Tuesday, February 01, 2022

COVID-19 BIDEN+377 (Feb. 1)

 14-day changes

-44% Cases
-13% Hospitalizations
+39% Deaths. Over two weeks Deaths have increased from 30% in the Jan. 25 through Jan. 31 to 39% in the Jan. 26 through Feb. 1 iteration. Deaths are continuing to rise faster than previously, which is nauseating to record. Feb. 1 is the first full reporting day of the new week which lasts through Feb. 5 before the lag sets in again. I don't expect Deaths over the next four days to decrease. 

7-day daily averages

424,077. Cases. Down over 32k/day
138,674. Hospitalizations. Down over 2k/day
2,636 Deaths. Up 78/day. That is too much, obviously, but it is too much from a lag day to a full reporting day and relatively is not as bad as it could be. Will we exceed the all-time record of 3,342 on Jan. 26, 2021? We are withing seven hundred and Deaths will continue to climb. May sense is we will not.
                                                                                 Cases graph
A needle, pretty sharp needle.

H's graph
A very dull needle.

Deaths graph

A dangerous, serrated knife, sharp point,but not uniform, wobbling from Jan. 18 to present. I don't know, there is still a massive block of cases moving through the system. The Jan. 5 peak of 806,705 is a few days from being resolved in Deaths away. It is plausible that we could hit 3,000/deaths/per day and the margin of error to the record 3,280 is slight. Biden's incompetent handling of Omicron puts the record in reasonable view.