Looking at the three graphs side-by-side it appears that the Hospitalizations relative decline is less than half the decline in Cases. 7-day average daily Cases peaked on Jan. 15. H's peaked on Jan. 20. Hmm, I don't really understand that. Let's try a different way of understanding: H's on Feb. 2 were 83.8% of their peak. Let's first determine when Cases were 83.8% of their peak. The closest we can get is Jan. 24, 82.7% of peak O.
Cases Hospitalizations Deaths
If you truncate the C's graph as reasonably close as you can to Jan. 24 you get this. Now does that look like the current H's graph? It does.
So where was I going with this?...I had in mind the C-H interval. Jan. 15 to 20 is a bit tight from my understanding. Nine days, Jan. 24-Feb. 2 is okay. Anyway. I don't know why I thought that was important.
Back to a more important thing, the H-D interval. Should be a week or two. Thirteen days from H's first O-decline D's are still rising. Really should have been showing a decline by now.
7-day average daily Deaths on Feb. 2 were 2,658. That is only 684 Deaths from our all-time peak. It's going to be close. Deaths rose over a two-week period 35%. That shouldn't be either.
Another swig.
Cases were an average 385,425, down 49%. H's were 133,626, -16%. Huge difference there, 16-to-49. Why are D's still rising, and at such a horrific rate? I don't know. If D's numbers don't go south quickly we will exceed the all-time high.
