Thursday, October 28, 2021

CDC Forecasts Oct. 27

Observed black dots, forecasted one-four weeks from Oct. 27 red circles.

                                                                          Cases:

Deaths:


Takeaway: Overwhelmingly, the message here is: Delta is dusking. Forecasted cases decline much more incrementally and much less precipitously than do deaths. Cases, in fact, show a leveling tendency between +3 and +4 weeks.