Saturday, August 28, 2021

England Has Moved on From COVID

Full house today at Etihad Stadium.


Not a mask in sight.



U.K. cases and vax:

U.S. cases:

Don't see much to choose between there. The U.K.'s is actually worse. Still, they've fully reopened. There is no way, no way I would have reopened without masks, without social distancing, just pack 50,000 people into a stadium like sardines in a can with the U.K.'s cases.


U.S. vax:
Yes, they are more highly vaxed. What good has that done them? Look at their cases.


                                                                  
                                                                             U.K. deaths:

U.S. deaths:

Big difference there! Very surprising that the U.K.'s June-current mountain of cases has resolved as into an English countryside plateau and ours is Big Round Top and Little Round Top. 

Man, the two countries' deaths graphs are just about identical from Feb.-May 2020, aren't they? That's amazing. The sheer cliffs of Dover on both shores. Then they bottomed out as Trump "LIBERATED!"

 Both countries had the same rise in deaths, Nov. 2020 but their's briefly plateaued almost immediately. Their death plateau lasted all through December into the middle of January it looks like, and then shot up dramatically to their summit. I have some English friends and I remember that they traveled to the U.S. for Christmas 2020. We were appalled. They had to sneak out practically. I think BOJO shut the country down again around that time and travel was curtailed. I know that, of course Trump, just ignored it the last three months of his illegitimate presidency. I know Britain started vaccinating before we did; my recollection is in December sometime. We, of course, didn't until 46-1 left. 

Britain's Winter peaks both of cases and deaths looks like India's Delta peaks. What I have never understood is why every strain of COVID-19 seems to stall over the U.S. Look at our Winter cases and deaths graphs compared to Britain's. That's a blob of cases and of deaths, two mountain ranges of multiple peaks and crags on ascent and descent and lasts three and one-half months. If you measure from before Britain's November plateau, their Fall-Winter cases surge lasts October 2 to peak on January 9, 99 days. Our surge extended back into late Summer. From September 12 U.S. cases began a slow ascent, Britain's was abrupt and sheer; we never had the near vertical ascent that Britain had. Instead, ours moved ponderously. Britain's Fall drop in late November was almost as sheer as their rise. From mid-October to November 25 we never had a week's let-up, it was all up, up, and away. From mid-October to peak January 8 we never had a stable drop. Our graph for that period looks "irrational," like a drunk taking stumbled steps: back Nov. 26-30, sideways Dec. 9-15,  twisting an ankle and backwards again Dec. 21-28 then regaining footing and taking long strides upward until Jan. 8. There clearly was no cause for these erratic steps as we weren't doing anything! The shortest distance between two points is a straight line and the U.S. decidedly took the long way to the summit. The result was that huge blog of cases. The Fall-Winter deaths graphs for the two countries track each's case graph with the death interval.