Friday, November 12, 2021

Duncan Robinson

I became curious about the shots Duncan was taking this season and searched for videos. I was trying to see if my 20/400 amateur's eyes could pick up something Duncan was doing or not doing. A great site called NF Classic has all a player's possessions from each game condensed in a single video. I watched an early Oct game before I realized that it was pre-season. I then chose a Oct. 21, thinking that had to be regular season. It was. It was the first game. As you'll recall the "Heat" fried Bambi to a crisp in that game, 137-95 was the final score. Yet even on a night when everybody and the water boy played and scored Duncan Robinson's shot was MIA. He was 3/10 (2/8) for 8 points. Here are screenshots of all Duncan's shots except one, his lone drive to the basket, which was blocked. Also not included in one free throw which he shot so poorly that it clanked off the very front of the rim.

That's a good look. He had a smaller defender lunging at him but nowhere close when he released the shot. The shot was missed.


I'm pretty sure this was a continuation of the previous play. As you can see there were no "Bucks" under the basket to rebound. Bam, #13, got the rebound, practically handed it to Duncan and screened the primary defender. The same mini-"Buck" once again is ineffectually lunging at Duncan. This was a make.



Wide open, wide fucking open. Number 24 looks like he just came out of one of the premium courtside seats. MISS.

Another completely free look with Bam screening. Now on this one, maybe it's just my snipping timing, but Duncan is splay-legged. On all of his other shots his feet are set, which is something shooters are taught.


Maybe NF Classic isn't such a great site. I only saw five shots of Duncan's including the blocked layup, not the ten that the box score says he took. Just one game and only half his shots, but it was a complete blowout, a 42-point win where the "Heat" shot 53.1% (42.9%) as a team and Duncan shot 30% (25%). And he was totally open on the four shots from range. I was really surprised by that. I had assumed he had a super-glue defender on him the whole game. If he had, then I would be inclined to believe that the only shots this guy has ever been able to make were in shooting practice. But there was no defense here! This was shooting practice.

If this had been just the first game it would have been no harm no foul, would have been sort of funny, "Duncan, we woulda beat them by 50 if you could shoot!" It would be sort of a relief if Duncan's misses in the other games were as wide open as these for I do not believe nor ever heard of Steve Blass disease in NBA shooting, only slumps. But it is now twelve games and whatever it is Duncan Robinson is now a net negative in the starting lineup. He's shooting 32.5% (31.2) on this short, but growing longer, season and there is no end in sight to this masonry. 

That I am aware I was the first person to write that this was a horse of a different color—on Nov. 5. Since then Ira Winderman and 5ReasonsSports have also sounded the alarm. There is something rotten in Culture Town and the team and Duncan have got to get this fixed or adjust the starting lineup ASAP.