COVID-19 BIDEN+38

For once I do not find the 14-day changes as meaningful at catching trends as I do the 7-day daily Cases average:

The Feb. 27 7-day ave. is down by five cases to 67,468. FIVE. The trend line is essentially flat since Feb. 21. Deceptively flat since Cases are actually UP ~2,000/day but look at the line compared to Jan. 8-Feb. 20: It is clearly on a plateau.

Deaths have declined the last two iterations of the 7-day and stand tonight at 2,064.

Hospitalizations are down in the 7-day (53,341), as they have been since Jan. 11 buy the tail of that trend is beginning to flatten if you squint.

3.86% Deaths-Hospitalizations rate, identical to the Feb. 26 iteration.

Now the 14-day changes-

–28% Cases
–30% Hospitalizations
–22% Deaths

 

Dailies Feb. 27

Today is a reporting lag day.

68,071 Cases. Down. This is the graph of the last five days from Johns Hopkins:

Very similar to the Times 7-day average line—essentially flat.

1,536 Deaths. Down.

Grade-B