Wednesday, February 09, 2022

COVID-19 BIDEN+385 (Feb. 9)

14-day changes

-63% Cases
-29% Hospitalizations
+4% Deaths

Deaths hurtling toward zero and then minus.

7-day daily averages

227,903 Cases. Down.




108,989 Hospitalizations. Down.



















2,576 Deaths. UP 3/day. 94/day from the Omicron peak of 2,670,which we already reached, contrary to the Feb. 4 NYT, on Feb. 2. Hospitalizations, the canary in the Deaths coal mine were down 16% over the two weeks ending on on Feb. 2, were -21 on Feb. 4, -21 on Feb. 5, -29 yesterday, Feb. 8, -29 today, Feb. 9.  So on four of the five its of the 14-day change metric, H's leveled, but at lower levels, twice at -21 after being at -16, twice at -29 after being at -21. It is reasonable to expect that Deaths would experience some minimal toggling/leveling with that uneven push. That is what we see. Deaths were +35 over the two weeks ending on Feb. 2, +21 on Feb. 4, +21 Feb. 5, +9 yesterday, Feb. 8, the last two non-lag days, and halved that today. The 7-day average daily increased by 3 today due to the pauses in pressure from H's.  Does the Times see in this, their own data, a trend in Deaths UP? If so they're blind, as a look at their own Deaths graph shows. Cases are falling off a cliff, H's are falling off a lower precipice. Deaths lag H's and the pressure of 20+% declines unarguably will continue to push Deaths down, and with more dramatic falls.