Man, I am hurtin' for certin' You know when I know I'm hurtin' for certin'? When I look beyond what my lyin' eyes see to a deus ex machina. Desperation makes you do that. "I leave it up to God"🙄 I heard that so many times from families of clients in hopeless cases that one time I felt the anger boil up in me and almost come out of my mouth (They were paying clients so I checked it.).
Thus:
The election is close. Too close for reasoned optimism. In fact so close that my eyes and my mind know the clear truth: Kamala will lose. We will lose democracy. trumpie has an advantage in the Electoral College and to overcome it a Democrat needs to have a national lead of 3-4 points. She has a point and a half. Ergo, defeat.
But, Look! Up in the sky, it's a bird, it's a plane, it's a deus ex machina! The swing state polls are just as close, even closer, than the nationals. The nationals at this point can be disregarded. The only polls that matter are in the swings.
That part is true. It is also true that,
1) Kamala has a ginormous advantage in GOTV.
2) All of the swings' margins except Arizona, maybe Georgia too, certainly the Blue Wall states, which would give her 270 EV's, and Nevada, are within the grasp of the "hidden hand" of GOTV.
Here's the leap from the concrete to the inchoate. It's the only thing left: That there will be a SHOCK, a SHOCK RESULT where in those four states the hidden hand of the Kamala campaign's ground game will eke out wins, with it the presidency, the salvation of democracy, and the destruction of authoritarianism in America.
There will be recounts out the asshole. There will be legal challenges. There will be violence. The results will not be known on November 5, nor for days after. But if the votes are there for Kamala in Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin, then the truth will out.
I have another blood pressure headache.
