Monday, August 23, 2021

COVID-19 BIDEN+214 August 22

The 7-day daily average of cases has increased since July 5 but several time it has retreated a smidge before starting up again. It did that in the August 21 and August 22 iterations. 7-day daily average deaths were 1,008 Aug. 22, 1,007 Aug. 21.

Over 14 days the changes are +36% cases; +43% hospitalizations; +95% deaths. I'm hesitating...The changes are not in triple digits...One cannot read "peak" into this data. Can one hope that the slowing ascent is a sign of "peaking"? CDC's new month-out forecast comes Wednesday. If I'm not mistaken I predicted that Delta would peak in the U.S. the last week in September. I predict CDC will forecast cases still rising through the week of Sept. 25, but at a lesser rate from Sept. 18. So, no "peaking".