That was not the right thought, "Ah leave them alone." I hadn't had my coffee yet.
PutinTrumpism poses a unique threat to American democracy. The hard 40% who vote for PutinTrumpism cannot be left to rise again. "Sieg Heil!," "Go to Auschwitz!", "Fuck that nigger!," fuck all of that, fuck all of them.
"I'm tired of talking about her opponent," President Obama said at a fundraiser for Hillary Clinton, even as he warned against complacency. Hmm. Right, that last, complacency. I'm going to vote! But what that guy said that I quoted in "Last Call" last night, the last entry, "I can't believe this is happening," that is exactly how I felt, "Is this real?," and thanks to that guy and millions of others, I don't think it is going to happen anymore, I don't think there is a reasonable chance of a Trump presidency now. That guy was a Republican for Hillary and he was talking about the Republican Party.
Early in the primaries I predicted to my-brother-the-Trumpist that nominating Trump would be the death of the Republican Party as we know it. (He predicted Trump would win 40 states.) "Even a blind hog..." & etc.
The Republican Party is long overdue for death, I will not mourn it, something else will become the center-right American political party but I hope we drive a stake through the heart of this one and not bury it in a shallow grave, it must not rise again, not the Republican Party as we know it, not the one we have known since Bill Clinton, the party of Newt Gingrich, and Kenneth Starr, and John Boehner and government shutdowns, and plotting on the night of Obama's inaugural ball, and Paul Ryan, and no hearings on Supreme Court vacancies, and no money for infrastructure, and Ted Cruz, and especially Donald Trump. The Republican Party has lost credibility with Trump. He may be the death of them. Good bye to all that and good riddance.
If there is a landslide the Republican Party plausibly could lose its majority in the Senate, less likely the House but maybe, and if either happens but especially if both happen, the Republican Party will be so weakened that it could see it in their interests to disband and reconstitute themselves as some other center-right entity.
What's a landslide these days? "Eight, nine, ten points," said one Republican strategist. 538 agrees. Clinton is at 6.7% in RCP, 8.5% in 538. As I've read, what happens is, at each up-tick in the national margin various of the states start turning colors, from red to light red, from light red to light blue, light blue to blue, and with the change of color comes Republican losses in the Senate and too, but less so, in the House. Trump's poll support has a floor of 40% and a ceiling of 45%. Clinton's floor is about 45% and her ceiling 50%. NBC News published its electoral map last night and has Clinton with over 270 electoral votes. The Princeton Election Consortium has her over 270. NPR has her over 270. 538 has her over. RCP has her with 256, 14 short.
That's the polls. If the Trumpists get discouraged and don't vote or if God's Children get complacent and don't vote then the election day margin will be higher or lower. The former is more likely than the latter. Trump is discouraged and the Trumpists are running and hiding.
Imagine Donald Trump's day. He's a bottom-line guy. Believes only numbers. Numbers don't lie. "Exhausted," Trump gets up in the morning and the first thing he does is check the poll numbers. Now he's "sullen," "frustrated" and "scared." He then goes to his first rally of the day. Thousands of low-lifes entranced, delirious, cheering their god, his every word, demonizing his opponent, "Kill!," "Bitch!," "Whore!" Trump is exhilarated. He leaves the rally on a high and goes home. Reads the polls. Now he's "bewildered," "confused." "How can this be?!" Trump believes the poll numbers but he also believes the rally numbers. Trump experiences cognitive dissonance. "How can this be?"
Trump is "disoriented." He is "profoundly uncomfortable" in general election mode as party leader. "Erratic" and "impulsive" Trump decides as much as he can decide in his state to dance with the girl he brung. He goes back to primary mode. When next he appears on stage Trump is like the unsightly strip dancer who interprets the boos of her audience as a call for more, more provocative dancing, more raunch, and so he gives it to them, when the audience wanted less, that was the intent of the booing, less provocation, less raunch, less of her on the stage, less of him on the stage, less of him. And so they leave and he leaves.
PutinTrumpism poses a unique threat to American democracy. The hard 40% who vote for PutinTrumpism cannot be left to rise again. "Sieg Heil!," "Go to Auschwitz!", "Fuck that nigger!," fuck all of that, fuck all of them.
"I'm tired of talking about her opponent," President Obama said at a fundraiser for Hillary Clinton, even as he warned against complacency. Hmm. Right, that last, complacency. I'm going to vote! But what that guy said that I quoted in "Last Call" last night, the last entry, "I can't believe this is happening," that is exactly how I felt, "Is this real?," and thanks to that guy and millions of others, I don't think it is going to happen anymore, I don't think there is a reasonable chance of a Trump presidency now. That guy was a Republican for Hillary and he was talking about the Republican Party.
Early in the primaries I predicted to my-brother-the-Trumpist that nominating Trump would be the death of the Republican Party as we know it. (He predicted Trump would win 40 states.) "Even a blind hog..." & etc.
The Republican Party is long overdue for death, I will not mourn it, something else will become the center-right American political party but I hope we drive a stake through the heart of this one and not bury it in a shallow grave, it must not rise again, not the Republican Party as we know it, not the one we have known since Bill Clinton, the party of Newt Gingrich, and Kenneth Starr, and John Boehner and government shutdowns, and plotting on the night of Obama's inaugural ball, and Paul Ryan, and no hearings on Supreme Court vacancies, and no money for infrastructure, and Ted Cruz, and especially Donald Trump. The Republican Party has lost credibility with Trump. He may be the death of them. Good bye to all that and good riddance.
If there is a landslide the Republican Party plausibly could lose its majority in the Senate, less likely the House but maybe, and if either happens but especially if both happen, the Republican Party will be so weakened that it could see it in their interests to disband and reconstitute themselves as some other center-right entity.
What's a landslide these days? "Eight, nine, ten points," said one Republican strategist. 538 agrees. Clinton is at 6.7% in RCP, 8.5% in 538. As I've read, what happens is, at each up-tick in the national margin various of the states start turning colors, from red to light red, from light red to light blue, light blue to blue, and with the change of color comes Republican losses in the Senate and too, but less so, in the House. Trump's poll support has a floor of 40% and a ceiling of 45%. Clinton's floor is about 45% and her ceiling 50%. NBC News published its electoral map last night and has Clinton with over 270 electoral votes. The Princeton Election Consortium has her over 270. NPR has her over 270. 538 has her over. RCP has her with 256, 14 short.
That's the polls. If the Trumpists get discouraged and don't vote or if God's Children get complacent and don't vote then the election day margin will be higher or lower. The former is more likely than the latter. Trump is discouraged and the Trumpists are running and hiding.
Imagine Donald Trump's day. He's a bottom-line guy. Believes only numbers. Numbers don't lie. "Exhausted," Trump gets up in the morning and the first thing he does is check the poll numbers. Now he's "sullen," "frustrated" and "scared." He then goes to his first rally of the day. Thousands of low-lifes entranced, delirious, cheering their god, his every word, demonizing his opponent, "Kill!," "Bitch!," "Whore!" Trump is exhilarated. He leaves the rally on a high and goes home. Reads the polls. Now he's "bewildered," "confused." "How can this be?!" Trump believes the poll numbers but he also believes the rally numbers. Trump experiences cognitive dissonance. "How can this be?"
Trump is "disoriented." He is "profoundly uncomfortable" in general election mode as party leader. "Erratic" and "impulsive" Trump decides as much as he can decide in his state to dance with the girl he brung. He goes back to primary mode. When next he appears on stage Trump is like the unsightly strip dancer who interprets the boos of her audience as a call for more, more provocative dancing, more raunch, and so he gives it to them, when the audience wanted less, that was the intent of the booing, less provocation, less raunch, less of her on the stage, less of him on the stage, less of him. And so they leave and he leaves.
