami Beach

Insensitive! "Thunder" Hand "Cavaliers" Rare Loss

Without FOUR starters, OKC was okay. MVP Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (ab. strain), Jalen 
Williams (hammy), Ajay Mitchell (ab. strain), and Alex Caruso (ankle sprain) all sat in the 121-113 dub in OKC. Sensitive City's 7-game win streak took a seat, too. The "Thunder" lead virtually the entire game and topped out at 23. "Cavs" largest lead: uno.

In other Least action, Ontario State bagged the "Bucks" 122-94 and Majestic Soaring "Hawks" shook off Rust 115-104. Lizards host Queens (6 pm), Beans are at La-La Lake-Lake (6:30), Seven Foot Sixers are in Ice (7 bells), and Mamdani City is in the Windy City (8 pm). If Dire Wolves devour Phila., and they are 9.5-point favorites to feast, Miam-uh will move into the sixth and final playoff spot.

Sporting "news" (really!). HT OKC 64 Sensitive City 55

FT Tottenham 1 Arsenal 4

A superb, dominant, second half by the league leaders. Good show.👏👏

1-3, 61'. I feel Arsenal are now safe.

Spurs 1 Arsenal 2, 47' 👏

Painful

HT Tottenham 1 Arsenal 1.

Arsenal had the Premier League title in the palm of its hand. Then Manchester City completed a sweep of Liverpool for the first time in 89 years with a 2-1 win at Anfield. That haunted Arsenal, who could feel the Beast coming off the ground and his hot breath on the back of their necks. The ghosts of going wooly in the knees again.

Arsenal "responded" with a 2-2 draw at dead last Dire Wolves. City had closed the gap at the top.

Then yesterday, City won a nervy match in east Manchester against Newcastle. The gap was 2 on an even number of matches played. Advantage Manchester City, for if we beat Arsenal at home later in the season, and don't drop points that they don't also drop, we will win the title.

Now today. Arsenal scored first in the 32' against a Spurs squad fighting a relegation battle with Dire Wolves and two others. But Spurs responded just 2' later. 

Arsenal have finished runners-up three straight seasons. They have the best squad in all of Merry Ol'. But if they drop points today, as they are half way to doing, City will have the league in its palm, and will begin to grasp it.

U.S.A. WINS GOLD! FT 2-1 (OT)

But for an attempt to break a Canadian's wrist (but that's going to happen in hockey, see Bobby Clarke-breaking Valeri Kharlamov's ankle), Tkachuk hate did not win this game for Team U.S.A. The American goalkeeper, Connor Hellebuyck, the Player of the Game, won it.

Canada 1 U.S.hAte 1, End Reg.

Now we skate 3-on-3 until somebody scores for the 🥇

USA kills penalty

P3 1:20 - USA 1, Canada 1

We're back to full strength for both teams for the final 80 seconds of regulation!

 


Michael Dominski


Canada power play coming! 

P3 3:23 - USA 1, Canada 1

A high-sticking penalty by the U.S. and now Canada will have the upper hand! Incredible drama here! Jack Hughes called for getting Horvat up high.

We'll get 49 seconds of 4-on-4 and then a 1:11 power play.


Michael Dominski

USA four-minute power play!

P3 6:34 - USA 1, Canada 1

Sam Bennett heads to the box for high-sticking. A double minor! Four minutes! An absolutely massive opportunity for the U.S. here, who have been totally dominated in this game since the end of the first period.

Canada 1 U.S.hAte 1, End 2P

Will Canada prevail? Will the Tkachuck Brothers maim someone? The third period will tell.

U.S.hAte

 2m ago / 9:41 AM EST

Fighting isn't allowed, but the intensity has been high

Avatar

Andrew Greif

Reporting from Milan, Italy

Wayne Gretzky said before the game that the U.S. needed to play physically against Canada and the intensity of this game has been obvious since the opening period. The latest example came with three minutes left in the second period when Canada's Cale Makar took a shot that was saved, then was slashed on the hand. That led to pushing and shoving with the Americans, with the Tkachuck brothers in the middle of a huge scrum behind the net.

The players took that level of physicality to the limit that the Olympics allows. The tournament is played under IIHF rules, and players who fight earn a major penalty as well as an automatic game misconduct, meaning an ejection.

Makar got his revenge a few minutes later when he scored from the right side to tie the game.

Canada Scores! 1-1, 18:16 2P

U.S.hAte 1 Canada 0, End 1P

U.S.hAte 1 Canada 0, 6' 1P

U.S.hAte vs Canada Olympic Hockey Gold Medal Game Has Started

Uh, MyGa...

Myron Gardner, a Hi-C, pushed Scottie Pippen, Jr. from behind, knocking the chip off the old migraine to the hardwood near the end of last night's blowout of Memphibians in Bang Bus Arena. ScoPiII reacted in a not rare manner, jogging three-quarters court with malice aforethought directly to MyGa and delivering a two-handed push that sent MyGa half-way back to the G-League, leastwise, the hardwood floor which caused a brief clash of arms between the whole of these two talent-challenged teams. 

Young Mr. Gardner, you can't do what you did, and I fail to understand why you done did it. 

70 years old and still don't like to sleep and be unconscious of how much fun life is. Good morning, Publoccians!

Saturday, February 21, 2026

FT Miami 136 Memphis 120



 

Wiggins makes 9-of-10 shots in 28-point outing to lead Heat over Grizzlies 136-120

...Norman Powell finished with 25...

Tyler Herro finished with 14 points, Bam Adebayo added 13, while Kasparas Jakucionis and Jaime Jacquez Jr. each scored 12 for the Heat. Miami’s Kel’el Ware had 11 points and 15 rebounds.

The "Heat" crushed Memphis on the glass 57-35, offensive: 17-9, defensive 40-26.

Powell overcame a 2-of-7 performance at the free-throw line by converting 10-of-16 from the field, including 3-of-8 on 3-pointers.
...
After leading by five at halftime, the Heat pulled away when they outscored the Grizzlies 39-26 in the third quarter. Powell and Jakucionis each scored nine in the period. Jacquez’s bank shot with 1:19 remaining in the quarter gave the Heat their first 20-point lead at 109-89.

"Heat's largest lead was 24.

Despite committing 18 turnovers, the Heat finished with 36 assists.

The 18 t.o.s led to 30 Memphis points. Cannot remember when we last gave up 30 points on turnovers. They had 13 for 21.
...
Memphis stayed within distance in the first half by connecting on nine 3-pointers.

The Grizzlies again were without star guard Ja Morant (left elbow sprain), who missed his 13th consecutive game. Santi Aldama, Cedric Coward and Kyle Anderson are all dealing with knee issues and also sat out for Memphis.

Davion Mitchell (illness) and Nikola Jovic (back) didn’t play for the Heat.


The "Heat" have won three straight and four of five, all against bite teams, Lizards, Moronis, Katrinas, Pigeons, Memphibians. In mid-November when we were New Miami, before the league caught on, we had the breathtaking run that resulted in a 13-6 record and such inflated hopes, winning six in a row over Mamdani City, Peaceniks, at Male Cows, at Seven Foot Sixers, over Dallas and Male Deer. 

Miami is 31-27, .534 --> 44-38 (our avg. record for a 12th consecutive year), in seventh place, two-thousandths of a percentage point behind Seven Foot Sixers, who got blown away tonight in Katrina, in the sixth and final playoff spot. We are fifth in the Least in cumulative point difference.

HT 73-68. Good luck, Hi-Cs, I'm taking a lap or three.

Hi-Cs 66 Tanking Memphibians 58, 2:09 2Q, Hi-Cs FTO

We can't put them away, they won most of the second quarter, until this late push. We were 11.5 point favorites entering. A good team should not be struggling at home against a tanking Memphis team, not in the second quarter or the first half, at no point.

Why am I following this game when it annoys me so much?

Tanking Memphibians (13-6 2Q) lead 46-45, 8:03 2nd. Fucking "Heat"

No D in Miami or Memphis: Hi-Cs 39 Tanking Memphibians 33, end 1Q

2-2, see?

Hi-Cs 2 Memphibians 0 BUT IT'S EXTREMELY EARLY DON'T JUMP TO CONCLUSIONS!

For All the World to See, This is Who the American People Are

"There's hatred there."--Brady Tkachuk, Team USA on Team Canada, who play for the Olympic gold medal tomorrow.



Trump throws a temper tantrum after tariff loss

NPR

It is who we always have been. 

As the Chief Justice put it, "Having just fought a revolution motivated in large part by taxes imposed on them" by the King of England without their consent...

The most absurd cause of revolution in the history of humanity. Born in a temper tantrum, die in a temper tantrum.


 















And on...

[Trump's racist Obama meme is] something which had, for many years, been confined to the dustbin of history, while still very much a part of the vocabulary of white supremacists.

But something has changed.

Maybe it's social media, maybe it's something else, but something has changed. We are in a new reality where, for more than 12 hours, Trump's White House thought this was OK.


On and on...







Trump: "I looked at the beginning of it. It was fine. Nobody knew that that was at the end."

When asked if he would apologize for an overtly racist video clip of the Obamas posted on President Trump's Truth Social, the president said Friday, "No, I didn't make a mistake."

Trump said he looks at "thousands of things" when he spoke to reporters on Air Force One en route to Palm Beach.




















12:49 pm. A friend went for a mile swim. 

It seems impossible that there is a real place that has that, and that 350,000 people have that. Miami Beach is a real-life miracle.

Cle. is +1200 to win the NBA title, which means if you put down $100 and they win it all, you make $1200. 


I don't give advice to adults, I especially don't give advice on futures investing, and I have never bet even fun money on the NBA, but I am going to sleep on plopping down a dime on those 12-1 odds. The NBA season is so long and there are so many teams that I can see the Houses overlooking Cleveland, they're only third in the Least, their Ignore-November-December for the late and post-season was breathtaking in its recklessness; or bettirs dismiss them off their last two flameouts in the playoffs. In other words, I don't think bettors are paying sufficient attention to them despite their current streak. They're a sleeper and gamblers are sleeping on them. 


Cleveland has Donovan Mitchell, they have the DPOY, Evan Mobley, they have Jarret Allen, they have De'Andre Hunter, Jaylon Tyson, Sam Merrill, the have COTY Kenny Atkinson. And at the trade deadline they got...Beard. 


TO ME, an idiot blogger, Cleveland reminds me of the breathtaking Manchester City Centurians. That City team was a superhuman MACHINE that gave me butterflies following them and watching highlights. You got the feeling playing City then, that at any moment they could bury you in goals and you could get humiliated 6-0. They were scary--AND I AM A DIE-NEVER CITY FAN!


Cleveland is not that GOAT. They haven't won shit. But last season's team OBLITERATED the "Heat" in literally historic terms. These mid-season "Cavaliers" would scare me like those great City teams did if I had to play them. There is no team save OKC who can keep up the scoring with Mitchell and Harden and the rest, no team besides the "Thunder" who can defend them. And on the other end they have the DPOY. 


12-1 odds for this team to host the Larry O'Brien trophy is a siren call, in my opinion.

Friday, February 20, 2026

FT Pigeons (dropping out of air but not intentionally) 97 MIAMI HI-Cs 128!

Hi-Cs get their 30th win. .526 win % as decimal --> 43-39 record. 

That's 2W for only the second time since Jan. 1. We have a High Ceiling to make it 3W tomorrow night in Bang Bus against the tanking Memphibians. 

Tyler Herro kept up his point-a-minute pace all game, finishing with 24 in 23.

In the Least the Hi-Cs are a solid 8th, 1/2 game behind Disney, 1 game behind Phila. in 6th (last playoff spot), 3.5 games ahead of 9th Pigeons. 

Most importantly in the SouthLeast, we are in second place, 1/2 game out of first (Diz).

K K kids not enough for Queens. Sensitive City Rolls to Another Dub, 113-118

TheMiami"Heat"aregoingtowinabasketballgame:o Atl 89-114, 3:18 4Q

Oh my goodness, Queens have the lead over Sensitive City! 77-74, 6:23 3Q

The KK kids are putting the team on their shoulders. Kneuppel 27 pts, 26', Kalkbrenner 10 pts, 11 rebs, 24'.

HT: Hotlanta 51 Miam-a 57

The story of this game at the half is Tyler Herro. Off the bench in his first game back from broken ribs, he has a game-high 16 pts in 13' on 5/8 (2/3). My favorite Miamian Davion Mitchell has 4 rebs, 4 asts, and 3 blocks. He does everything, including good defense.

Pigeons, 29-17 2Q, 45 Hi-Cs 46, 2:55 2Q

Pigeons crapping on Hi-Cs in 2Q 26-16, 42-46, 3:45 2Q

Majestic Soaring Hawks! 39-44, 4:12 2Q

Queens modest comeback--HT 53-59 Sensitive City

Pigeons 16 Hi-Cs 29, End 1Q

I looked up if Pigeons are tanking. No. Taking a look at the Southeast standings:


1. Orlando
2. Hi-Cs -1
3. Pigeons -3.5
4. Queens -4
5. Lizards -14

You can see the significance of this game. It just means more in the Southeast.

16-27, :56.5 1Q.Tyler Herro is back: 7 pts 4'

Sensitive City Crowning Queens 35-49

Sensitively, the "Cavaliers" are my dark horse to win the Larry O'Brien.

A Southeast Division Rivalry Game! WEEE! Hotlana Pigeons 7 Miami Hi-Cs 16, 6:22. A Nation Glued.

Public Occurrences February 20, 2026

Supreme Court's tariff ruling means good news for Pretzel Pete in Hatboro

WHYY

Thank you for your news stories.


Bum Trump: Unhinged, Lunatic Goes After Supreme Court


"I’m ashamed of certain members of the court, absolutely ashamed for not having the courage to do what’s right for our country. They’re just being fools and lap dogs. They’re very unpatriotic and disloyal to our Constitution. It’s my opinion that the court has been swayed by foreign interests and a political movement that is far smaller than people would ever think. I can assure you, the Democrats on the court are thrilled, but they will automatically vote no. They also are a frankly, a disgrace to our nation, those justices. They’re an automatic no, no matter how good a case you have. No, you can’t knock their loyalty. It’s one thing you can do with some of our people. I think it’s an embarrassment to their families, the two of them.” (Justices Gorsuch and Barrett)

Trump is a bum. He has been a bum his whole life.

2:43 pm:


Trump Calls Justices Who Ruled Against Him ‘Fools and Lap Dogs’

Nytimes lede

10:55 am:

Supreme Court strikes down most of Trump's tariffs in a major blow to the president

The decision does not affect all of Trump's tariffs but invalidates those implemented using an emergency law.
NBC lede

10:12 am:

UK Blocks U.S. Use of Air Bases for Iran Attack as Breach of International Law

Times of London

Thursday, February 19, 2026

FT Zollner blew out Mamdani City in Peoples Square Garden 126-111

Sensitive City tore the "Nets" to shreds 112-84. It was worse than that. Sensitives led by 43. The whole 4th quarter was garbage time.

Pigeons shat on Seven Foot Sixers in Filthydelphia 117-111.

H-Town beat Queens in Chazz 105-101. Rockettes much the better record, and from the West, but only 6-4 last 10. Queens now 8-2.

In the Least, Sensitive City keeps climbing. They are now in a statistical tie with Mamdani City 7 games behind Z one game behind 2nd-place Beans. Queens are in the Play-In now only .5 behind Pigeons in 9th. Without playing (tomorrow at Pigeons, Saturday in Bang Bus agin Memphibians), the High-Cs closed to withing .5 of Disney in seventh, 1.5 from 6th and Filthydelphia. Probably best we don't play any games.

Night. USMLE tomorrow 8:30 wakeup, 9:30 start.

The Association is back

 

Happy together.

Sensitive City is blasting the Rust away in the Pawn Shop at HT 70-48. I know, it's just Rust, but Sensitive City has had a plan all season long to ignore results in November and December to prioritize a strong finishing kick and the playoffs. Well, look at them now. 9-1 in past ten, 13 games above .500., and now with James Harden. They're still 7 games back of Zollner, who have been consistent all season, (8-2 last ten), but if the "Pistons" misfire just a leetle, Sensitive City reasonably could catch them and win the Least. Look out for Sensitive City.

Public Occurrences February 19, 2026

Trump appears ready to attack Iran as U.S. strike force takes shape

WaPo

9:07 am:

Former Prince Andrew Arrested in Epstein Case

"Before he came back three doctors came into the room."

"I have noticed that doctors who fail in the practice of medicine have a tendency to seek one another's company and aid in consultation. A doctor who cannot take out your appendix properly will recommend to you a doctor who will be unable to remove your tonsils with success. These were three such doctors."

Hemingway, A Farewell to Arms (95)

Wednesday, February 18, 2026

Public Occurrences February 18, 2026


Thomas L. Friedman: 

Netanyahu plays Trump and American Jews for fools — again


Let’s stop beating around the bush: Israel’s far-right government, led by Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, is spitting in America’s face and telling us it’s raining. It’s not raining. Netanyahu is playing President Donald Trump and American Jews for fools. And if the U.S. lets him get away with it, we are fools.

While keeping Trump focused on the Iranian missile and nuclear threat — which, though reduced, is still very real and will have to be dealt with diplomatically or militarily — Netanyahu is fundamentally threatening broader U.S. interests in the Middle East, not to mention the security of Jews all over the world. In what way? I cannot put it any more succinctly than Ehud Olmert, the former Israeli prime minister, did.

“A violent and criminal effort is underway to ethnically cleanse territories in the West Bank,” he wrote in an essay in Haaretz this month. “Gangs of armed settlers persecute, harm, wound and even kill Palestinians living there. The rampages include burning olive groves, houses and cars; breaking into homes; and physically assaulting people.” He continued, “The rioters, the Jewish terrorists, storm Palestinians with hate and violence with one objective: to force them to flee from their homes. All this is done in the hopes that the land will then be prepared for Jewish settlement, en route to realizing the dream of annexing all the territories.”

Israel’s accelerating attempts toward annexation of the West Bank and to permanently remain in the Gaza Strip — and deny Palestinians political rights in both areas — are as morally reckless and demographically insane as would be the U.S. annexing Mexico.

If it were just Israelis who were going to be hurt by the crazy fantasy that some 7 million Israeli Jews can control about 7 million Palestinian Arabs in perpetuity, I might be tempted to say that if Israel’s leaders want to commit national suicide, I can’t stop them.

But the effects will not be confined to Israel. I believe that this messianically driven endeavor will make today’s Israel permanently indistinguishable from apartheid South Africa and will have seriously detrimental implications for U.S. interests and the interests and security of Jews all over the world.

If Netanyahu’s government stays on this course, it will rip apart Jewish institutions everywhere as members of the Jewish diaspora are forced to decide whether to stand with or against an apartheidlike Israel. It will also accelerate the trend begun by Israel’s devastation of Gaza wherein growing numbers of young Democrats and Republicans in the U.S. are turning against Israel and, at the fringes, against Jews in general.

A poll by the Institute for Middle East Understanding Policy Project, conducted by YouGov in November, found that 51% of Republican voters younger than 45 said they preferred to support a candidate in the 2028 presidential primary who favored reducing taxpayer-funded weapon transfers to Israel. Only 27% favored a candidate who would increase or maintain weapon supplies. Democratic candidates today who do not describe Israel’s war in Gaza as a genocide face real headwinds with young progressive voters.

At the Munich Security Conference last week, Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez was asked if she thought “the Democratic presidential candidate in the 2028 elections should reevaluate military aid to Israel.” She answered, “I think that, personally, the idea of completely unconditional aid, no matter what one does, does not make sense. I think it enabled a genocide in Gaza.”

As I said when I began, Netanyahu has played Trump for a sucker, as well as the pro-Israel lobby led by the American Israel Public Affairs Committee and many other so-called American Jewish leaders. He has gotten them to focus on Iran and ignore the fact that everything he is doing in Gaza, in the West Bank and inside Israel will strain ties between the U.S. and its major Middle East allies, including Egypt, Jordan, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Turkey and Qatar.

Yes, Iran remains a reduced but very real nuclear threat after Israeli and U.S. airstrikes hit its nuclear enrichment and ballistic missile facilities in June. It has already largely rebuilt its stock of ballistic missiles that could do real physical damage to Israel if war resumes. I take that very seriously.

But focusing exclusively on the external threat from Iran ignores the internal threat Netanyahu’s government poses to Israel and its standing as a rule-of-law democracy and unified society. Netanyahu has been engaged in a three-year effort, even during the war in Gaza, to carry out a judicial coup that would all but eliminate the separation of powers in Israel — one that enables its Supreme Court to check the excesses of the governing political party. Is Iran responsible for that? No.

Has Iran been engaged in a relentless effort to purge or disempower Israel’s courageous, independent attorney general, Gali Baharav-Miara? No, but Netanyhu has. That attorney general, backed by the Supreme Court, is the only thing standing in the way of further assaults on a rules-based government: the dismissal of Netanyahu’s corruption trial but also Netanyhus’s efforts to politicize civil service appointments and a wholesale exemption from military service for the ultra-Orthodox Jews who keep him in power.

Has Iran blocked establishment of an independent commission of inquiry into the incredible intelligence and leadership failure before Hamas’ murderous Oct. 7, 2023, invasion? No, but Netanyhu has. That invasion not only happened on Netanyahu’s watch but was clearly caused in part by his efforts to prove to the world that Israel could have peace with the Arab states without making peace with the Palestinians.

Hamas grew in strength thanks to Netanyahu’s long efforts to prop up Hamas with Qatari money so the Palestinian leadership would always be divided between Hamas in Gaza and the Palestinian Authority in the West Bank. That way, Netanyahu could tell every U.S. president that he was so sorry that he had no unified Palestinian peace partner to negotiate with.

Did Iran nominate Netanyahu cronies with inexperienced backgrounds to run Israel’s most important security organizations — the Shin Bet and Mossad? No, Netanyahu did.

What prompted Trump to publicly demand that the president of Israel, Isaac Herzog, pardon Netanyahu — even before a verdict — for the corruption charges he has been indicted on? It would be a terrible blow to the rule of law in Israel. It certainly was not Iran.

And here is what is truly crazy. Israel today has never been more militarily feared and technologically admired by its Arab neighbors, because of the blows that it dealt Iran, Hezbollah and Hamas. If Netanyahu engaged in negotiations for a two-state solution with the Palestinian Authority — on any reasonable terms — it would pave the way for peace between Israel and Saudi Arabia, Lebanon, Syria and Iraq.

The whole neighborhood, and the whole Muslim world beyond it, would open up to Israel; Iran would be totally isolated. Israeli technology and Arab energy would create an amazing synergy for the age of artificial intelligence.

That would be a huge boon to U.S. interests. While some complications would surely persist, the Middle East would essentially be making peace under a U.S. umbrella. And the reduction in tensions between Israel and the Arab world would allow the Trump administration to do what the past several U.S. administrations have craved doing: reduce its military presence in the region and shift its focus to counterbalancing China in Asia. Unfortunately, Netanyahu has other priorities.

The annexationist ambitions of the Netanyahu Cabinet directly clash with Trump’s 20-point plan, which imagines a two-state solution one day. The Board of Peace, which Trump created to oversee that plan, is holding its inaugural meeting in Washington on Thursday, but Netanyahu is skipping it.

Netanyahu'ss Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich said Tuesday that after elections this fall, he would in his next term be “encouraging the migration” of Palestinians from the West Bank and the Gaza Strip.

Meanwhile on Tuesday, all of America’s key Arab allies and Turkey, which are central to Trump’s Gaza ceasefire deal, got together on a statement strongly condemning Israel’s decision to designate land in the occupied West Bank as Israeli state land.

When Israel is engaged in de facto annexation, with what human rights groups describe as ethnic cleansing in Gaza and the West Bank, it is turning itself into a major contributor to permanent conflict in the region. None of that is in America’s interest, but it is greatly appreciated by Iran.

Iran’s Islamo-fascist rulers pose a very real threat to Israel. They lead a terrible regime whose downfall would be a blessing to its people and the region. But please — please — spare me the nonsense that Iran is the only threat to Israel today.

Iran is not the greatest threat to Israel as a democracy governed by the rule of law. It is not the greatest threat to U.S.-Israeli relations. It is not the greatest threat to the unity and security of Jews around the world. It is not the reason so many talented Israeli technologists, engineers and doctors are moving away. And it is not the biggest reason Israel is becoming an apartheid state not only by refusing to try anymore to create a separate Palestinian state but also by working instead to make that impossible.

That title goes to the government of messianic zealots, Arab-hating nationalists and anti-modern ultra-Orthodox Israelis put together by Netanyahu to keep himself in power.

10:50 PM:
Things are getting BAD!


US military prepared to strike Iran as early as this weekend, but Trump has yet to make a final call, sources say

7:26 PM

Trump meets with top Iran advisers as war threat grows


Why it matters: The Trump administration is closer to a major war in the Middle East than most Americans realize.
...

Both Axios



3 pm:

Nine People Killed in Lake Tahoe Avalanche