🕒 Last update: 12:15 p.m., Thursday, October 31. The forecast remains extremely stable. Kamala Harris’s winning odds are 46.2 percent and Donald Trump’s are 53.4 percent, essentially the same as in our model run last night. That’s very close to a coin flip, in other words. While Trump made meaningful gains in our forecast in mid-October, we don’t think there’s much sign that the race is continuing to drift toward him in the final week and the seven most important swing states remain incredibly close. Another update may follow later today if there’s significant new polling.