Tuesday, February 02, 2021

What to expect today, the first day of the new reporting week? The 14-day change in Cases can't keep falling one-third every single goddamned iteration. I predict less. Hospitalizations will continue on their more modest decline, high teens. Deaths fell 5%, it's recent low, for Jan. 18-31 but creeped up in the Jan. 25-31 7-day average. So: Daily Cases and Deaths reported for Feb. 1 will be much, much higher than those for Jan. 31, the daily 7-day Hospitalizations average will continue its clear decline. 7-day Cases will be down; and average Deaths will be lower, 4% say, over 14 days and a few Deaths less over seven. Let's see...