Tuesday, April 07, 2020

Oh my God, look at this.

The Trump administration is plagued by the Dunning-Kruger effect — the overconfidence of the ignorant. And it’s making the rest of America sick.

That fits the Trumpies and the Low Lifes precisely. I had never HEARD of the “Dunning-Kruger effect.”

Competent people, by contrast, were less likely to overestimate their own talents. It seemed that the incompetent people knew so little that they were unable to adequately assess how little they knew — and thus were overconfident.

From the 1999 paper that the Vox article is based on:



  • People tend to hold overly favorable views of their abilities in many social and intellectual domains. The authors suggest that this overestimation occurs, in part, because people who are unskilled in these domains suffer a dual burden: Not only do these people reach erroneous conclusions and make unfortunate choices, but their incompetence robs them of the metacognitive ability to realize it. Across 4 studies, the authors found that participants scoring in the bottom quartile on tests of humor, grammar, and logic grossly overestimated their test performance and ability. 

    The undersigned has written previously about Trump’s lack of humor. And before that, when he first encountered the humorless marker, about Fidel Castro’s.