Dear Gawd! I had to post these tonight, just updated.
830 Deaths ave. per/day March 18-24. Down an astounding 89/day from March 17-23, a 36% drop over two weeks. Well below the Delta trough of 919.
Cases have started their BA.2 rise, up to 30,387 from 30,259. Cases are down 15% from two weeks ago.
Hospitalizations fell to 20,123 from 20,463 and a whopping 38% over two weeks. The Cases rise (0.04%) is not nearly as impactful on the other categories as the H's drop. This 7-day rise is so minuscule it will have have zero effect on Deaths alone. Only if Cases continue to rise (as they are expected) over iterations of the 7-day and at higher levels than this will they increase Deaths on the back end, and then only approximately one month from now. Infinitely more impactful is the continued, precipitous drop in H's. Deaths should continue to fall as sharply in the next two weeks or so.We can expect Deaths to crater about a month from now and then to begin to rise slightly, assuming that C's continue to rise and H's drop is less drastic.
