Friday, October 01, 2021

Investment Plays*

The gambler’s premier axiom for life is “Quit while you’re ahead”. But we can’t.

I have unsurpassed respect, based upon painful drainages from my bank account, for the wisdom of the investment houses in Nevada. Yet, never can I remember disagreeing on so many of their futures prices as this week. “A fool and his money are soon parted” and away we go (home teams listed first):

Maryland #5 Iowa-3.5. What, because Mary is 4-0, too? Puhleaze. They’ve beaten Kent State and “Howard.” Puttin’ a dime on “Hawks” to cover. 

#2 Georgia-18.5 #8 Arkansas. This is the “Hogs” first true away game and dem “Silver Britches” is good, hoo-doggie, but Ark throttled the “‘Horns” and led all the way against #7 A&M last week. Now I’m a believer/Not a trace, of doubt in my mind. A dime on Arkansas to cover, I don’t say win, lose by </=18.

Wisconsin #14 Meeshagan-1. I’m not touching this game, I’m not a believer in Jim Harbaugh, but Holy Chryst, “Boogers” have some probs. 

#9 Notre Dame #7 Cincinnati-2.5. :o Are you frigging kidding me, the “Lakers” are home dogs to CINCY?!?!  No. Notre Dame is going to lose a game this year but it ain't gonna be this one. Brian Kelly is going to have his "Irishmen" lose beneath the Golden Dome to the team he formerly coached? No and hell no. Gambler's axiom: "Go with the home dogs." That's what I'm doing: Dime on “Irish.”

#1 Alabama-14.5 #12 Old Mississippi. LV not on board the Lane Train? Choo-choo! Somebody, Paul Finebaum maybe, said when Miss hired Lane that he would be the first of Nick Saban’s formers to defeat him. Interesting. I don’t have an abiding conviction in this one. Pass.

Rutgers #11 Ohio State-15.5. Tempting, very tempting! “Bucks” have multiple issues, dismissed a player this week, got beat by Nike! Jersey playin’ good! Respectable against Mich! Pass.

#4 PSU-12.5 Indiana. Really? Cuz Indians beat ‘em in COVID? So Vegas thinks the score’s going to be 27-14, 24-12?  Fine, I'll put a nickel on PSU 27-14 or better.

#15 Texas A&M-7 Mississippi State. Okay the only problem with this line, Las Vegas, is that Dumbo Fisher is going to murdalize the "Cow Bells." Nickel on A&M to cover.

#25 Clemson-15.5 Boston College. "Pigeons" beat Big 8 Mizzou last week. Don't ever remember five top teams, Clem, OSU, OU, Wisc, LSU, having such glaring weaknesses in the same season. Horrifying stat: Clemson has not scored in regulation in its three games against Power 5 opponents as many points as it is expected to win by in this one. I'm getting verily overextended and may have to sell my underpants to eat next week but how can any self-respecting speculator pass on BC getting 15.5 points here? Not me. A nickel on the "Pigeons."

What a weird line: 0-4 Florida State-5.5 3-1 Syracuse. I didn't have a gut reaction, other than weird, to this. Investors axiom #3, "Don't invest more than you can afford to lose." I'm going to have to let the weirdness settle and then see if I have a play. (Oct. 1, 4:10 p.m.) *Okay, I done digested this a bit. You pass on this line, best to keep your money in a CD. Nickel on "Arrange" to cover.