Sunday, November 03, 2024

Call the Iowa Poll an outlier at your peril

Iowa was still considered by many a swing state in 2020 and the Siena/Times poll, their last in the state before election day, gave Biden a three-point lead and hope to all true blues. (NOT to the Biden campaign who didn’t fall for the bait there or in Texass.) Then the Iowa Poll came out. Trump +8. Actual vote: Trump +8.2. I don’t know why but nobody polls Iowa like the Iowa Poll.