Sunday, January 19, 2020

"Impact vs Box Score: Looking at Whiteside’s Production with the Blazers"

Trail Blazers center Hassan Whiteside is putting up excellent numbers, but are they hollow?
https://www.blazersedge.com/2020/1/18/21071213/trail-blazers-hassan-whiteside-stats-impact-blocks-rebounds

Speaking of positionless this is an excellent article, by a Portland fan, on the difference between impact on a game and box score numbers. It makes Eric Spoelstra's points on the difference and on Whiteside and refutes mine. Convincingly.

When trade targets have been discussed in the past, I often advocated for the Portland Trail Blazers to try and acquire Hassan Whiteside from the Miami Heat. I loved how he put up numbers that did not look real at first glance: multiple double-digit blocks games, multiple 25+ rebound games, triple-doubles straight out of NBA 2K on rookie difficulty. I was happy when the Blazers made the move to acquire him...

When others maintained that Portland needed to move Whiteside before the deadline for a wing with a longer contract, I was against it. After all, Whiteside had set the Blazers team record for blocks in a game just 16 games into his Portland career, and that was not even his best career outing.

However, looking at the current statistics for the Blazers (injuries or not), the issue seems to be that while Whiteside is putting up excellent numbers (15.6 points, 14.0 rebounds, 2.9 blocks per game), the evidence is there that those stats are ultimately hollow.

Portland is second in the NBA in blocks per game (6.4, behind the Los Angeles Lakers 7.2). Partially as a result from that, the Blazers are tied for sixth in the NBA in opposing shooting percentage at 44.4. Yet Portland is 20th in the NBA in points allowed (113.6), and 26th in opponents shots per game. 
...
That is where the disconnect between Whiteside’s stats and the team’s result collides. grabs a ton of rebounds—but not on the offensive glass where the team needs him most. He blocks a lot of shots—but the Blazers rarely get the ball off the shot as Whiteside tends to swat the ball downward, back to the shooter, while other top shot blockers swipe to the side to allow teammates to recover the ball.

:o Holy hell that is doing a deep dive into the video! I have never read that before, not about Whiteside, not about anybody. Ryan A.Sterling, we are not worthy of you.


The stats reflect that reality. Portland gains possession on shots blocked less than nearly every other team. This results in far more opportunities for the opposing team then should logically happen.