Seems high, no?
310.4k at 10:04 pm yesterday. Big jump.
3,345 Dead reported out by Johns Hopkins Thursday, Dec 17. The 313k number in the lede is in addition to that today, Dec 18. 313k is a big number, suggestive of a big jump but I step on my dick every time I try to estimate the daily number. So I won't. My dick's fine.
3,345 is a big number, but not the record. That would be 3,668, the number reported Wednesday, the 16th. 3,345 is the second highest.
236,111 new cases reported out the 17th. That also is not a record and also is second-high to Wednesday. Saturday will be the last heavy day of the reporting week.
The New York Times Cases 7-day average line has ticked up two consecutive iterations. 213,165 (Dec. 11-17) is a new record on that metric.
The Deaths 7-day average line you will recall has not been erratic at all. It has been elegantly ghostly, clean angles, about 80 degrees from Dec. 5 through Dec. 14 (so, Nov. 29-Dec 14) and then about 60 degrees since. Both up, of course. The 2,596 yesterday (Dec. 11-17) is, like Cases', the record 7-day average.
14-day changes:
+18% Cases
+16% Hospitalizations
+39% Deaths
Those are, relatively, good. The lag time between infection then hospitalization and then Death means that a huge bulge of Cases has moved through the cycle, and that the new one will have a lower percent increase in Deaths. Know what I mean? The Deaths percent should fall to closer to the other two. That's what I mean if you didn't know.
Boy, I am not looking forward to the numbers for today. I will predict, can't estimate to save my dick but I will predict, that the Deaths reported out today will exceed 3,345 (Thursday) and be right at 3,668, a few less or a few more.
*So I started this post at 9:57. It is now 10:45 and the number of Deaths is up to 313,588. Record day comin'.
