Thursday, October 10, 2024

Speaking of Bettors...Kamala being left in dust: Now 52% money on trumpie to 46.4%.

This trend line began with a diminishing Kamala lead, then a brief flip to trumpie, a brief flip back to Kamala, and a flip back to trumpie and it has held and is growing. I think there was a time when bettors were as bullish on Kamala but it has been a while back. To have a trumpie bull market 26 days from D-Day is ominous indeed.

The trend line in the bettors' forecast for Nov. 5 is also depicted in the ABC/538 model's Electoral College forecast:


The trend is really bad for Kamala. Those blue and red dots are going to cross shortly.