Thursday, May 27, 2021

COVID-19 BIDEN+126 (May 26)

I couldn't wait for the Quasi's last night. I was too tired.

14-day changes

-37% Cases.
-23% Hospitalizations.
-17% Deaths.

Perfect demonstration of the Death Lag, about two weeks. C's are unchanged from BIDEN +125; H's are unchanged. But the fall in Deaths, from 12% BIDEN+125 is pronounced. The is tremendous news.

7-day daily averages

23,162 Cases. Down 900+/day.
27,946 Hospitalizations. Down over 550/day.
522 Deaths. Down 21/day, which is substantial from a base of 543 at BIDEN+125.
1.86% D-H rate. Down four one-hundredths percent. 
1,703,162 Vax. Down 47k/day over seven days.

Herd Immunity (90%) Day

November 1. Worse by three days.

President Biden Grade B

Overnight the total of Americans killed in the coronavirus epidemic reached 592,432. That number is greater than the population of Milwaukee, Wisconsin, the fifty-third largest city in the United States. The U.S. is 82,568 Dead short of the dead in the Spanish Flu of 1918/19. At the 900/day assumption used when this calculation started Spanish Flu Conquest Day will be August 27. It will not be August 27 because we have not killed 900/day for some time. Using a more current 600 Deaths/day SFCD will be October 12.