Monday, May 31, 2021

-May 31, 6 A.M., Johnstown


...it was not until its center was over the eastern slope of the Alleghenies that its effects became destructive. There the storm was held up by winds from the southeast, the Lake region, and a storm from the northeast, the cold wind from the Lakes apparently wringing all the moisture out of the clouds.

Again this morning there had been a bright frost in the hollow below the dam, and the sun was not up long before storm clouds rolled in from the southeast. (McCullough p.19)

-May 31, morning, Cambria County, Pennsylvania

On May 31, the headwaters of the West Branch [of the Susquehanna River] were running twelve feet deeper than ever before.

###

Everywhere on that day the rain is described as coming down not in drops, but in "sheets," in "cloudbursts," in "masses." (McMaster 211)

(some indefinable object: May 30, Johnstown; "The cloud looked square-shaped, like a house with its lower portion surrounded by a white cloud looking like steam, which seemed to rise from all around the main dark cloud," May 28, Kansas)

The mountain top is a broad plane and had never, within the recollection of any man, been visited by such a storm as that of the night of May 30th. (McMaster 222)*


*The nature of the Great Storm of 1889 is amply attested by the vivid descriptions of those who experienced it in Kansas and in Cambria County, and by the record evidence of its effects.  I unnecessarily qualify the following with, “I did not experience the Great Storm personally, and; I am not a meteorologist, either professional or amateur":

In my sixty-six years of life, including twenty-some in Western Pennsylvania, which included seeing personally the effects of the "Storm of the Century" that caused the Johnstown Flood of 1977; in addition, experiencing first-hand six months later the Great Blizzard of 1978 in Boston; and in addition, having read a normal amount over the course of a life of comparable years of other storms in the news, the behavior of this storm is unique. I am unaware of any other storm that made such strange sensory impressions on people who experienced it, that was of such maniacal and enduring ferocity, and which formed over and visited its violence upon a landmass of an entire continent. The water deposited on Cambria County by this unique storm was added to the 20,000,000 tons of water ineffectually held back by a derelict earthen dam in Lake Conemaugh. -BH

Sunday, May 30, 2021

-39
-21
-27

Yes, very similar to the Miami "Heat's" margins of defeat in the last three games of the Milwaukee series but actually the percentage declines in the three COVID-19 categories. Sorry.

-After 10 P.M.. Johnstown

After ten the Heiser store was closed for the day, the lights out downstairs. When the downpour began, George and Mathilde did not think much of it, except that there would almost certainly be high water in the morning. (Ibid)

-10 P.M., Johnstown



But an hour or so later it started pouring and there seemed no end to it. "Sometime in the night," according to [Reverend] Chapman, "my wife asked if it were not raining very hard, and I being very sleepy, barely conscious of the extraordinary downpour simply answered, 'Yes,' and went to sleep, thinking no more of it until morning." (Ibid 34)

There were also “weird and unnatural occurrences” reported. The Heidenfelter family:  a “rumbling, roaring sound” that seemed to come from some indefinable object not far from their house. It was then followed by a terrific downpour, which, according to Mrs. Heidenfelter, sounded as if a gigantic tank tub had opened at the bottom and all the water dumped out out at once. 

“I never heard anything like it in my life. I wanted my husband to get up and see what the matter was, but it was dark and he could have done no good. In the morning, as soon as we could see, the fields were covered with water four or five feet deep . People say the noise we heard was a waterspout…

Apparently the storm did tear big holes in the ground near the Heidenfelter farm…other families close by the lake reported hearing sounds much like thunder but which they were certain were not thunder.” (Supra 88)

(See May 28 Kansas for similar description.)

-9 P.M., Johnstown

At about nine the rain began again, gentle and quiet as earlier. (McCullough p.36)

-7 P.M., Cambria County

By evening [rain] had spread westward as far as the Panhandle of West Virginia and northward to Cleveland. Winds from the ocean and wind from the south forced this storm into a small mountainous area of Pennsylvania where the Allegheny Mountain prevented it from going toward Pittsburgh.

-5 P.M.

 About five the rain stopped and left everything freshly rinsed looking. (Ibid)

-4 P.M. Johnstown, Pennsylvania

When the rain started coming down about four o'clock, it was very fine and gentle, little more than a cold mist. Even so, no one welcomed it. (McCullough p.33)

-May 30, Afternoon. Cambria County, Pennsylvania

The West Branch of the Susquehanna [River] was flooded by the afternoon of May 30, and the water continued to rise until Saturday, June 1.

The West Branch rises on the west side of the Alleghenies in northwestern Cambria County...The flood waters of the West Branch, Penn's Creek, and the Juniata drained the eastern slopes of the Alleghenies. In the west, the Clarion River, Red Bank Creek, and the Conemaugh rise highest in the Alleghenies and fall the fastest and steepest. A typical mountain stream, the Little Conemaugh, and its principal branch, the Stonycreek, wind through the mountains for twenty-five miles...At the confluence of the Little Conemaugh and the Stonycreek lies Johnstown, which in 1889 comprised a cluster of a dozen boroughs with a population of twenty-five thousand.


-May 30, 6 A.M. East Coast

On the morning of May 30, rain began to fall from the Tidewater area of Virginia to New York. 
###
The normal winds along the shores of the Middle and South Atlantic states are from south to west. But
such was the distribution of pressure over the Atlantic...that, on the morning of the 30th, the winds were blowing steadily from the south and east. (John Bach McMaster, The Johnstown Flood, 210 (1933.)

1889, May 30

By May 30, rain began to fall in Kansas, Missouri, and Illinois. 

On May 30 the government forecasters sent warnings of severe storms for the Middle and South Atlantic states.

This storm had split into two parts as it entered the Mississippi Valley; one part turned north to pass over the Great Lakes and crossed to New England; the other part drifted across Kentucky and Tennessee, where, aided by a southeast wind, the rain moved northward.


Saturday, May 29, 2021

COVID-19 BIDEN+129 (May 29)

This is going to be a repeat of the last two iterations, B as in Biden.

14-day changes

-38% Cases.
-22% Hospitalizations.
-24% Deaths.

Good grief, COVID, the hyena sits on your chest.

7-day daily averages

20,984 Cases. Down 1,000/day.
Okay, can I stop this with tonight?
26,823 Hospitalizations. Down almost 300/day
457 Deaths. Down 29/day.
Okay, I'll tell you what: I'm going to check the numbers every night. If there's a significant new shift, I'll do this exercise, but if there ain't I ain't. [Memo to BH From BH: Pay attention to this!]
1.70% D-H rate.Down. *ooh!* down nine hundredths of a point. You are sooo dead, COVID.
Okay Vax, shit on my head:
It's not been updated! :o This is the first time in history Vax have not been available before the other categories' metrics have, and tonight they're not even after the others (???) Strange doin's at the Quasi-Official New York Times.

Herd Immunity (90%) day

NA

President Biden tentative grade A, subject to the Vax Herd crapping on it.

Tale of Two Miseries

Manchester City was embarrassed today.
The Miami “Heat” were humiliated tonight.

In the Magic City the Milwaukee "Male Deer" completed a four games to zero finger-flick of the “Heat,” who just last June had made MIL their does four games to uno.

Only one game in this series was close, the first, a 109-107 win in overtime in Beer. The next three games Miami lost by:

34
29
17

Both of my favorite pro sports teams have questions to answer going into the offseason. For City, do they need a true 9? Do they need to get bigger? Does Pep have to tweak tiki-taka? Thomas Tuchel figured City out in his half year with Chelsea. He has now beat them three straight, denying them the FA Cup in the first and the Champions League trophy today. And Ole Gunnar Solskjær has figured City out crosstown at RayJay. Solskjær has beaten City three straight times at Etihad Stadium. Manchester "Buccaneers" were runners-up to City in the Premier League in the season just ended. Tiki-taka is not the Theory of Relativity; folks can wrap their heads around it, and they are doing so.

For the "Heat" the questions are, in the details, similar to those of Manchester City: do they need a true 5?; do they need to get bigger overall?; do they trust Bam Adebayo enough to give him a max contract? City's decision to let Sergio Aguero walk is, at immense stretch, arguably comparable, at least in angst; does Spo's positionless basketball, like Pep's tiki-taka, need a rework?

But the forest must not be missed for telescoping on trees. There is a systemic question for Miami to answer that City does not have: Does the very identity of the franchise, Pat Riley and the "Culture," need to change? As I keep reminding, the "Heat" is an average (double entendre) .529 in the seven seasons since LeBron James left. Riley eschews draft picks for aging, often troubled and troublesome veterans. They don't have two of the three superstars the c.w. holds an NBA team needs to win a championship, they have one star, minus the super, and a one-year all-star reserve who was uncomfortably passive at the end of the regular season and in this four-game debacle. Milwaukee outrebounded Miami tonight 56-40. 56-40! And Bam had a great stat line, 20 pts, 14 boards. Bam's great game on paper didn't come close to getting the "Heat" even close.

There's puzzling history: the "Heat" has played a putrid (11-30) first half of the season and then a scorching second half (30-11); a blazing first half (24-9) and a skidding second half (10-11 (last season before COVID canceled it)), followed by a bubbly playoff run all the way to the Finals. Why this Dr. Jekyll and Mr. Hyde?

How serious was the Jimmy-Spo contretemps? Shams Charania reported that there were also tensions among players. Jimmy did call out (with plausible deniability) Bam this winter. Spo tried to feature Bam in a leading role in an early-season game, calling an iso for him with the game on the line in the closing seconds. Bam made the basket, dribbling a few times like a guard and hoisting a 10-foot jumper. That was not the move that Spoelstra--or Butler or Riley--had in mind. They wanted Bam to "impose his will," to “bully" (Jimmy's word at a different point on Bam) his way by backing his man down, back-to-basket, and then dunking or hitting a peep.

Is Jimmy an asshole? He's had relationship issues in Minnesota and Philly. Is Jimmy a problem in the locker room?

The answers to these questions, detailed and systemic, lie in the breast of the aging consigliere who sits alone in his darkened chambers in an increasingly bleak house by the bay, sips his port, and keeps these family secrets close. The local beat writers, intimidated by him, are wary of revealing the secrets they do know and are not exactly Woodward and Bernstein in unlocking those they don't. Manchester City do not have the weight of .529 stealing up on them, now crouching on their chests like the hyena in Snows of Kilimanjaro, growing weightier and weightier until it presses life’s breath out of them. The hyena sits at 601 Biscayne Blvd.

FT Chelsea 1 City 0

Chelsea had the better game plan and bigger, stronger, taller players to execute the plan. City’s corner kicks, of which, typically, there were several in the closing minutes of stoppage time, became corner throws by Kyle Walker. And this time there was no Edin Dzeko to head the ball in. City have a superabundance of smaller, exceptionally quick players. But they have no bull like Kylian Mbappe or Mario Balotelli, no Yaya Toure, not even a Micah Richards, and no Dzeko  Size only matters if you let it lean on you but City’s players were not so much quicker than Chelsea’s to round them cleanly and break in alone. They were nearly always muscled or crowded off the ball, their shots redirected before ever heading goalward their passes hurried and the lanes clogged. They lost possession, or the attack would dribble out of bound, or Chelsea would break the other way. 

“You cannot pass the ball into the net,” and yet that is what tiki-taka results. When encountering Chelsea’s wall City would pass horizontally or back. You have to go over the wall when you cannot pass through it. It was on a dispossession and vertical passing that Chelsea scored their, and the game’s, only goal. City did not cross until about midway through the second half. There was usually a Chelsea player there—so disciplined—but City’s greatest threats came off centering the ball. 

This is embarrassing for all City people. They were shut out and almost shut out in chances. So at five o’clock it is Chelsea who are Champions of Europe.

CITY FOREVER!
does this game even count? chelsea finished 19 points behind city in the league.

HT Chelsea 1 City 0

Impotent half for City. Thomas Tuchel has Chelsea extraordinarily well-organized and disciplined on defense and City cannot find a crack. They have to pass over this defense. They are not going to be able to pass through Chelsea.

 


Lasers turned the sky blue ahead of the biggest game in Manchester City's history.

The colourful light show was seen across Manchester on Thursday night, emanating from the Etihad Stadium.

The Main Event



















Today it happens. The realization of all of Sheikh Mansour's and City Football Group's dreams. We love them, we love Manchester City, therefore it is the realization of our dreams as well.  By five o'clock Manchester City will be the Champions of all Europe. This is it.

“Heat” Culture Day


This was an actual thing in 2017 , hosted inappropriately on April 20. They have not been that bad. They have been .529 mediocre. Thus, today is appropriately “Heat” Culture Day.

Friday, May 28, 2021

I'm a lawyer. Getting closer to a completely retired lawyer every day, but still a lawyer and have always been a lawyer. If you're a basketball player, or a retired basketball player, you watch highlights of great performances, MJ, Kobe, Bird. To a lawyer David Boies is Jordan or Kobe or Bird. This is a legendary performance by a legend--Wilt's 100 point game. So, to a lawyer, this is mesmerizing. Two heavyweights going at it, Ali-Frazier, Boies-Bill Gates, in United States v Microsoft, Gates' deposition in 1998. The entire thing is over eleven hours long. I have spent, off and on several hours today watching four hours of the whole and various other clips. I am in thrall to David Boies. This is a masterclass in how to depose a witness. Boies developed a photographic memory as compensation for being dyslexic. He never forgets the question he as asked, Gates dances away from it, Boies does not get distracted and relentlessly bores in, again and again and again. One of these rope-a-dopes lasts over six minutes. Boies destroys Bill Gates fighting on Gates' home turf, the computer software industry. Non-lawyers will find this mind-numbing not mesmerizing. This is the first clip I watched today, deemed "highlights."


COVID-19 BIDEN+128 (May 28)

I have "threatened" (promised?) to stop these nightly reports because COVID is so clearly a walking corpse in the United States...I didn't stop tonight.

14-day changes

-36% Cases.
-22% Hospitalizations.
-20% Deaths.

COVID is like the Monty Python character: an arm lopped off; the other arm lopped off; then a leg lopped off. Death by slicing.

7-day daily averages

21,982 Cases. Down.
27,147 Hospitalizations. Down.
486 Deaths. Down.
1.79% Deaths-Hospitalization rate. Down.
1,500,632 Vax. Down 118k/day! That is the lowest daily average since Feb. 24. :( HID's gonna be in 2023.

Herd Immunity (90%) Day

November 26. Back two weeks!

President Biden Grade (same as yesterday) B



Good night sweet princes and princesses.

It's Friday Night...

 

A man sees a beautiful chicken, he cannot help be inquisitive.


Mas Trouble

 

Inter Miami gets MLS-record $2M fine, $2.2M cap hit over Designated Player dealings


Already the worst-run franchise in Major League Soccer since Chivas USA Inter Miami has been hit with the largest fine in league history.

Along with the $2m fine to the club, MLS levied a reduction in allocation money of $2,271,250 spread out over the 2022 and 2023 seasons. With a total available to spend of $19.155m across those two campaigns, the allocation money penalty amounts to 11.9% of Inter Miami's salary budget during that time.

The league also issued a personal fine of $250,000 to Inter Miami managing owner Jorge Mas.

This is s.o.p. for the Mas family. MLS will regret letting Mas take control of this franchise for eternity.

1889, May 28. Kansas

Beginning in eastern Kansas and Nebraska on May 28, [the great storm] moved eastward into Illinois, Michigan, Indiana, Kentucky, and Tennessee. Michigan and northern Indiana had snow; New York had frost.


A Times special from Emporia, Kan., reports that a disastrous tornado passed over Clements, Chase County, thirty-two miles west of here, about 4 o'clock [in the] afternoon...but the wires are all down, and no reliable information can be obtained.

John Pantle, conductor of a stock train, who arrived in Emporia at 9 o'clock last night, says he passed through Clements just after the storm, and in plain sight of part of its destruction doings. The cloud looked square-shaped, like a house with its lower portion surrounded by a white cloud looking like steam, which seemed to rise from all around the main dark cloud. As it came through the timber it cut a clean swath apparently destroying everything in its path, and when it struck the Cottonwood River it looked as if it was cutting a path through the river, piling up the water on both sides.

(See May 30, 10 P.M. for strikingly similar descriptions in Cambria County, Pennsylvania.)

One Thing Missing From the Biden Budget: Booming Growth

For all the administration’s focus on transformational policies, it’s not forecasting an outburst of economic potential.


In the assumptions that underpin the administration’s budget, G.D.P. growth is strong in 2021 and 2022 — but strong enough only to return the economy to its prepandemic trend line, not to surge above the trajectory it was on throughout the 2010s.

In 2023, G.D.P. growth falls to 2 percent in the budget assumptions, then to 1.8 percent a year through the mid-2020s. That is lower than the 2.3 percent average annual growth rate experienced from 2010 to 2019.


Old defense attorney line: "I could have lost that case for a lot less." Couldn't you spend less than $6 TRILLION to get back to where we were before COVID. This makes no sense to me and has the look of a clusterfuck.

Republicans Block Independent Commission on Jan. 6 Riot


Republican senators used the filibuster to prevent the creation of a panel modeled after the one that investigated the Sept. 11 attacks to scrutinize the assault on the Capitol. 

[Manchin and Synema, two Dem proponents of the filibuster, had made impassioned pleas to their Repube “colleagues” to agree to the bi-partisan commission.]

With the vast majority of Republicans determined to shield their party from potential political damage that could come from scrutiny of the storming of the Capitol by a pro-Trump mob, only six G.O.P. senators joined Democrats to support advancing the measure. The final vote, 54 to 35, fell short of the 60 senators needed to move forward.

The vote was a stinging defeat for proponents of the commission...
...
... Leaders concluded that open-ended scrutiny of the attack would hand Democrats powerful political ammunition before the 2022 midterm elections — and enrage a former president they are intent on appeasing.
...

...the commission’s defeat is expected to embolden the former president at a time when he has once again ramped up circulation of his baseless and debunked claims.

In a matter of months, his lies have warped the views of many of his party’s supporters, who view Mr. Biden as illegitimate; inspired a rash of new votingrestrictions in Republican-led states and a quixotic recount in Arizona denounced by both parties; and fueled efforts by Republican members of Congress to downplay and reframe the Capitol riot as a benign event akin to a “normal tourist visit.”



xZibit
@_kosi_02

Imagine supporting Manchester United and the Miami Heat



2:36 AM · May 28, 2021·Twitter for iPhone


Ha!