I'TIS OVAH! I'TIS OVAH!
KYRSTEN SINEMA IS THE 1ST DEMOCRAT IN 30 YEARS TO WIN THE SENATE FROM ARIZONA!
HAIRY'S BONER IS BA-LOO!
Democrat Kyrsten Sinema's unbreakable hold on Maricopa County, along with her overwhelming support in Martha McSally's Tucson-based congressional district, gave Sinema an edge Republicans could not erase in the race for Arizona's open U.S. Senate seat.
(Arizona Republic)
Wow! Sinema "overwhelmed" McSally in McSally's own CD!
When McSally conceded Sinema's lead had grown to 38,197, 1.6%.
Put the magic carpet back up NOW! BIGGER!
OKAY! OKAY! SHEESH.
And put SENATOR Sinema's picture on this post.
OKAY! You are so demanding.
Oh, you were right, that does look better. And good picture of Sinema, no?
Si, amigo friend, SI! Good job.
November 11, 9:43 pm
32,292! Sinema Runnin' to Turn Zona BLUE!
Democrat Kyrsten Sinema widened her lead again over Republican Martha McSally on Sunday, a pivotal day in the U.S. Senate race as the number of uncounted ballots dwindled.
[The Arizona Republic has done great reporting on this race and their prejections on McSally difficulty in Maricopa County have been accurate. Let's see what they say about this being a "pivotal day."]
Sinema expanded her lead to 32,292 votes — a 1.5 percentage-point lead — as of 6:20 p.m. Sunday, according to updated counts posted by the Arizona Secretary of State...
The Arizona Republic estimates about 215,000 ballots remain to be counted statewide.
To remain competitive, McSally needs to outperform all of her previous showings in Maricopa County, the state's most populous area and one that Sinema has dominated.
...
Based on The Republic's estimate of the votes remaining, McSally would need to win by about 15 percentage points to tie the race. The uncounted ballots are in Maricopa, Coconino, Pima and Pinal counties.
[Every tranche of votes that has come in so far from Maricopa has gone Sinema's way. The same is true, I believe, I am not sure, of Pima County.]
...
McSally fared better in the Sunday batch of votes from Maricopa County but once again trailed Sinema’s total by 6.2 percentage points.
On Saturday, Sinema led McSally by 7 percentage points among the 72,000 votes from Maricopa County tallied that day. Sinema won the vote reported by Maricopa County Friday night by 15 percentage points.
Uh, Republic. Why you no susplain why today "pivotal"?
https://www.azcentral.com/story/news/politics/elections/2018/11/11/martha-mcsally-kyrsten-sinema-senate-race-ballot-counting-results/1967206002/
November 10, 9:36 pm 29,832! 'Zona Goin' BLUE!
Sinema’s lead grew to 29,832 votes as of 7 p.m. and gave her a 1.4 percentage point advantage. (Arizona Republic)
Oh, Sinema, where you gonna run to?
Sinema, where you gonna run to?
Where you gonna run to?
All on that day
I cried, power
(Power to the Lord)
Power
(Power to the Lord)
Power
(Power to the Lord)
Power
7:44 pm
SINEMA'S LEAD UP TO 28,000 VOTES!!!!
ARIZONA GOES BLUE!!!
Am I dead?
4:49 pm
I swear to God after I first posted on this this morning I had a slight panic attack. I thought in my early morning fog I had misread the article as about an Arizona state senate seat, not a frigging United States senate seat. I mean, Arizona? Are you frigging kidding me? The home and political base of Mr. Conservative Barry Goldwater? Senator Barry Goldwater? I actually went back to the article to double-check. I had heard nothing about this race prior to reading the Times piec this morning.
From reading the Arizona Republic article it sure looks like Kyrsten Sinema's lead is going to expand, certainly hold, and that Arizona has elected a Democrat to the United States. Blink.
November 10, 3:36 pm NPT
Updated November 10, 9:38 a.m.
Look at this!
Four precincts outstanding but...I don't think that is going to help the Apparat-chick candidate McSally on accounta this:
The ex-Quasi's explain:
The Democrat, Representative Kyrsten Sinema, initially trailed the Republican, Representative Martha McSally, but picked up vote share as more mail ballots were counted later in the week.
MAIL (not to be confused with male) ballots totally flipped the race! And Rep. Sinema has roughly ten TIMES the lead necessary for a recount, which in Hairy Boner is an unusually tight 0.1. I make full confession here and voluntarily submit to a struggle session: If this had been exactly the opposite I would have been convinced to a moral certitude that the Rooskis tampered with the vote.
The counties, or haciendas, barrios, whatever Hairy Boner calls their voting districts, must submit their results to the state by December 3 for it to be official.
Update, November 6, 11:43 pm
The Great Blue Blip
I was not wrong. My nausea was not Phantom Stomach Syndrome, t'was real enough. From the NYT moments ago:
Democrats hoped for a Blue Wave so forceful that they could claim the majority in the House early in the evening. That has not happened, though they still expect that majority to emerge.
Wail, we'll see. They have picked up 17 House seats, still aways to go to get to the 23 which would give them control of the House. If they do it will be barely. And, so far, the Russo-Republicans have ADDED to their majority in the Senate. THAT was not in the cards earlier.
If they win the House then that will have been an accomplishment but if they fall short, these eagerly-awaited mid-terms will have been a debacle alongside the Senate losses. Either way, Friends and enemies,
It is Trump's world, we just live in it.
In sickness (but not pain! That left about a week ago) and sadness, good night.
Update, November 6, 9:42 pm:
More indication that my sick feeling was justified:
Florida governor Rick Scott is leading incumbent Senator Bill Nelson, a Democrat by 1% with 95% of the votes counted.
And
"Democratic Senator Joe Donnelly Is Defeated." (NYT)
November 6, 9:28 pm
I am getting a sick feeling in my stomach. That sick feeling is caused directly by the elections results. The Demo have so far picked up two house seats. I thought by this time, 9:30, we'd have a clear view of a "Blue Wave" sweeping over America 2.0. Enough to take the House. Maybe I was right, maybe I was wrong to expect more by now. But the top headline in the Quasi's a few minutes ago was "G.O.P. Holds Key House Seat in Kentucky."
Along with that sick feeling I also get the feeling that we've been had. Again. Eight hours ago on of the Times' most prominent headlines was "Trump Begins Mid-Term Election Day Bracing for Grim Political News, Aides Say." I get the feeling that all of those forecasting a Blue Wave were wrong. And we fell for it. Again.
I swear to God after I first posted on this this morning I had a slight panic attack. I thought in my early morning fog I had misread the article as about an Arizona state senate seat, not a frigging United States senate seat. I mean, Arizona? Are you frigging kidding me? The home and political base of Mr. Conservative Barry Goldwater? Senator Barry Goldwater? I actually went back to the article to double-check. I had heard nothing about this race prior to reading the Times piec this morning.
From reading the Arizona Republic article it sure looks like Kyrsten Sinema's lead is going to expand, certainly hold, and that Arizona has elected a Democrat to the United States. Blink.
November 10, 3:36 pm NPT
McSally-Sinema update: As uncounted ballots dwindle, Kyrsten Sinema's lead falls slightly
Ballot-counting in Arizona's epic Senate race continued Saturday with Republican Martha McSally cutting slightly into Democrat Kyrsten Sinema's lead.
Election officials are expected to release updates throughout the day, culminating with another tally at 5 p.m. from Maricopa County, which could define the day and the outlook of the nationally watched race.
By 1 p.m. Saturday, Sinema's lead stood at 19,159 with more than 2 million votes counted. McSally picked up a net 1,044 votes from Gila, Mohave and Pinal counties after Maricopa County's ballots were included Friday evening.
The additional tally from some of the state's less-populous, and more conservative, counties underscores a stark numerical reality for McSally:
She won the latest batches of votes by nearly 14 percentage points, and has done well outside Maricopa and Pima counties generally. But those locales cannot offset relatively heavy losses in the state's most populous areas.
...
The Arizona Republic projected late Friday there were more than 360,000 votes left to count statewide. Of those, an estimated 266,000 come from Maricopa County.
So far, Sinema is winning the Republican-leaning Maricopa County by 3.3 percentage points.
When ballots have been tabulated, McSally has not won any batch of votes in Maricopa County, including early votes posted on Election Day, votes cast at polling places on Election Day, and early ballots counted since.
It is unclear if McSally will be able to limit her losses in a meaningful way, even with a legal settlement struck Friday over the handling of certain ballots by county elections officials in other parts of the state.
...
But there is another problem for McSally.
As the tally turns to provisional ballots, past experience suggests that group tends to trend Democratic. The effect will be even larger in traditional Democratic counties such as Pima County.
There are 18,000 provisionals in Pima County, where McSally's vote-gap is worst and another 1,000 in Santa Cruz, where Sinema has been winning by 40 percentage points.
There are 6,800 provisionals in Pinal County, where McSally has been winning by 13 percentage points. There are less than 1,000 in a handful of other counties.
...
The Arizona Republic projected late Friday there were more than 360,000 votes left to count statewide. Of those, an estimated 266,000 come from Maricopa County.
So far, Sinema is winning the Republican-leaning Maricopa County by 3.3 percentage points.
When ballots have been tabulated, McSally has not won any batch of votes in Maricopa County, including early votes posted on Election Day, votes cast at polling places on Election Day, and early ballots counted since.
It is unclear if McSally will be able to limit her losses in a meaningful way, even with a legal settlement struck Friday over the handling of certain ballots by county elections officials in other parts of the state.
...
But there is another problem for McSally.
As the tally turns to provisional ballots, past experience suggests that group tends to trend Democratic. The effect will be even larger in traditional Democratic counties such as Pima County.
There are 18,000 provisionals in Pima County, where McSally's vote-gap is worst and another 1,000 in Santa Cruz, where Sinema has been winning by 40 percentage points.
There are 6,800 provisionals in Pinal County, where McSally has been winning by 13 percentage points. There are less than 1,000 in a handful of other counties.
Updated November 10, 9:38 a.m.
Look at this!
Four precincts outstanding but...I don't think that is going to help the Apparat-chick candidate McSally on accounta this:
The ex-Quasi's explain:
The Democrat, Representative Kyrsten Sinema, initially trailed the Republican, Representative Martha McSally, but picked up vote share as more mail ballots were counted later in the week.
MAIL (not to be confused with male) ballots totally flipped the race! And Rep. Sinema has roughly ten TIMES the lead necessary for a recount, which in Hairy Boner is an unusually tight 0.1. I make full confession here and voluntarily submit to a struggle session: If this had been exactly the opposite I would have been convinced to a moral certitude that the Rooskis tampered with the vote.
The counties, or haciendas, barrios, whatever Hairy Boner calls their voting districts, must submit their results to the state by December 3 for it to be official.
Update, November 6, 11:43 pm
The Great Blue Blip
I was not wrong. My nausea was not Phantom Stomach Syndrome, t'was real enough. From the NYT moments ago:
Democrats hoped for a Blue Wave so forceful that they could claim the majority in the House early in the evening. That has not happened, though they still expect that majority to emerge.
Wail, we'll see. They have picked up 17 House seats, still aways to go to get to the 23 which would give them control of the House. If they do it will be barely. And, so far, the Russo-Republicans have ADDED to their majority in the Senate. THAT was not in the cards earlier.
If they win the House then that will have been an accomplishment but if they fall short, these eagerly-awaited mid-terms will have been a debacle alongside the Senate losses. Either way, Friends and enemies,
It is Trump's world, we just live in it.
In sickness (but not pain! That left about a week ago) and sadness, good night.
Update, November 6, 9:42 pm:
More indication that my sick feeling was justified:
Florida governor Rick Scott is leading incumbent Senator Bill Nelson, a Democrat by 1% with 95% of the votes counted.
And
"Democratic Senator Joe Donnelly Is Defeated." (NYT)
November 6, 9:28 pm
I am getting a sick feeling in my stomach. That sick feeling is caused directly by the elections results. The Demo have so far picked up two house seats. I thought by this time, 9:30, we'd have a clear view of a "Blue Wave" sweeping over America 2.0. Enough to take the House. Maybe I was right, maybe I was wrong to expect more by now. But the top headline in the Quasi's a few minutes ago was "G.O.P. Holds Key House Seat in Kentucky."
Along with that sick feeling I also get the feeling that we've been had. Again. Eight hours ago on of the Times' most prominent headlines was "Trump Begins Mid-Term Election Day Bracing for Grim Political News, Aides Say." I get the feeling that all of those forecasting a Blue Wave were wrong. And we fell for it. Again.
