Sunday, August 29, 2021

* #

#Updated with Aug. 23-29 data.


156,886 average daily cases Aug. 23-29. Up 741 ave/day. Up is bad. 741 represents a 0.47% increase over Aug. 22-28. Which is minuscule, but minuscule bad.
156,145 Aug. 22-28. Increase of ~ 800 ave/day. An unhealthy increase but the number has not (yet) exceeded that on Aug. 20-26. P'ert near, but not quite. I know, my eyes are squinting now.
155,365 Aug. 21-27. Second decrease, almost 1k/day average.
156,349 Aug. 20-26. Huge leap, almost 4k/day average.
152,372 Aug. 19-25. Increase.
151,441 Aug. 18-24. Increase.
150,625, Aug 17-23. Increase almost 1k/day average.
149,675 Aug. 16-22. First slight decrease.
150,138 Aug. 15-21. Huge increase, over 4k/day average from Aug. 14-20.

So, in the latest iteration we have surpassed the high of Aug. 20-26 in the period under measurement. Now seven of these nine iterations have been up; downs make up 22%. Cases have increased 4.49% from the Aug. 15-21 iteration through the August 23-29 it. +4.49% is bad because it is still up but over nine iterations of data over fifteen days...c'mon, that's a lot of data and that cumulative increase is objectively pretty small. Look at the graph with my red line extension from July through August 29.

I'm not saying we're "flattening the curve," you will NEVER read me write that hackneyed cliche. I'm  not saying "plateau." I'm only saying that the trend line has not continued in the straight diagonal set earlier. We have bent it slightly and we are a helluva lot better off for the bending compared with where the trajectory would have taken us

8/28, 11:02 p.m.

*I'm straining to see a glimmer of progress, and more failing than succeeding. The below is updated at post time to include the cases 7-day daily averages Aug. 22-28.

Cases ave./day recently

156,145 Aug. 22-28. Increase of ~ 800 ave/day. An unhealthy increase but the number has not (yet) exceeded that on Aug. 20-26. P'ert near, but not quite. I know, my eyes are squinting now.
155,365 Aug. 21-27. Second decrease, almost 1k/day average.
156,349 Aug. 20-26. Huge leap, almost 4k/day average.
152,372 Aug. 19-25. Increase.
151,441 Aug. 18-24. Increase.
150,625, Aug 17-23. Increase almost 1k/day average.
149,675 Aug. 16-22. First slight decrease.
150,138 Aug. 15-21. Huge increase, over 4k/day average from Aug. 14-20.

Two of seven eight iterations down, so the decreases fade from 28.57% of seven to 25% of eight. Over thirteen days there was an overall increase of 3.48%. Now over fourteen days the increase is 4.00%. More of an increase but still not much of an increase.